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LEN vs PHM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lennar (LEN) vs. PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LEN and PHM are two leading U.S. homebuilders with overlapping exposure to single-family housing demand.
- Both companies have navigated interest rate volatility and supply chain normalization in recent market activity.
- LEN maintains a larger scale with broader geographic footprint compared to PHM.
- Relative performance has reflected sector-wide sensitivity to mortgage rates and consumer confidence metrics.
- Market sentiment for both remains tied to housing affordability trends and new home order data.
- AI-driven analysis highlights differences in operational efficiency and backlog metrics as key differentiators.
Introduction
This comparison examines LEN and PHM, two prominent publicly traded homebuilders, to assist traders and investors evaluating relative positioning within the residential construction sector. The analysis focuses on business models, recent price behavior, and market sentiment in the current environment shaped by interest rates and housing supply dynamics. Institutional and retail market participants seeking data-driven insights into sector peers may find the review useful for portfolio allocation decisions or pair-trading strategies. Emphasis is placed on verifiable developments and observable metrics rather than forward projections.
LEN Overview and Recent Performance
LEN, Lennar Corporation, operates as one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, delivering homes across multiple price points and regions. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected broader housing market trends influenced by mortgage rate movements and inventory levels. Performance has been shaped by quarterly delivery volumes and order trends reported in periodic filings. Sentiment has responded to sector indicators such as existing home sales data and builder confidence surveys, with price action remaining consistent with peers amid fluctuating economic signals.
PHM Overview and Recent Performance
PHM, PulteGroup, Inc., focuses on constructing single-family homes with an emphasis on move-up and active adult segments in select markets. Recent market activity has shown the stock tracking housing sector developments tied to affordability and buyer demand. Key influences include operational metrics such as gross margins and community counts disclosed in regulatory updates. Sentiment shifts have aligned with industry-wide factors including labor costs and material pricing stability, resulting in price behavior comparable to other large builders.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LEN and PHM share core exposure to the U.S. residential market yet differ in scale and focus. LEN operates with greater geographic diversification and volume, while PHM emphasizes targeted buyer segments that can influence margin stability. Recent momentum for both has tracked housing starts and permit data, with relative strength varying by earnings cycles. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity for both, though LEN’s larger backlog may offer different cushioning compared to PHM’s regional concentration. Market sentiment reflects shared sector drivers such as consumer confidence and regulatory environment, creating trade-offs in liquidity and volatility profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic preference to LEN due to its scale and broader exposure supporting steadier signals. This assessment remains conditional on continued alignment with sector catalysts and does not constitute investment guidance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LEN is a Buy and PHM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LEN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePHM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LEN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PHM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LEN’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PHM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LEN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LEN (@Homebuilding) experienced а -2.71% price change this week, while PHM (@Homebuilding) price change was -1.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
LEN is expected to report earnings on Sep 17, 2026.
PHM is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-3.97% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| LEN | PHM | LEN / PHM | |
| Capitalization | 19.8B | 24.1B | 82% |
| EBITDA | 2.18B | 2.61B | 84% |
| Gain YTD | -18.626 | 8.314 | -224% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.91 | 12.92 | 100% |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 16.4B | 199% |
| Total Cash | 2.13B | 1.89B | 113% |
| Total Debt | 6.01B | 2.3B | 262% |
LEN | PHM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PHM's Valuation (64) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (89). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (100). This means that PHM’s stock grew somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's SMR Rating (58) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (81). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (62). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (22). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
| LEN | PHM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 57% |
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LEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LEN has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LEN jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.
PHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.