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KNX vs XPO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) vs. XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- XPO has significantly outperformed KNX over the past year, delivering approximately 129% returns compared to KNX's 68%.
- Recent market activity shows KNX gaining about 17% over the past month amid analyst upgrades, while XPO maintains strong momentum near its 52-week highs.
- XPO focuses on less-than-truckload (LTL) freight with robust revenue growth, contrasting KNX's diversified truckload and intermodal operations facing softer demand.
- Analyst price targets suggest moderate upside for both, with KNX at around $68 and XPO higher at $212-$260, reflecting XPO's growth premium.
- XPO exhibits higher volatility (beta 2.02) versus KNX (beta 1.17), appealing to growth-oriented traders over stability seekers.
Introduction
Investors and traders navigating the transportation sector often compare KNX and XPO due to their roles in freight logistics amid fluctuating freight rates and supply chain dynamics. KNX, a truckload giant, contrasts with XPO's LTL specialization, offering insights into truckload versus parcel-like efficiency. This stock comparison analyzes recent performance, business models, and market positioning to aid decisions on relative strength in current conditions, relevant for sector-focused portfolios or tactical trades.
KNX Overview and Recent Performance
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is one of North America's largest full truckload (FTL) carriers, providing truckload, intermodal, and logistics services across 1.6 billion loaded miles annually. Its diversified model spans regional and long-haul operations. In recent weeks, KNX shares have risen about 17%, trading near $65, buoyed by analyst upgrades like Bank of America despite a lowered Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance to $0.08-$0.10 from prior estimates, reflecting softer freight demand and market pressures. Sentiment has stabilized with expectations of tightening truckload markets, supporting moderate recovery.
XPO Overview and Recent Performance
XPO, Inc. (XPO) leads in asset-based less-than-truckload (LTL) freight, covering 99% of U.S. zip codes with a customer-focused network spanning North America. Post-spin-off, it emphasizes LTL efficiency and technology-driven operations. Recent market activity has propelled XPO shares to around $223, near 52-week highs of $231, with year-to-date gains exceeding 68% amid strong revenue momentum and positive analyst updates like Jefferies' $275 target. Robust LTL demand and operational leverage have driven favorable sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both KNX and XPO operate in freight transportation but diverge in focus: KNX's truckload and intermodal exposure ties it to broader economic cycles and spot market rates, while XPO's LTL model benefits from recurring contract revenue and network density. Growth drivers favor XPO with higher revenue expansion versus KNX's softer trends. Recent momentum strongly tilts to XPO (62% past-year returns vs. 18%), though KNX offers lower risk via stability. Sector headwinds like freight softness weigh more on truckload, while LTL resilience aids XPO. Market sentiment leans bullish on XPO's catalysts versus KNX's recovery path.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor XPO over KNX, driven by superior trend consistency, relative outperformance, and LTL growth catalysts positioning it better amid recent market dynamics. KNX shows stabilization potential, but probabilistic edges point to XPO for momentum trades.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KNX is a Hold and XPO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KNX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileXPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KNX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KNX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KNX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KNX (@Trucking) experienced а -4.86% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was -8.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -5.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
KNX is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-5.41% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| KNX | XPO | KNX / XPO | |
| Capitalization | 12.3B | 23.6B | 52% |
| EBITDA | 993M | 1.22B | 82% |
| Gain YTD | 45.067 | 48.032 | 94% |
| P/E Ratio | 359.05 | 69.14 | 519% |
| Revenue | 7.5B | 8.3B | 90% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 237M | - |
| Total Debt | 2.66B | 4.03B | 66% |
KNX | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
XPO's Valuation (89) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as KNX (91). This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as KNX (39). This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's SMR Rating (46) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KNX (91). This means that XPO’s stock grew somewhat faster than KNX’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as XPO (43). This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
KNX's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as XPO (13). This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
| KNX | XPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 11 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 58% | 5 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 77% |
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KNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KNX has been closely correlated with SNDR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KNX jumps, then SNDR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KNX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNX | 100% | +1.69% | ||
| SNDR - KNX | 81% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| WERN - KNX | 79% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| SAIA - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| CVLG - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| ODFL - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
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XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | +0.85% | ||
| SAIA - XPO | 77% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | +0.66% | ||
| ODFL - XPO | 72% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | +2.24% | ||
| ARCB - XPO | 70% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
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