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ADI vs MPWR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADI is a diversified analog and mixed-signal semiconductor leader, while MPWR is a focused provider of power-management semiconductors and modules.
- Both companies are benefiting from the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, but MPWR carries heavier, faster-growing AI data-center exposure.
- ADI delivered roughly 37% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent fiscal quarter, while MPWR posted about 48% growth.
- MPWR trades at a richer valuation and has outpaced the broader chip sector in 2026, while ADI offers broader diversification and a larger dividend.
- Both stocks have drawn rising analyst price targets, but each carries distinct risk profiles tied to customer concentration and margin expectations.
Introduction
Investors tracking the semiconductor sector are increasingly weighing two very different ways to play the same megatrend: AI-driven demand for more efficient power delivery. ADI (Analog Devices) and MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems) both supply the chips and modules that manage power inside servers, data centers, and industrial systems, yet their business models, growth profiles, and valuations diverge meaningfully. This stock comparison is relevant to traders and investors deciding between a diversified analog franchise with steady cash returns and a high-growth power-semiconductor specialist with concentrated AI exposure. Understanding their relative performance and market positioning can clarify which profile better fits a given portfolio or trading strategy.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
ADI is a global semiconductor company that bridges the physical and digital worlds with analog, mixed-signal, digital, and software technologies. Its portfolio spans industrial automation, automotive, healthcare, energy, communications, and data centers, with industrial representing its largest segment at about half of revenue. In recent quarters, the company has delivered accelerating growth: its most recent fiscal quarter posted revenue of roughly $4.0 billion with strong profitability, building on an earlier quarter that grew about 37% year over year and beat consensus expectations.
Several factors have shaped sentiment. ADI announced a $1.5 billion acquisition of Empower Semiconductor to add integrated voltage-regulator and silicon-capacitor technology aimed at AI data centers, reinforcing its push into power delivery. Management has highlighted record demand across its portfolio, with data center now contributing more than 75% of communications revenue and growing sharply. The company has also continued returning capital through a quarterly dividend and share repurchases. Analysts have responded by raising price targets broadly, reflecting confidence in sustained demand, even as the stock periodically consolidates after strong runs.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems) designs high-performance, semiconductor-based power electronics, including power-management integrated circuits and power modules used across computing, storage, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer markets. Unlike ADI's broad analog franchise, MPWR's growth narrative is tightly linked to AI servers and networking, with its Enterprise Data end market now the largest portion of sales. Recent quarters showed a sharp acceleration, with revenue up roughly 48% year over year and record earnings per share (EPS) as demand for AI power solutions surged.
Sentiment has been shaped by consistently strong results and guidance. Management has repeatedly raised its Enterprise Data growth floor for the year, and communications revenue—driven by optical modules and switches—has climbed rapidly as well. The company increased its dividend, expanded its buyback authorization, and won a favorable patent-litigation ruling. Analysts have lifted price targets substantially, with some above $2,000, reflecting confidence in the AI power cycle. At the same time, the stock's rich valuation, customer-concentration questions, and margin debates have kept some investors cautious during recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast is breadth versus concentration. ADI operates a diversified analog and mixed-signal model spanning industrial, automotive, and communications, which smooths cyclical swings and supports a larger, more established dividend. MPWR is more specialized, with a fast-growing power-management franchise disproportionately exposed to AI data-center spending, giving it higher growth potential but greater sensitivity to any slowdown in that single demand driver.
On growth, MPWR has outpaced ADI in recent quarters, reflecting its closer alignment with AI server ramps. On valuation, the market assigns MPWR a premium multiple consistent with that faster growth, while ADI trades at a more moderate level with steadier margins and diversification. Risk profiles differ accordingly: MPWR faces concentration, margin, and execution questions as it scales capacity, whereas ADI faces broader cyclical and geopolitical exposure across industrial and automotive demand. Market sentiment has been broadly positive for both, but MPWR has shown stronger 2026 price momentum.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, growth momentum, and catalyst strength, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward MPWR in the current environment. The company's accelerating revenue, repeated upward revisions to guidance, and direct exposure to AI power demand present a more consistent positive trend and stronger near-term catalysts. However, its elevated valuation and concentration risk mean this view is probabilistic rather than definitive. ADI remains attractive on stability and diversification, and would likely be favored in scenarios prioritizing lower volatility and income over growth.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADI is a StrongBuy and MPWR is a Buy.
Momentum Indicator for ADI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ADI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 105 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 76 of the 105 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADI just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +1.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADI advanced for three days, in 203 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 135 of 224 cases where ADI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADI moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
ADI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.024) is normal, around the industry mean (6.106). P/E Ratio (49.246) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.186). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.591) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.804) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
MPWR sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On October 28, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MPWR moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 51 of the 59 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPWR as a result. In 72 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +6.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPWR advanced for three days, in 241 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
MPWR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 225 of 283 cases where MPWR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MPWR moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 35 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MPWR turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
MPWR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MPWR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The 50-day moving average for MPWR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPWR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MPWR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MPWR's P/B Ratio (15.285) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.106). P/E Ratio (73.566) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.186). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.014) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.153) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
ADI | MPWR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 41 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADI's Valuation (73) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (86). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (32). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's SMR Rating (44) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ADI (63). This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to ADI’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MPWR (62). This means that ADI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (68). This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | MPWR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 80% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while MPWR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.66% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-0.34% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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