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KNX vs ODFL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) vs. Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ODFL has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 42%, outpacing KNX's 25% gain amid a recovering freight market.
- KNX trades at a more attractive forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34 compared to ODFL's 43, suggesting potential value in its diversified operations.
- Both stocks benefit from tightening truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) freight conditions, with KNX signaling double-digit rate hikes ahead.
- ODFL, a pure-play LTL leader, boasts higher margins and market cap over $46 billion, versus KNX's $10.6 billion.
- Analysts rate KNX a Strong Buy with a $70 target, while ODFL holds a Hold consensus amid valuation debates.
- KNX offers a higher dividend yield of 1.23% compared to ODFL's 0.53%.
Introduction
Investors tracking the transportation sector often compare KNX and ODFL, two leading players in North American freight. KNX provides truckload, LTL, logistics, and intermodal services, while ODFL specializes in LTL shipping. This stock comparison highlights their relative performance, business models, and market positioning in recent market activity. Traders seeking exposure to freight recovery signals and investors evaluating cyclical transport names will find insights into momentum, valuations, and growth prospects.
KNX Overview and Recent Performance
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) operates as an integrated freight carrier across truckload, LTL (less-than-truckload), logistics, and intermodal segments, serving retail, manufacturing, and consumer goods industries from its Phoenix headquarters. In recent weeks, shares have traded around $65, near the upper end of the 52-week range of $38-$68, reflecting YTD gains of 25%. A first-quarter net loss was reported due to soft freight rates and elevated fuel costs, yet management expressed optimism on tightening market fundamentals, including rising spot rates and bid activity. Updated guidance points to sequential improvements, with analysts forecasting robust earnings per share (EPS) growth of 46% for the current year, driving positive sentiment shifts.
ODFL Overview and Recent Performance
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina, dominates the LTL segment with regional, inter-regional, and national services, backed by a fleet of over 10,000 tractors. Shares hover near $222, within a 52-week range of $126-$227, bolstered by YTD returns exceeding 41%. Recent market activity featured a Q4 earnings beat and shares hitting new highs, fueled by signs of freight recession easing. Upcoming quarterly results are anticipated with stable revenue projections, though EPS growth estimates are more modest at around 6% for the year. Valuation concerns have tempered enthusiasm, contributing to mixed analyst views amid broader sector volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KNX and ODFL both navigate the cyclical freight sector but differ in focus: KNX's broader truckload exposure heightens sensitivity to volume swings, while ODFL's LTL purity yields superior margins and operational efficiency. Growth drivers include market tightening for both, but KNX projects steeper EPS acceleration versus ODFL's steadier path. Recent momentum favors ODFL with higher YTD returns, though KNX offers relative value via lower forward P/E and dividend appeal. Risks encompass fuel costs and economic slowdowns, with similar betas around 1.2; sentiment leans bullish for KNX on rate hike prospects, while ODFL faces premium pricing scrutiny.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor ODFL in the current environment, given its superior YTD momentum, market leadership in high-margin LTL, and resilient trend consistency amid freight stabilization. While KNX presents upside from projected growth and value metrics, ODFL's relative strength and stability edge it ahead probabilistically for trend-following strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KNX is a Hold and ODFL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KNX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileODFL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KNX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ODFL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KNX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ODFL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KNX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ODFL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KNX (@Trucking) experienced а -4.86% price change this week, while ODFL (@Trucking) price change was -7.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -5.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
KNX is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
ODFL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-5.41% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| KNX | ODFL | KNX / ODFL | |
| Capitalization | 12.3B | 45.7B | 27% |
| EBITDA | 993M | 1.71B | 58% |
| Gain YTD | 45.067 | 40.373 | 112% |
| P/E Ratio | 359.05 | 45.83 | 783% |
| Revenue | 7.5B | 5.46B | 137% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 288M | - |
| Total Debt | 2.66B | 40M | 6,658% |
KNX | ODFL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 86 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KNX's Valuation (91) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (93). This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (53). This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's SMR Rating (41) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KNX (91). This means that ODFL’s stock grew somewhat faster than KNX’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as KNX (39). This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (19). This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
| KNX | ODFL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 15 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 58% | 8 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 75% |
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KNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KNX has been closely correlated with SNDR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KNX jumps, then SNDR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KNX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNX | 100% | +1.69% | ||
| SNDR - KNX | 81% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| WERN - KNX | 79% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| SAIA - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| CVLG - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| ODFL - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
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ODFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ODFL has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ODFL jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ODFL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | 100% | -0.69% | ||
| SAIA - ODFL | 83% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| ARCB - ODFL | 82% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| KNX - ODFL | 78% Closely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| TFII - ODFL | 75% Closely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| MRTN - ODFL | 75% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
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