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NXPI vs STM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NXPI and STM delivered strong Q1 2026 revenue growth, with NXPI up 12% year-over-year to $3.18 billion and STM up 23% to $3.1 billion.
- STM has shown explosive recent momentum, with shares rallying over 50% in the past 30 days amid a broader recovery, while NXPI surged post-earnings but faces market pressures.
- Year-to-date, STM leads with 91.68% gains compared to NXPI's 6.69%, reflecting stronger relative performance in the semiconductor sector.
- NXPI boasts a healthier profit margin at 16.47% and EPS (earnings per share) of $10.46, underscoring operational stability versus STM's lower EPS of $0.16.
- Market caps are comparable at $58B for NXPI and $44B for STM, with both benefiting from automotive and industrial end-market strength.
Introduction
As leading players in the semiconductor industry, NXPI and STM cater to overlapping markets like automotive, industrial, and IoT applications. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders eyeing sector recovery trends and investors seeking exposure to analog and mixed-signal chips amid electric vehicle (EV) growth and supply chain stabilization. With recent earnings highlighting resilience, understanding their relative performance, valuations, and momentum helps inform positioning in a volatile market environment.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) designs and manufactures semiconductors for automotive, industrial, IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure markets. In recent market activity, shares traded around $230, within a 52-week range of $176-$256, reflecting a year-to-date gain of 6.69%. The stock experienced a sharp post-earnings surge of over 11% following Q1 2026 results, which showed revenue of $3.18 billion (up 12% year-over-year) and non-GAAP EPS of $3.05, beating estimates. Strong demand in automotive and industrial segments drove sentiment, though broader sector pressures and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 119.71% tempered gains. Optimistic Q2 guidance further supported stability.
STM Overview and Recent Performance
STMicroelectronics (STM) develops semiconductors for automotive, industrial, personal electronics, and communications. Shares recently hovered near $50, in a 52-week range of $21-$52, delivering year-to-date returns of 91.68% amid a sharp rally from the low $30s over the past 30 days. Q1 2026 revenue reached $3.1 billion (up 23% year-over-year), exceeding guidance despite an EPS miss at $0.13; the company highlighted AI data center potential and new sensor launches. Positive Q2 outlook fueled a 12% post-earnings jump, boosting sentiment on industrial and EV exposure, though profitability remains pressured with a P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) above 300.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies focus on high-growth areas like automotive semiconductors and industrial IoT, but NXPI emphasizes secure connectivity and processors, while STM leans into sensors and power management for broader consumer applications. Growth drivers differ: STM's 23% Q1 revenue surge outpaced NXPI's 12%, fueling superior momentum (116% 1-year return vs. 20%). Recent sentiment favors STM on rally strength, but NXPI offers better margins (16.47% vs. low single digits) and ROE (return on equity) at 20.7%. Risks include cyclical demand and geopolitical tensions; NXPI's higher leverage contrasts STM's beta of 1.22. Sector exposure aligns closely, but STM edges in valuation upside potential per analyst targets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors STM with higher probability due to consistent trend strength, explosive YTD gains, and robust Q2 guidance amid semiconductor upswing, positioning it ahead of NXPI's steadier but less dynamic profile.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NXPI is a Hold and STM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NXPI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSTM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NXPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NXPI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STM’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NXPI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -11.28% price change this week, while STM (@Semiconductors) price change was -11.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -8.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +89.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
STM is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-8.11% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| NXPI | STM | NXPI / STM | |
| Capitalization | 72.1B | 63B | 114% |
| EBITDA | 4.72B | 2.32B | 204% |
| Gain YTD | 32.241 | 173.484 | 19% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.30 | 442.13 | 6% |
| Revenue | 12.6B | 12.4B | 102% |
| Total Cash | 3.38B | 4.57B | 74% |
| Total Debt | 11.7B | 2.78B | 420% |
NXPI | STM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (44) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STM (90). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
STM's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (51). This means that STM’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STM (91). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as STM (34). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to STM’s over the last 12 months.
STM's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (35). This means that STM’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| NXPI | STM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 64% | 9 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 61% |
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with ENTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then ENTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | -3.98% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | -4.07% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.64% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -0.17% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 75% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
| ACLS - NXPI | 73% Closely correlated | -4.37% | ||
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