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LEN vs PHM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lennar Corporation (LEN) vs. PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Lennar Corporation (LEN) has delivered stronger year-to-date total returns of 11.11% compared to PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)’s 1.19% as of early June 2026, both measured against the S&P 500’s 7.86% gain.
- PHM trades at a higher recent closing price near $118.40 versus LEN near $90.49, with both stocks remaining well below their 52-week highs amid broader housing sector pressures.
- Both companies operate as major U.S. homebuilders, with LEN emphasizing a land-light model transition and PHM benefiting from analyst consensus Buy ratings and higher average price targets.
- Recent market activity shows LEN facing near-term earnings pressure ahead of its second-quarter 2026 report, while PHM has seen modest price stability and dividend activity.
- Sector-wide factors including affordability challenges and inventory dynamics influence sentiment for both stocks, with relative performance reflecting differing momentum profiles.
Introduction
Investors and traders evaluating opportunities in the residential construction sector often compare Lennar Corporation (LEN) and PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) due to their positions as leading U.S. homebuilders. This comparison highlights differences in scale, operational strategies, and recent market positioning within a cyclical industry sensitive to interest rates, housing demand, and economic conditions. Professional portfolio managers, sector-focused analysts, and individual investors seeking exposure to consumer durables may find the relative performance and risk profiles of these two stocks particularly relevant when assessing allocation decisions in the current environment.
LEN Overview and Recent Performance
Lennar Corporation (LEN) is one of the largest homebuilders in the United States, focusing on single-family homes across multiple price points and markets. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range influenced by broader housing market dynamics, closing near $90.49 on June 5, 2026, after a session decline of 1.51%. Year-to-date total returns stand at 11.11%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark, though one-year returns of 16.26% lag the index. Recent market activity reflects pressure from anticipated second-quarter 2026 earnings, scheduled for release around mid-June, alongside ongoing transitions toward a more land-light operating model. Sentiment has been shaped by analyst notes on margin discipline and backlog trends, with the shares remaining below their 52-week high of $144.24.
PHM Overview and Recent Performance
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) ranks among the top U.S. homebuilders, delivering homes across entry-level, move-up, and active-adult segments with operations in key growth markets. Recent market activity has shown relative stability, with the stock closing at $118.40 on June 5, 2026, following a modest gain of 0.15%. Year-to-date total returns of 1.19% trail the S&P 500, while one-year returns reach 17.42%. Performance has been supported by institutional interest and a recent dividend declaration, with analysts maintaining a consensus Buy rating and price targets clustered above current levels. Broader sector influences, including order trends and affordability metrics, continue to inform positioning, keeping shares below the 52-week high of $144.50.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Lennar Corporation (LEN) and PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) share core exposure to the U.S. housing market yet differ in operational emphasis and recent momentum. LEN pursues a land-light strategy aimed at improving capital efficiency, which introduces transition-related costs that have weighed on near-term sentiment. PHM maintains a more traditional land bank approach alongside active share repurchase programs that support shareholder returns. Recent performance shows LEN with superior year-to-date gains, while PHM exhibits tighter price stability and stronger analyst upside targets. Both face similar risk factors tied to interest-rate sensitivity and demand elasticity, though LEN’s lower share price may appeal to investors seeking higher beta exposure within the sector. Market sentiment remains cautious across the group, with relative positioning driven by backlog visibility and margin trajectories rather than outright outperformance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative sector positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term momentum to PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM). The stock’s narrower trading range, analyst support, and dividend activity provide measurable stability signals compared with Lennar Corporation (LEN)’s upcoming earnings reset and model-transition dynamics. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in housing data or macroeconomic inputs.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LEN is a Hold and PHM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LEN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePHM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LEN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PHM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LEN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PHM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LEN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LEN (@Homebuilding) experienced а -0.21% price change this week, while PHM (@Homebuilding) price change was +4.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +2.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
LEN is expected to report earnings on Sep 17, 2026.
PHM is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (+2.75% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| LEN | PHM | LEN / PHM | |
| Capitalization | 22.2B | 23.5B | 94% |
| EBITDA | 2.41B | 2.79B | 86% |
| Gain YTD | -11.300 | 5.264 | -215% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.15 | 11.91 | 119% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 16.8B | 198% |
| Total Cash | 2.39B | 2.32B | 103% |
| Total Debt | 5.26B | 2.28B | 231% |
LEN | PHM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 94 | 41 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 79 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PHM's Valuation (65) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (89). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (41) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (94). This means that PHM’s stock grew somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's SMR Rating (54) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (79). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (60). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
LEN's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (16). This means that LEN’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.
| LEN | PHM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 10 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 76% |
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LEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LEN has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LEN jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
PHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.