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MCHP vs MXL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. MaxLinear (MXL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MXL has surged over 200% year-to-date (YTD), dramatically outperforming MCHP's solid 35% YTD gain, driven by infrastructure demand.
- Both stocks reported earnings beats in recent quarters, with MXL posting 43% year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth and MCHP achieving 15-16% YoY increases.
- MCHP shares rose approximately 37% in the past 30 days, reflecting strong momentum ahead of upcoming results.
- MXL exhibits higher volatility with a beta around 1.7, compared to MCHP's 1.5, amid sector-wide semiconductor rallies.
- MCHP boasts a larger market capitalization near $47 billion versus MXL's approximately $5 billion.
- Semiconductor exposure remains a key theme in trending AI trading strategies.
Introduction
In the competitive semiconductor sector, MCHP and MXL represent distinct approaches to chip design and markets. Microchip Technology focuses on microcontrollers (MCUs) and embedded systems, while MaxLinear specializes in communications systems-on-chip (SoCs). This stock comparison is particularly relevant for traders and investors tracking relative performance in semiconductors, amid ongoing demand for industrial, automotive, and infrastructure applications. Recent market activity highlights shifts in momentum, growth drivers, and risk profiles, aiding decisions on portfolio positioning in this cyclical industry.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) is a leading provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions, with more than half of revenue from MCUs used in industrial, automotive, and consumer applications. In recent market activity, MCHP shares have gained around 37% over the past 30 days, trading near $86 with a market cap of about $47 billion. This momentum follows a strong third-quarter fiscal 2026, where revenue rose 15.6% YoY to $1.19 billion, beating estimates, alongside raised guidance for sequential growth. Positive sentiment stems from recovering demand in automotive and industrial sectors, analyst upgrades, and consistent profitability over 141 quarters. Volatility remains moderate, with shares showing resilience in broader semiconductor uptrends.
MXL Overview and Recent Performance
MaxLinear (MXL) delivers communications SoCs for broadband, networking, and optical applications, primarily in infrastructure and connectivity markets. Recent weeks have seen heightened volatility for MXL, with shares trading around $53 after post-earnings surges, maintaining a market cap near $5 billion. First-quarter 2026 results showed revenue up 43% YoY to $137.2 million, exceeding forecasts, fueled by infrastructure growth, while guidance for Q2 points to $160-170 million. The company also lifted its 2026 optical data center outlook to $150-170 million. Investor sentiment has shifted positively on connectivity demand, though higher beta reflects sensitivity to market swings in the semiconductor space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCHP and MXL both operate in semiconductors but diverge in business models: MCHP emphasizes diversified MCUs for embedded end-markets like autos and industrials, while MXL targets high-growth communications SoCs for broadband and optical infrastructure. Growth drivers favor MXL's recent 43% revenue surge versus MCHP's steadier 15-16%, tied to data center catalysts. Recent momentum tilts to MXL's 200% YTD gains over MCHP's 35%, though MCHP shows better trend consistency. Risk factors include cyclical exposure, with MXL facing higher volatility (beta 1.7) as a smaller cap. Market sentiment is bullish for both amid sector recovery, but trade-offs involve MCHP's scale versus MXL's upside potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MXL over MCHP based on superior relative momentum, explosive YTD performance, and catalysts like expanded optical data center guidance. While MCHP offers greater stability and consistent trends, MXL's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid infrastructure tailwinds, subject to semiconductor volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCHP is a Buy and MXL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMXL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MXL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MXL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MXL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а -2.48% price change this week, while MXL (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
MXL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-0.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | MXL | MCHP / MXL | |
| Capitalization | 50.6B | 7.98B | 634% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | -57.01M | -2,066% |
| Gain YTD | 47.960 | 411.073 | 12% |
| P/E Ratio | 466.86 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 4.71B | 509M | 926% |
| Total Cash | 240M | 61.1M | 393% |
| Total Debt | 5.54B | 151M | 3,666% |
MCHP | MXL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 57 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MXL's Valuation (68) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (90). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MXL's Profit vs Risk Rating (57) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (75). This means that MXL’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's SMR Rating (90) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (98). This means that MCHP’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (34). This means that MCHP’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MXL (54). This means that MCHP’s stock grew similarly to MXL’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | MXL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 6 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 81% |
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | -9.20% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 97% Closely correlated | -8.19% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 77% Closely correlated | -8.40% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 76% Closely correlated | -7.21% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 76% Closely correlated | -8.58% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | -11.01% | ||
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MXL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MXL has been loosely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MXL jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MXL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXL | 100% | -7.63% | ||
| MCHP - MXL | 59% Loosely correlated | -9.20% | ||
| AMKR - MXL | 58% Loosely correlated | -7.30% | ||
| KLAC - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| VECO - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.38% | ||
| MU - MXL | 57% Loosely correlated | -13.18% | ||
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