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LRCX vs MTSI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX commands a market capitalization exceeding $320 billion, over 14 times that of MTSI's approximately $22 billion, reflecting greater scale in semiconductor equipment.
- Both stocks have surged in recent market activity, driven by AI demand, with MTSI posting a year-to-date gain of about 72% compared to LRCX's 52%.
- Recent quarterly earnings for both exceeded expectations, boosting sentiment amid semiconductor sector recovery.
- LRCX trades at a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of around 49, more reasonable than MTSI's 133, indicating relative valuation differences.
- Several of Tickeron's trending AI bots actively trade LRCX alongside other semiconductor leaders, highlighting its prominence in algorithmic strategies.
- While both benefit from AI infrastructure growth, LRCX offers broader exposure to wafer fabrication equipment, contrasting MTSI's niche in analog RF solutions.
Introduction
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) and MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) represent key players in the semiconductor ecosystem, with LRCX focusing on critical manufacturing equipment and MTSI specializing in analog components. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for traders and investors navigating the semiconductor sector's volatility amid surging AI and data center demand. By examining recent performance, business models, and market positioning, readers can assess relative strengths in this high-growth but cyclical industry, aiding decisions on portfolio allocation or short-term trades.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is a leading supplier of wafer fabrication equipment used in semiconductor manufacturing, particularly for etch, deposition, and clean processes essential to advanced chip production. In recent weeks, LRCX has shown robust momentum, with shares trading around $259 amid a year-to-date advance of over 50%. Key influences include strong quarterly results that beat revenue and earnings estimates, coupled with upbeat guidance reflecting sustained demand for AI-driven chips and memory recovery. Sentiment has been bolstered by the company's position in the AI supercycle, though exposure to China markets introduces regulatory risks. Overall, LRCX exhibits trend consistency in recent market activity.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs and manufactures analog semiconductors, including RF (radio frequency), microwave, and millimeter wave products for applications in telecom, data centers, defense, and industrial markets. Recent market activity has propelled MTSI shares to near $295, marking a year-to-date gain of approximately 72%. Performance has been driven by quarterly earnings that surpassed forecasts, with revenue growth highlighting strength in AI infrastructure and 5G-related demand. Positive analyst revisions underscore growth potential, though the stock's elevated valuation reflects optimism. Volatility remains a factor given its smaller size, but sentiment has shifted favorably in recent weeks.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curated from hundreds (over 350) available bots that trade thousands of tickers across diverse strategies. Only those demonstrating superior adaptation to current market conditions—such as AI-driven semiconductor rallies—earn a spot in this dynamic section, which currently features 25 bots. These include short-term scalpers (5-60 minutes) with annualized returns ranging from 23% to over 160%, win rates of 51% to 88%, and profit factors up to 11.7. Many target semiconductors, including bots trading LRCX with peers like AMAT and KLAC, boasting 60-96% annualized gains. With varying timeframes, risk parameters (e.g., 3% take-profit/2% stop-loss), and styles from trend-following to volatility plays, these bots offer tools for different trader profiles. Traders can explore Trending AI Robots to identify strategies aligning with their goals.
Head-to-Head Comparison
LRCX and MTSI both thrive on semiconductor tailwinds but differ in business models: LRCX provides capital-intensive wafer fab equipment tied to cyclical chip production cycles, while MTSI focuses on higher-margin analog components with steadier demand from datacom and defense. Growth drivers overlap in AI infrastructure, yet LRCX benefits more from NAND/DRAM expansions, contrasting MTSI's RF strengths in 5G and hyperscalers. Recent momentum favors MTSI with sharper short-term gains, but LRCX shows superior stability via its scale. Risk factors include LRCX's China dependencies versus MTSI's concentration risks. Sector exposure is concentrated in semis for both, with market sentiment leaning positive on AI catalysts, though MTSI's premium valuation poses trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools, including trending robots, currently lean toward LRCX with higher probability for sustained upside. This assessment stems from its consistent appearance in high-performing semi-focused bots, robust earnings trends, and leading position in AI equipment demand, offering better relative stability amid volatility. While MTSI exhibits strong momentum, LRCX's scale and catalysts provide a more probabilistic edge in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a Hold and MTSI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -3.17% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +4.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +140.48%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +39.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +81.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-0.97% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+4.47% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| LRCX | MTSI | LRCX / MTSI | |
| Capitalization | 356B | 28.7B | 1,240% |
| EBITDA | 8.07B | 276M | 2,925% |
| Gain YTD | 66.527 | 119.290 | 56% |
| P/E Ratio | 53.82 | 159.83 | 34% |
| Revenue | 21.7B | 1.07B | 2,020% |
| Total Cash | 4.75B | 665M | 714% |
| Total Debt | 3.73B | 377M | 990% |
LRCX | MTSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LRCX's Valuation (82) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (4) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (60) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (35) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (17) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | MTSI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 65% | 20 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 76% |
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | -4.82% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 86% Closely correlated | -0.89% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| RMBS - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | -2.61% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | -5.22% | ||
| ADI - LRCX | 79% Closely correlated | -2.18% | ||
More | ||||
MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | -2.08% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -4.82% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -2.41% | ||
| AMAT - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -0.89% | ||
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