MP
Price
$41.37
Change
-$0.29 (-0.70%)
Updated
Jul 31 closing price
Capitalization
7.36B
3 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
USAR
Price
$14.95
Change
+$0.30 (+2.05%)
Updated
Jul 31 closing price
Capitalization
3.66B
14 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MP vs USAR

MP vs USAR Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three
Jul 20, 2026

Which Stock Would AI Choose? MP Materials (MP) vs. USA Rare Earth (USAR) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Both MP and USAR operate in the rare earth minerals sector, focusing on critical materials for defense, electric vehicles, and advanced technologies.
  • MP benefits from established production at its Mountain Pass facility, providing operational scale in the Western Hemisphere rare earth supply chain.
  • USAR emphasizes vertical integration, including magnet manufacturing and domestic processing capabilities aimed at reducing reliance on foreign supply sources.
  • Recent market activity for both stocks reflects sector-wide influences such as geopolitical tensions and demand for secure critical minerals supply chains.
  • Relative performance has shown volatility tied to commodity prices, policy developments, and broader market sentiment toward materials and mining equities.
  • Investors comparing the two often weigh established output versus growth-oriented development in a strategically important industry.

Introduction

MP Materials Corp. (MP) and USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) are two publicly traded companies in the rare earth sector, an area of increasing focus due to its role in national security, clean energy technologies, and high-tech manufacturing. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Professional traders and investors monitoring critical minerals exposure, supply chain resilience, or materials sector trends may find this analysis relevant for assessing potential opportunities and risks across similar yet distinct operational profiles.

MP Overview and Recent Performance

MP Materials Corp. is the largest rare earth materials producer in the Western Hemisphere, primarily operating the Mountain Pass mine in California. The company focuses on the extraction and processing of rare earth elements used in magnets, catalysts, and other industrial applications. In recent weeks, MP shares have reflected broader sector dynamics, including fluctuations driven by global demand for rare earth oxides and ongoing efforts to expand domestic processing capacity. Market sentiment has been influenced by policy support for U.S. supply chain diversification and commodity price movements, contributing to measured volatility without extreme single-day swings.

USAR Overview and Recent Performance

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is developing a vertically integrated rare earth supply chain, including mining, processing, and sintered neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnet manufacturing. The company aims to establish domestic capabilities for critical minerals extraction and downstream production. Recent market activity for USAR has shown price movements aligned with sector sentiment around supply security and magnet demand from defense and electric vehicle markets. Developments such as project advancements and industry partnerships have contributed to investor attention, resulting in performance patterns that track broader materials sector trends over recent periods.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

MP Materials emphasizes current production scale at an operating mine, offering nearer-term output visibility, while USA Rare Earth prioritizes end-to-end integration from extraction through magnet manufacturing, introducing longer development timelines and execution risks. Both face sector exposure to rare earth price cycles, regulatory factors, and geopolitical supply concerns, yet MP’s established operations contrast with USAR’s growth-stage focus on domestic magnet capacity. Recent momentum for each has been shaped by similar catalysts around critical minerals policy, though relative stability may differ based on operational maturity versus project advancement. Market sentiment remains tied to broader materials equities, with trade-offs centering on production certainty versus strategic expansion potential.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in production metrics, operational stability indicators, and positioning within policy-supported supply chains, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic edge to MP for relative resilience in the near term. USAR’s development catalysts remain relevant but carry higher execution variability. This assessment reflects data patterns rather than forecasts and should be evaluated alongside individual risk tolerance.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
MP vs. USAR commentary
Aug 03, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MP is a Hold and USAR is a Buy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Aug 03, 2026
Stock price -- (MP: $41.37 vs. USAR: $14.95)
Brand notoriety: MP and USAR are both not notable
Both companies represent the Other Metals/Minerals industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MP: 142% vs. USAR: 57%
Market capitalization -- MP: $7.36B vs. USAR: $3.66B
MP [@Other Metals/Minerals] is valued at $7.36B. USAR’s [@Other Metals/Minerals] market capitalization is $3.66B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Other Metals/Minerals] industry ranges from $223.12B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Other Metals/Minerals] industry is $8.97B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUSAR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • MP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • USAR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, MP is a better buy in the long-term than USAR.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while USAR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • USAR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, USAR is a better buy in the short-term than MP.

Price Growth

MP (@Other Metals/Minerals) experienced а +0.17% price change this week, while USAR (@Other Metals/Minerals) price change was +5.65% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Metals/Minerals industry was -2.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.78%.

Reported Earning Dates

MP is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.

USAR is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Other Metals/Minerals (-2.05% weekly)

The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
MP($7.37B) has a higher market cap than USAR($3.66B). MP has higher P/E ratio than USAR: MP (770.50) vs USAR (20.27). USAR YTD gains are higher at: 25.630 vs. MP (-18.112). MP has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 29.5M vs. USAR (-414.74M). USAR (1.75B) and MP (1.74B) have equal amount of cash in the bank . USAR has less debt than MP: USAR (1.28M) vs MP (1B). MP has higher revenues than USAR: MP (254M) vs USAR (7.34M).
MPUSARMP / USAR
Capitalization7.37B3.66B201%
EBITDA29.5M-414.74M-7%
Gain YTD-18.11225.630-71%
P/E Ratio770.5020.273,802%
Revenue254M7.34M3,460%
Total Cash1.74B1.75B99%
Total Debt1B1.28M78,064%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MP: Fundamental Ratings
MP
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
55
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
92
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
94
SMR RATING
1..100
93
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
85
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
1
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MPUSAR
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
43%
MACD
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
44%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
46%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
77%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
62%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
74%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
N/A
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
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MP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
USAR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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USAR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USAR has been closely correlated with MP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if USAR jumps, then MP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To USAR
1D Price
Change %
USAR100%
+2.05%
MP - USAR
73%
Closely correlated
-0.70%
NB - USAR
69%
Closely correlated
-1.05%
UAMY - USAR
62%
Loosely correlated
-2.87%
CRML - USAR
62%
Loosely correlated
-1.26%
TMC - USAR
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.66%
More