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MHO vs PHM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? M/I Homes (MHO) vs. PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MHO and PHM operate in the residential homebuilding sector, facing similar headwinds from elevated mortgage rates and affordability challenges in recent market activity.
- PHM has demonstrated stronger year-to-date performance at approximately 8.9%, outperforming MHO's modest 0.5% gain.
- MHO, a mid-cap player, shows higher volatility with a beta of 1.77, while larger PHM offers greater scale and market cap exceeding $24 billion.
- Recent weeks have seen both stocks decline amid broader homebuilder sentiment softening, with builder confidence hitting lows.
- Analysts rate both as buys, but MHO carries higher price target upside potential around 29% versus PHM's 10%.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight diverse strategies adaptable to volatile conditions affecting stocks like these homebuilders.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MHO and PHM, two prominent players in the U.S. residential construction industry. Both companies build single-family homes amid a housing market strained by high interest rates and economic uncertainty. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term sector recovery will find value in analyzing their relative performance, business models, and market positioning. With homebuilder stocks experiencing pressure in recent weeks, understanding these contrasts aids informed decision-making in a cyclical sector.
MHO Overview and Recent Performance
M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO) is a homebuilder focused on single-family attached and detached homes, primarily in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Southern U.S. markets across 17 states. The company operates in 213 communities, emphasizing customizable designs for entry-level to move-up buyers. In recent market activity, MHO shares have traded around $127, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 0.5% but declines in recent weeks, including sessions down over 2% while the broader market advanced. Sentiment has been influenced by sector-wide affordability issues and softening builder confidence, though Q4 results showed new contracts up 9% year-over-year despite a 4% drop in deliveries. Elevated mortgage rates have weighed on demand, contributing to stock volatility with a beta above 1.7.
PHM Overview and Recent Performance
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, offering a broad range of homes from entry-level to luxury, plus mortgage and insurance services through subsidiaries. It operates nationally with over 900 active communities. Shares have hovered near $127 in recent trading, posting a year-to-date return of roughly 8.9%, though past-month losses around 8% lagged the sector amid broader declines. Key pressures include anticipated Q1 earnings declines in EPS and revenue, tied to high rates curbing buyer affordability and slowing sales pace. Despite occasional outperformance versus the S&P 500, recent sessions showed mixed results, reflecting cautious market sentiment in homebuilding.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MHO and PHM share exposure to residential construction but differ in scale: PHM's $24 billion market cap dwarfs MHO's $3.3 billion, enabling broader geographic diversification and integrated financial services for steadier revenue streams. Growth drivers for MHO include rising contracts in growth markets, while PHM benefits from volume scale. Recent momentum favors neither decisively, with both down amid sector losses of 3% over three months, but PHM holds better YTD positioning. Risk factors are amplified for smaller MHO via higher beta, versus PHM's relative stability. Market sentiment reflects caution on rates, positioning PHM as lower-risk amid trade-offs in growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward PHM based on superior year-to-date relative performance, larger scale for resilience, and consistent trend positioning in a challenging homebuilding environment. Factors like broader diversification and analyst support suggest higher probability of stability over MHO's volatility, though both warrant monitoring for rate catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MHO is a Buy and PHM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MHO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePHM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MHO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PHM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MHO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PHM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MHO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
MHO (@Homebuilding) experienced а +5.52% price change this week, while PHM (@Homebuilding) price change was +2.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
MHO is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
PHM is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-1.34% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| MHO | PHM | MHO / PHM | |
| Capitalization | 3.8B | 24.1B | 16% |
| EBITDA | 516M | 2.79B | 18% |
| Gain YTD | 16.522 | 7.586 | 218% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.20 | 12.15 | 92% |
| Revenue | 4.36B | 16.8B | 26% |
| Total Cash | 767M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.01B | 2.28B | 44% |
MHO | PHM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 23 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MHO's Valuation (44) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (67). This means that MHO’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MHO (43). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to MHO’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's SMR Rating (54) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MHO (66). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to MHO’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Price Growth Rating (23) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MHO (41). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to MHO’s over the last 12 months.
MHO's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (14). This means that MHO’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.
| MHO | PHM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 75% | 19 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 9 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 76% |
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MHO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MHO has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MHO jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.
PHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.