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NI vs SR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NiSource Inc. (NI) vs. Spire Inc. (SR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NI and SR are regulated natural gas utilities providing defensive exposure with reliable dividends in volatile markets.
- NI has shown stronger year-to-date performance at 16.65% compared to SR's 10.32%, driven by data center power agreements.
- SR offers a higher dividend yield of 3.65% versus NI's 2.50%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent asset sales by SR exceeding $900 million could enhance focus on core operations, while NI benefits from tech sector partnerships.
- NI trades at a higher price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 24.66 compared to SR's 19.78, signaling greater growth expectations.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines NI (NiSource Inc.) and SR (Spire Inc.), two prominent players in the regulated natural gas utilities sector. Both companies deliver essential energy services across multiple states, offering stability amid economic uncertainty. Investors seeking defensive positions with dividend income, or traders eyeing sector rotation into utilities, will find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and strategic moves, providing insights into potential opportunities in this low-volatility segment.
NI Overview and Recent Performance
NiSource Inc. (NI) is a leading natural gas distribution and transmission company serving approximately 3.6 million customers across seven states in the Midwest and Northeast. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near its 52-week high of $48.98, closing around $48.08 with a market capitalization of $23 billion. Year-to-date gains stand at 16.65%, outperforming broader utility benchmarks. Positive sentiment stems from strategic data center power supply agreements with major tech firms like Alphabet and Amazon, positioning NI for long-term demand growth. Upcoming first-quarter earnings on May 6 are anticipated to show earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03, up 5.1% year-over-year, alongside 12% revenue growth. These catalysts have supported steady upward price behavior despite sector headwinds from interest rate sensitivity.
SR Overview and Recent Performance
Spire Inc. (SR) operates as a multi-state natural gas utility, providing distribution and related services to about 1.8 million customers primarily in Missouri, Alabama, and Mississippi. The stock recently hovered near all-time highs around $95, closing at $90.41 with a $5.34 billion market cap. Year-to-date performance is solid at 10.32%, though it experienced a minor pullback in recent weeks. Key developments include the completion of asset sales: its gas marketing business for $215 million to Boardwalk Pipelines, Mississippi operations for $75 million to Delta Utilities, and gas storage assets for $650 million to I Squared Capital. A quarterly dividend declaration reinforces income appeal. With earnings due soon, these divestitures signal a sharpened focus on core regulated activities, influencing stable but range-bound price action.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both NI and SR share a regulated gas utility business model, emphasizing stable cash flows from essential services with exposure to weather, regulation, and interest rates. NI’s larger scale ($23B market cap vs. $5.3B) supports broader infrastructure investments, particularly in electrification tied to data centers, contrasting SR’s recent asset sales that streamline operations but may limit near-term expansion. Momentum favors NI with superior YTD returns and proximity to highs, while SR offers better value via lower PE and higher yield. Risk profiles are similar—low beta around 0.57-0.58—but SR faces integration risks post-divestitures. Market sentiment leans positive for both amid utility sector rotation, though NI benefits from tech synergies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor NI in the current environment due to its consistent upward trend, stronger relative year-to-date performance, and identifiable growth catalysts from data center deals. These factors suggest higher probability of sustained momentum compared to SR’s steady but less dynamic positioning post-asset sales. However, SR remains attractive for yield seekers if dividends hold firm.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NI is a Hold and SR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- NI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
NI (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -0.90% price change this week, while SR (@Gas Distributors) price change was -0.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was +0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
NI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
SR is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (+0.08% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| NI | SR | NI / SR | |
| Capitalization | 22.2B | 5.05B | 440% |
| EBITDA | 3.14B | 886M | 355% |
| Gain YTD | 12.332 | 4.246 | 290% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.03 | 17.29 | 133% |
| Revenue | 6.82B | 2.6B | 262% |
| Total Cash | 71.9M | 49.5M | 145% |
| Total Debt | 16.8B | 7.96B | 211% |
NI | SR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SR's Valuation (50) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NI (74). This means that SR’s stock grew similarly to NI’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as SR (39). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to SR’s over the last 12 months.
NI's SMR Rating (69) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as SR (70). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to SR’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as SR (58). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to SR’s over the last 12 months.
NI's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as SR (57). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to SR’s over the last 12 months.
| NI | SR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 33% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 29% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 52% | 6 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 31% | 11 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 42% |
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|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SQQQ | 42.98 | 1.91 | +4.65% |
| ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ | |||
| DOGG | 21.04 | -0.11 | -0.51% |
| FT Vest DJIA® Dogs 10 Trgt Inc ETF | |||
| AFSC | 34.93 | -0.49 | -1.38% |
| abrdn Focused U.S. Small Cap Active ETF | |||
| XJH | 48.62 | -0.75 | -1.51% |
| iShares ESG Select Scrn S&P Mid-Cap ETF | |||
| DRKY | 19.46 | -0.61 | -3.04% |
| VistaShares Target 15 DRUKMacro Dis ETF | |||
NI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NI has been closely correlated with ATO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NI jumps, then ATO could also see price increases.