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OBDC vs PYPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) vs. PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) operates as a business development company (BDC) focused on providing credit solutions to middle-market companies, emphasizing current income through a high dividend yield.
- PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) is a leading digital payments platform serving consumers and merchants globally, with recent momentum driven by takeover speculation in mid-July 2026.
- OBDC has traded at a discount to net asset value (NAV) with a yield around 13.7%, reflecting its income-oriented model amid stable but modest price appreciation.
- PYPL shares rose sharply following a reported $60.50 per share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent International, pushing the stock to approximately $55–$56 levels in recent sessions.
- OBDC offers exposure to private credit with lower volatility, while PYPL faces competition in fintech and benefits from potential M&A (mergers and acquisitions) catalysts.
- Relative performance shows OBDC prioritizing income stability, whereas PYPL has experienced greater price swings tied to earnings outlooks and strategic developments.
Introduction
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) and PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) represent distinct segments of the financial markets: one centered on specialty lending and the other on digital payments technology. This comparison examines their business models, recent market activity, and positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating income-generating versus growth-oriented opportunities. Portfolio managers, dividend-focused investors, and those monitoring fintech trends may find the analysis relevant for assessing relative risk, return profiles, and sector dynamics in the current environment.
OBDC Overview and Recent Performance
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC), operating as a business development company (BDC), provides customized credit solutions including first-lien and second-lien loans to middle-market companies with limited access to traditional financing. The firm targets current income and capital appreciation through a diversified portfolio emphasizing risk control. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $10.77, reflecting a discount to its most recent net asset value (NAV) per share of $14.41. It maintains a high annualized dividend yield of approximately 13.7%, supported by net investment income. Broader performance over recent weeks has remained relatively stable compared to broader equities, with limited specific catalysts beyond routine portfolio management and earnings reports showing modest EPS (earnings per share) figures.
PYPL Overview and Recent Performance
PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) operates a technology platform enabling digital payments, transfers, and commerce solutions for consumers and merchants across approximately 200 markets. Key offerings include PayPal, Venmo, and Braintree services, alongside expanding initiatives in crypto and agentic payments. In recent market activity, the stock experienced a notable surge in mid-July 2026 following reports of a potential $53 billion takeover bid at $60.50 per share from Stripe and Advent International. Shares advanced roughly 16% on the news, reaching levels near $55–$56. The company is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results on July 28, with analysts projecting revenue around $8.51 billion. Earlier in 2026, shares faced pressure from competitive dynamics and earnings outlooks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) follows a lending-focused business model as a BDC, generating returns primarily through interest income and fees, while PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) relies on transaction volumes, merchant services, and network effects in the competitive payments sector. Growth drivers for OBDC center on credit deployment and portfolio yield maintenance, contrasting with PYPL’s emphasis on user acquisition, product innovation, and potential strategic transactions. Recent momentum favors PYPL due to the mid-July 2026 takeover reports, whereas OBDC has shown steadier, income-driven behavior with less price volatility. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity and credit defaults for OBDC, versus regulatory scrutiny, competition from fintech rivals, and macroeconomic spending trends for PYPL. Sector exposure places OBDC in private credit and financials, while PYPL operates in technology-enabled payments. Market sentiment reflects OBDC’s appeal for yield seekers trading below NAV and PYPL’s sensitivity to M&A (mergers and acquisitions) developments and upcoming earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) for investors prioritizing income stability and discount-to-NAV opportunities, while noting PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)’s potential for event-driven moves from the recent takeover speculation. The assessment weighs OBDC’s established dividend profile against PYPL’s higher volatility and catalyst sensitivity without definitive predictions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is OBDC is a Buy and PYPL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
OBDC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whilePYPL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- OBDC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PYPL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
OBDC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PYPL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- OBDC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PYPL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
OBDC (@Investment Managers) experienced а +6.38% price change this week, while PYPL (@Savings Banks) price change was +2.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +2.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.98%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Savings Banks industry was -0.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
OBDC is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
PYPL is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+2.71% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
@Savings Banks (-0.12% weekly)A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.
| OBDC | PYPL | OBDC / PYPL | |
| Capitalization | 5.87B | 51.8B | 11% |
| EBITDA | N/A | 7.29B | - |
| Gain YTD | -0.033 | 2.047 | -2% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.27 | 11.45 | 186% |
| Revenue | 445M | 34.1B | 1% |
| Total Cash | 442M | 11.3B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 8.46B | 13.4B | 63% |
OBDC | PYPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 32 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OBDC's Valuation (5) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for PYPL (71) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that OBDC’s stock grew significantly faster than PYPL’s over the last 12 months.
OBDC's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PYPL (100) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that OBDC’s stock grew somewhat faster than PYPL’s over the last 12 months.
OBDC's SMR Rating (32) in the null industry is in the same range as PYPL (40) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that OBDC’s stock grew similarly to PYPL’s over the last 12 months.
PYPL's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Data Processing Services industry is in the same range as OBDC (50) in the null industry. This means that PYPL’s stock grew similarly to OBDC’s over the last 12 months.
OBDC's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for PYPL (77) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that OBDC’s stock grew significantly faster than PYPL’s over the last 12 months.
| OBDC | PYPL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 43% | 10 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 43% | 14 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 33% | 2 days ago 65% |
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OBDC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OBDC has been closely correlated with ARCC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OBDC jumps, then ARCC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OBDC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBDC | 100% | -0.09% | ||
| ARCC - OBDC | 80% Closely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| BXSL - OBDC | 77% Closely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| MSDL - OBDC | 74% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| GBDC - OBDC | 74% Closely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| NCDL - OBDC | 71% Closely correlated | -1.28% | ||
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PYPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PYPL has been loosely correlated with AER. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PYPL jumps, then AER could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PYPL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL | 100% | +0.34% | ||
| AER - PYPL | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.90% | ||
| R - PYPL | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| URI - PYPL | 51% Loosely correlated | -1.08% | ||
| UPBD - PYPL | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| OBDC - PYPL | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
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