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NVEC vs STM
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NVEC is a Hold and STM is a Hold.
NVEC in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026
NVEC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 33 cases where NVEC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for NVEC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +4.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVEC advanced for three days, in 222 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 182 of 232 cases where NVEC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVEC moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVEC as a result. In 65 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVEC turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
NVEC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVEC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVEC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.889) is normal, around the industry mean (7.975). P/E Ratio (29.478) is within average values for comparable stocks, (165.532). NVEC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (71.130) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.761). NVEC's Dividend Yield (0.036) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.007). P/S Ratio (15.106) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
STM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
STM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STM as a result. In 70 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
STM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for STM entered a downward trend on September 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for STM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for STM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +2.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STM advanced for three days, in 206 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
STM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.562) is normal, around the industry mean (7.975). P/E Ratio (103.471) is within average values for comparable stocks, (165.532). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.195) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.370) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
NVEC | STM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 90 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 96 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STM's Valuation (65) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVEC (97) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that STM’s stock grew similarly to NVEC’s over the last 12 months.
NVEC's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for STM (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVEC’s stock grew significantly faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
NVEC's SMR Rating (34) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STM (91) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVEC’s stock grew somewhat faster than STM’s over the last 12 months.
NVEC's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as STM (46) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVEC’s stock grew similarly to STM’s over the last 12 months.
STM's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVEC (15) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that STM’s stock grew similarly to NVEC’s over the last 12 months.
| NVEC | STM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NVEC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while STM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NVEC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- STM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NVEC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NVEC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NVEC (@Semiconductors) experienced а -6.92% price change this week, while STM (@Semiconductors) price change was -16.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -12.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
STM is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-12.28% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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NVEC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVEC has been loosely correlated with KLIC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVEC jumps, then KLIC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVEC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVEC | 100% | -5.93% | ||
| KLIC - NVEC | 59% Loosely correlated | -4.55% | ||
| STM - NVEC | 58% Loosely correlated | -5.39% | ||
| VECO - NVEC | 55% Loosely correlated | -6.15% | ||
| AMKR - NVEC | 55% Loosely correlated | -5.86% | ||
| COHU - NVEC | 55% Loosely correlated | -7.25% | ||
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