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MPWR vs STM
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPWR is a Hold and STM is a StrongBuy.
MPWR sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On October 28, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MPWR moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 48 of the 59 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +9.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPWR advanced for three days, in 239 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MPWR moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 34 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MPWR as a result. In 81 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MPWR turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
MPWR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MPWR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The 50-day moving average for MPWR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPWR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
MPWR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MPWR entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPWR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MPWR's P/B Ratio (14.274) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.123). P/E Ratio (68.696) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.329). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.014) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.153) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
STM in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
STM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 43 cases where STM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for STM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Following a +3.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STM advanced for three days, in 205 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 65 cases where STM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STM as a result. In 69 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for STM turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
STM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for STM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for STM moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for STM entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.941) is normal, around the industry mean (5.123). STM's P/E Ratio (-799.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (14.329). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.195) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.370) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
MPWR | STM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 1 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 99 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STM's Valuation (1) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MPWR (87). This means that STM’s stock grew significantly faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STM (99). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's SMR Rating (44) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STM (91). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
STM's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (61). This means that STM’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for STM (100). This means that MPWR’s stock grew significantly faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | STM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while STM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 9 bearish.
- STM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 8 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а -5.62% price change this week, while STM (@Semiconductors) price change was -20.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -9.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -28.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
STM is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-9.96% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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STM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STM has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if STM jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To STM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STM | 100% | -12.39% | ||
| MCHPP - STM | 75% Closely correlated | -13.15% | ||
| MCHP - STM | 75% Closely correlated | -13.92% | ||
| MPWR - STM | 70% Closely correlated | -10.28% | ||
| ADI - STM | 70% Closely correlated | -11.13% | ||
| ENTG - STM | 69% Closely correlated | -12.68% | ||
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