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NI vs NJR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NiSource Inc. (NI) vs. New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NI and NJR offer defensive appeal as regulated gas utilities with low betas around 0.56-0.57, ideal for income-focused portfolios in volatile markets.
- NJR leads year-to-date (YTD, from January 1 to present) performance at approximately 22% gains versus NI's 17%.
- NJR provides a higher dividend yield of 3.39% compared to NI's 2.50%.
- NI has greater scale with a $23 billion market cap versus NJR's $5.65 billion.
- Recent analyst upgrades highlight growth catalysts: data center deals for NI and strong energy services for NJR.
- Tickeron's tools signal NJR as the stronger long-term buy relative to NI.
Introduction
NiSource Inc. (NI) and New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) are prominent players in the regulated natural gas utility sector, offering stable revenue streams from essential infrastructure services. This comparison is particularly relevant for dividend-seeking investors and traders eyeing defensive stocks amid economic uncertainty and energy transition dynamics. Both companies exhibit low volatility and reliable payouts, but differences in scale, diversification, and recent momentum provide key insights into relative performance and market positioning. By examining business models, financial metrics, and sentiment shifts, investors can better assess trade-offs in this conservative sector.
NI Overview and Recent Performance
NiSource Inc. (NI) operates as a fully regulated natural gas utility, providing distribution and transmission services across seven states in the Midwest and Northeast United States. With a market capitalization of approximately $23 billion, it emphasizes infrastructure investments to support growing energy demands. In recent market activity, NI shares have traded near their 52-week highs around $48, reflecting about 17% YTD appreciation. Sentiment has been bolstered by long-term power supply agreements with tech leaders like Alphabet and Amazon to fuel data centers, signaling robust future growth amid rising electricity needs. Analysts have raised price targets, with an average one-year goal of $51, ahead of anticipated quarterly earnings growth. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 24.7, with a beta of 0.57 indicating lower market sensitivity.
NJR Overview and Recent Performance
New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is a diversified energy services holding company centered on natural gas distribution in New Jersey, complemented by unregulated operations in clean energy, asset management, and commercial/industrial services. Its $5.65 billion market cap underscores a more focused regional presence. Recent weeks have seen NJR shares hover near 52-week highs around $56, driven by approximately 22% YTD gains—outpacing broader utility peers. Strong contributions from its energy services segment have exceeded projections, enhancing the fiscal outlook. Analyst upgrades, including a price target hike to $61, reflect optimism, with a lower P/E ratio of 17.3 and a beta of 0.56 highlighting attractive valuation and stability. A forward dividend yield of 3.39% appeals to income investors.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both NI and NJR thrive in the Utilities-Regulated Gas subsector, generating predictable cash flows from rate-regulated operations resistant to economic cycles. NI's larger footprint enables economies of scale in transmission and distribution, while NJR's unregulated segments—like natural gas storage and clean energy ventures—offer higher-margin growth potential amid decarbonization trends. Recent momentum favors NJR with superior YTD returns and valuation (lower P/E), though NI counters with data center catalysts. Risk profiles align closely with sub-0.6 betas, but NJR's diversification tempers regulatory exposure. Market sentiment remains bullish for both, fueled by infrastructure spending and energy demand, yet trade-offs hinge on scale versus agility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools currently lean toward NJR in this matchup, citing stronger trend consistency with higher YTD gains, a more compelling valuation (P/E of 17 versus 25), elevated dividend yield, and a favorable long-term buy signal in comparative analysis. While NI's scale and emerging data center catalysts provide stability and upside potential, NJR's relative momentum and diversification position it probabilistically better for near-term outperformance in the utilities space.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NI is a Hold and NJR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNJR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NJR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NJR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NJR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NI (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -2.08% price change this week, while NJR (@Gas Distributors) price change was +1.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
NI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
NJR is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.61% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| NI | NJR | NI / NJR | |
| Capitalization | 22.6B | 5.75B | 393% |
| EBITDA | 3.14B | 760M | 414% |
| Gain YTD | 14.491 | 24.594 | 59% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.48 | 16.90 | 139% |
| Revenue | 6.82B | 2.18B | 313% |
| Total Cash | 71.9M | 125M | 58% |
| Total Debt | 16.8B | 3.77B | 446% |
NI | NJR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 54 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NJR's Valuation (54) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NI (73). This means that NJR’s stock grew similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NJR (32). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to NJR’s over the last 12 months.
NJR's SMR Rating (60) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NI (69). This means that NJR’s stock grew similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
NJR's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NI (50). This means that NJR’s stock grew similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
NJR's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NI (36). This means that NJR’s stock grew similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
| NI | NJR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 31% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 29% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 31% | 8 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 58% |
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NI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NI has been closely correlated with ATO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NI jumps, then ATO could also see price increases.
NJR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NJR has been closely correlated with OGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NJR jumps, then OGS could also see price increases.