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MTSI vs VECO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) vs. Veeco Instruments Inc. (VECO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI commands a market capitalization exceeding $22 billion, dwarfing VECO's approximately $3 billion, reflecting greater scale in the semiconductor space.
- Both stocks have delivered robust year-to-date gains around 72-75%, driven by semiconductor demand, but VECO showed stronger monthly momentum recently.
- MTSI trades at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 133 versus VECO's 85, signaling premium valuation for its growth prospects.
- Tickeron's AI rates MTSI as a Strong Buy while VECO as a Hold, citing superior trend consistency.
- Recent developments include strong Q1 revenue for MTSI and equipment orders plus merger speculation for VECO.
Introduction
This comparison pits MTSI, a leader in analog semiconductor solutions, against VECO, a provider of thin-film process equipment, both key players in the semiconductor ecosystem fueling AI and data center expansion. Traders eyeing relative performance in the tech sector, particularly amid heightened demand for optical and RF technologies, will find value in assessing their market positioning, recent momentum, and growth trajectories. Investors seeking exposure to semiconductor supply chain dynamics can use this analysis to weigh trade-offs in valuation, volatility, and catalysts.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications used in telecom infrastructure, defense, and data centers. In recent market activity, the stock has surged, with year-to-date gains exceeding 70% and trading near all-time highs around $295. This momentum stems from robust Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue growth of over 24% year-over-year to $272 million, bolstered by a strong book-to-bill ratio and expanding backlog in optical and defense segments. Analyst upgrades, such as Stifel's raised price target, have supported positive sentiment amid broader AI-driven demand for high-speed connectivity solutions.
VECO Overview and Recent Performance
Veeco Instruments Inc. (VECO) specializes in semiconductor process equipment like ion beam and chemical vapor deposition systems for logic chips, photonics, and power devices. The stock has exhibited volatile but upward recent weeks' behavior, with year-to-date returns around 75% and prices hovering near $50. Key influences include new orders for optical coating systems and discussions around a potential merger with Axcelis, alongside anticipation for Q1 earnings. Despite a quarterly revenue dip, strong industry outlooks and analyst target hikes have fueled gains, reflecting optimism in semiconductor manufacturing equipment demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI focuses on integrated circuit design for end-markets like 5G/6G telecom and radar, contrasting VECO's hardware-centric model supplying deposition tools to chip fabricators. Growth drivers diverge: MTSI benefits from data center optical demand, while VECO leverages photonics and advanced packaging orders. Recent momentum favors VECO's sharper short-term rises amid merger buzz, but MTSI shows greater trend consistency with higher revenue scale ($1B+ TTM). Risk profiles differ, with MTSI's beta at 1.48 indicating amplified volatility versus VECO's 1.10; both face sector cyclicality but MTSI's defense exposure adds resilience. Market sentiment tilts toward MTSI's premium positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI with a Strong Buy rating over VECO's Hold, based on superior technical indicators, larger scale, and alignment with optical chip trends near record highs. While VECO offers momentum in equipment plays, MTSI's backlog strength and profitability metrics suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in a semiconductor upcycle.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTSI is a StrongBuy and VECO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileVECO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VECO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VECO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- VECO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +9.98% price change this week, while VECO (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +32.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.59%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +17.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +135.39%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
VECO is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+4.34% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+17.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| MTSI | VECO | MTSI / VECO | |
| Capitalization | 29B | 4.73B | 613% |
| EBITDA | 276M | 51.7M | 534% |
| Gain YTD | 121.783 | 171.099 | 71% |
| P/E Ratio | 161.65 | 203.89 | 79% |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 655M | 164% |
| Total Cash | 665M | 383M | 174% |
| Total Debt | 377M | 261M | 144% |
MTSI | VECO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VECO's Valuation (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (84) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that VECO’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as VECO (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to VECO’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's SMR Rating (62) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as VECO (90) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to VECO’s over the last 12 months.
VECO's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (36) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that VECO’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
VECO's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (19) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that VECO’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | VECO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 14 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 69% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +1.36% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +5.55% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +8.29% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +8.71% | ||
| AMAT - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.64% | ||
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VECO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VECO has been closely correlated with ACLS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VECO jumps, then ACLS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VECO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VECO | 100% | +8.29% | ||
| ACLS - VECO | 86% Closely correlated | +3.77% | ||
| RMBS - VECO | 75% Closely correlated | +1.45% | ||
| POWI - VECO | 72% Closely correlated | +0.80% | ||
| SLAB - VECO | 72% Closely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| MPWR - VECO | 71% Closely correlated | -0.77% | ||
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