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LUNR vs VOYG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intuitive Machines (LUNR) vs. Voyager Technologies (VOYG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LUNR operates at a materially larger revenue scale, with a roughly $1.8 billion backlog versus VOYG's record $275 million backlog.
- Both companies are tied to space and defense spending, but LUNR skews toward lunar infrastructure and satellite communications, while VOYG spans defense systems, space solutions, and commercial space stations.
- Neither company is currently profitable on a GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) basis, making execution and backlog conversion central to each investment thesis.
- LUNR has recently added large awards and acquisitions, while VOYG has leaned on accelerating bookings tied to defense demand.
Introduction
Space and defense equities have drawn sustained investor attention as government and commercial budgets expand across lunar exploration, satellite infrastructure, and national security. This stock comparison examines LUNR and VOYG, two publicly traded companies operating in overlapping but distinct corners of the aerospace economy. Intuitive Machines and Voyager Technologies both generate revenue from government and commercial customers, yet their relative performance, business models, and risk profiles differ meaningfully. Investors and traders focused on the space infrastructure and defense technology themes may find this comparison useful for understanding how each company is positioned in the current market environment.
LUNR Overview and Recent Performance
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is a space infrastructure and services company known for its lunar landers and its expanding satellite and communications portfolio. The company successfully soft-landed its Nova-C lander on the Moon in 2024 and returned to the lunar south pole in 2025, establishing a track record that has supported a growing relationship with NASA (the National Aeronautics and Space Administration).
Recent market activity has been shaped by a series of significant developments. The company reported record second-quarter 2026 revenue of $206.2 million, up more than 300% year over year, and exited the quarter with a record backlog of approximately $1.8 billion after booking roughly $920 million in new awards. This included a $180.4 million NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) task order and a commercial geostationary satellite contract. Intuitive Machines has also expanded through acquisitions, including Lanteris Space Systems and the Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT ground-station businesses, and announced a $175 million strategic equity investment.
Despite the revenue growth, profitability has remained elusive. The company recorded a negative adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) in its most recent quarter, partly reflecting fixed-price lunar mission costs. Management has reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $900 million to $1 billion, but the stock has declined over the past six months as investors weigh execution risk against an expanding order book.
VOYG Overview and Recent Performance
Voyager Technologies (VOYG) is a defense and space technology company that completed its initial public offering (IPO) on the New York Stock Exchange in June 2025. The company operates across three segments: Defense & National Security, Space Solutions, and Starlab Space Stations, offering capabilities such as solid propulsion, signal intelligence, and space-qualified communications systems.
Recent weeks have featured strengthening commercial momentum. In its most recent quarter, Voyager reported net sales of roughly $35 million, bookings of about $45 million, and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3, which pushed its backlog to a record $275 million, up 54% year over year. Management attributed much of the demand to Golden Dome-aligned defense programs and next-generation interceptor work, and it raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $230 million to $255 million, implying 38% to 53% growth. The company ended the period with approximately $429 million in cash and equivalents.
Voyager remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, reporting a net loss in its most recent quarter, and its revenue base is still relatively small. However, the combination of record backlog, accelerating bookings, and a well-capitalized balance sheet has supported sentiment as the company works to scale production and convert awards into revenue.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply in scale and focus. LUNR is the larger revenue generator, with a backlog more than six times the size of VOYG's, and it is positioned primarily around lunar access and an emerging space data network. VOYG is earlier in its scaling journey but carries a more diversified defense-and-space mix, including exposure to commercial space stations through Starlab.
Growth drivers also diverge. LUNR is anchored to NASA lunar missions, geostationary satellite programs, and acquisitions that broaden its communications footprint, while VOYG is riding defense spending tied to Golden Dome and next-generation interceptor initiatives. On risk, LUNR faces execution and margin pressure from fixed-price lunar programs, whereas VOYG faces the challenges of a small revenue base and negative margins as it scales. Both are unprofitable on a GAAP basis, so market positioning ultimately hinges on backlog conversion and operating leverage rather than current earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a more favorable near-term bias to VOYG. The company's accelerating bookings, record backlog growth, raised guidance, and ample liquidity present a cleaner, more consistent momentum profile, even though its absolute revenue base is smaller. LUNR offers a larger addressable opportunity and a much deeper backlog, but recent earnings have shown margin pressure and negative adjusted EBITDA, which can weigh on trend quality. This is a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive prediction; a shift in execution or new catalysts could meaningfully alter the relative outlook for either company.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LUNR is a Hold and VOYG is a Hold.
LUNR's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for LUNR entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 142 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 120 of the 142 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LUNR as a result. In 57 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LUNR turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.
LUNR moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LUNR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +16.67% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LUNR advanced for three days, in 174 of 205 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
LUNR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LUNR's P/B Ratio (-5.929) is slightly lower than the industry average of (4.950). P/E Ratio (-11.426) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.980). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.940) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LUNR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUNR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
VOYG sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
VOYG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 24, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 9 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 9 of the 9 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VOYG as a result. In 16 of 19 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
VOYG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VOYG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VOYG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
VOYG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for VOYG entered a downward trend on September 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 16 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VOYG advanced for three days, in 60 of 70 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.703) is normal, around the industry mean (4.950). P/E Ratio (-19.609) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.980). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.792) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VOYG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VOYG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
| LUNR | VOYG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 29 days ago 85% | 23 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LUNR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while VOYG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LUNR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VOYG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LUNR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VOYG’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LUNR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- VOYG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
LUNR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -16.49% price change this week, while VOYG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -7.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -3.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -14.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
LUNR is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
VOYG is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-3.05% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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LUNR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LUNR has been closely correlated with RKLB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LUNR jumps, then RKLB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LUNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUNR | 100% | -0.37% | ||
| RKLB - LUNR | 78% Closely correlated | +1.02% | ||
| VOYG - LUNR | 71% Closely correlated | -0.99% | ||
| FLY - LUNR | 68% Closely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| RDW - LUNR | 67% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| PL - LUNR | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
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VOYG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VOYG has been closely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VOYG jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VOYG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOYG | 100% | -0.99% | ||
| LUNR - VOYG | 71% Closely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| RKLB - VOYG | 70% Closely correlated | +1.02% | ||
| RDW - VOYG | 70% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| FLY - VOYG | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| SATL - VOYG | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
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