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ADI vs STM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Relative performance strongly favors ADI, which has trended near its 52-week high on the back of consistent earnings beats and raised guidance.
- Volatility and momentum favor ADI as well; STM has rallied sharply over the trailing year but pulled back double digits in recent weeks, signaling less stable positioning.
- Profitability gap: ADI generates substantially higher gross and operating margins than STM, reflecting different product mixes and end-market exposure.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Between the two, Tickeron's AI favors ADI based on trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning.
- Explore deeper coverage of each name through ADI Major News and ADI Today's Price Move, as well as STM Major News and STM Today's Price Move.
- Discover how automated strategies are navigating this market by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Analog Devices (ADI) and STMicroelectronics (STM) are two of the semiconductor industry's most closely followed analog and embedded-chip specialists, yet they occupy very different positions in the current cycle. Both serve the automotive, industrial, and communications end markets that have driven semiconductor demand in recent years. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors and traders weighing a large-cap U.S. chip leader against a European semiconductor maker that has experienced pronounced swings in market sentiment. By examining market positioning, recent momentum, and underlying fundamentals, readers can better assess which name currently presents the more consistent profile.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
ADI is a leading designer of analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing (DSP) chips, with converter products that translate real-world signals into digital data. More than half of its sales come from industrial and automotive end markets, alongside growing data center and aerospace and defense exposure. In recent market activity, ADI has traded near the upper end of its 52-week range, supported by consecutive quarters in which revenue and earnings exceeded analyst expectations. The company's recent agreement to acquire Alif Semiconductor in an all-cash transaction has been framed by management as a way to broaden its AI-native, on-device processing capabilities. Strong gross margins, a favorable product mix, and disciplined capital allocation have underpinned investor confidence, even as an elevated valuation leaves limited room for error.
STM Overview and Recent Performance
STM is a European semiconductor manufacturer spanning analog, MEMS (micro-electromechanical systems) and sensors, microcontrollers, and power and discrete devices, with deep roots in automotive and industrial applications. Its recent performance has been more uneven. STM produced a notable year-over-year rebound, but the most recent quarter also showed a sharp pullback from earlier highs, reflecting renewed caution around automotive demand and profit margins. On a trailing basis, profitability has been compressed compared with historical levels, as weaker automotive and industrial conditions weighed on results even while personal electronics and communications recovered. This mix has left STM's market positioning more sensitive to cyclical swings and investor sentiment than ADI's steadier profile.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates a broad ecosystem of AI-driven trading bots, with hundreds of automated strategies trading thousands of individual tickers across varied styles, timeframes, and risk profiles. Because market conditions change constantly, only a select group of these bots — those whose performance and configurations align with the current environment — are featured in the curated Trending AI Robots section. Each bot differs in its trading approach, holding period, win-rate statistics, and the basket of tickers it follows, allowing users to compare strategies rather than rely on a single signal. For traders and investors evaluating how automated intelligence ranks names like ADI and STM, reviewing this rotating selection can offer a data-driven perspective on current market momentum.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most striking contrast between these two stocks is in profitability and margin structure. ADI consistently posts gross margins well above 60% and operating margins approaching 40%, a reflection of its high-value converter and signal-processing portfolio. STM, by comparison, operates with gross margins nearer the mid-30% range, given its heavier mix of microcontrollers and power devices. Growth drivers also diverge: ADI has leaned into AI-edge and data-center opportunities, while STM's narrative is tied more closely to a cyclical automotive recovery. On risk, STM carries a higher beta and has shown sharper recent drawdowns, whereas ADI's steadier uptrend implies more consistent relative positioning. Both carry cyclical sector exposure, but ADI's stability and catalysts currently stand in contrast to STM's higher-variance profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward ADI as the more favorable of the two. The assessment rests on ADI's more consistent trend structure, its position near recent highs, superior margin profile, and a steadier run of earnings beats and upward guidance revisions. While STM offers meaningful recovery potential, its recent double-digit pullback and compressed profitability introduce greater uncertainty. In probabilistic terms, ADI presents the more stable and consistent risk-reward configuration under current market conditions, without implying any guarantee of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADI is a StrongBuy and STM is a StrongBuy.
ADI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026
ADI moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 64 cases where ADI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +4.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADI advanced for three days, in 200 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
ADI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 139 of 224 cases where ADI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADI as a result. In 68 of 103 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADI turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.251) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). P/E Ratio (42.923) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.591) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.804) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
STM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
STM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 36 of 42 cases where STM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where STM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 60 cases where STM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STM just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where STM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +3.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STM advanced for three days, in 205 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STM as a result. In 74 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
STM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for STM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for STM moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for STM entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.027) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). STM's P/E Ratio (-834.400) is considerably lower than the industry average of (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.195) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.370) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ADI | STM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 1 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 88 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STM's Valuation (1) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for ADI (71). This means that STM’s stock grew significantly faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for STM (88). This means that ADI’s stock grew significantly faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's SMR Rating (63) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as STM (91). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to STM’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as STM (53). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to STM’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's P/E Growth Rating (80) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as STM (100). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to STM’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | STM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 57% | 9 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while STM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- STM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +13.37% price change this week, while STM (@Semiconductors) price change was +16.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +19.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.70%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
STM is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+19.11% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with TXN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then TXN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | +0.05% | ||
| TXN - ADI | 84% Closely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| MCHPP - ADI | 81% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 80% Closely correlated | -0.08% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | -0.89% | ||
| KLAC - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | -2.30% | ||
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STM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STM has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if STM jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To STM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STM | 100% | +0.43% | ||
| MCHPP - STM | 75% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| MCHP - STM | 75% Closely correlated | -0.08% | ||
| MPWR - STM | 70% Closely correlated | -2.12% | ||
| ADI - STM | 70% Closely correlated | +0.05% | ||
| ENTG - STM | 69% Closely correlated | -0.65% | ||
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