Advertisement
ONTO vs TER
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Onto Innovation (ONTO) vs. Teradyne (TER) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ONTO and TER are semiconductor-equipment leaders riding artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure demand, but they occupy different niches: process-control metrology versus automated test equipment (ATE) and robotics.
- TER has delivered larger absolute revenue growth, with recent quarterly sales up roughly 70% year over year, while ONTO has posted record revenue and a backlog above $1.1 billion.
- Both stocks pulled back sharply from 52-week highs during the recent AI-sector volatility, underscoring their elevated beta (sensitivity to market swings) and rich valuations.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on diversification, scale, and trend stability, Tickeron's AI would currently favor TER as the ticker of choice, while acknowledging ONTO's stronger niche momentum in advanced packaging.
- For deeper coverage of these names, visit the ONTO Major News and ONTO Today's Price Move pages, along with TER Major News and TER Today's Price Move.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see which automated trading strategies are currently favored by Tickeron's platform.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to the AI-driven semiconductor buildout often compare two equipment suppliers that power the chip supply chain in different ways. ONTO (Onto Innovation) provides metrology and defect-inspection tools that help chipmakers verify advanced packaging and memory manufacturing. TER (Teradyne) supplies automated test equipment and collaborative robotics used to validate chips and electronics. Both have been strong beneficiaries of AI capital spending, yet their stock performance has diverged amid recent market turbulence. This comparison examines their business models, recent momentum, and risk profiles to help traders and investors understand their relative market positioning.
ONTO Overview and Recent Performance
Onto Innovation (ONTO) designs process-control systems for semiconductor fabrication, specializing in macro-defect inspection and metrology. Its products are increasingly embedded in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced packaging—areas central to AI chip production. In recent weeks, the company reported record revenue and earnings per share (EPS), raised its second-half outlook, and cited rapid growth in advanced nodes and inspection tools. A notable catalyst came from recognition by a major memory customer for its Dragonfly G5 inspection system, reinforcing its role in AI infrastructure buildouts.
Despite strong fundamentals, ONTO shares experienced a steep drawdown from their 52-week high during a broad semiconductor selloff, before staging a sharp bounce. The stock carries a relatively high beta, meaning it tends to amplify market moves. Sentiment has been driven less by operational weakness and more by sector-wide concerns over AI spending, even as the company's backlog and demand signals strengthened.
TER Overview and Recent Performance
Teradyne (TER) is a diversified supplier of automated test equipment (ATE) for semiconductors, along with system-level test and industrial robotics through its Universal Robots brand. AI-related demand now accounts for more than 60% of its revenue. In its most recent quarter, revenue surpassed $1.3 billion—up roughly 70% year over year—with record memory and integrated-systems test results and a return to profitability in its robotics segment.
Even so, TER shares have pulled back from their highs in recent weeks, reflecting profit-taking and investor scrutiny of sequentially moderating margins and a back-half-weighted 2027 ramp. The company continues to point to healthy long-term growth across compute, memory, and robotics, supported by a sizable total addressable market and new product launches. Its broader revenue mix offers some cushion against single-segment cyclicality.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers, but only a select group earns a place in the curated Trending AI Robots section. These bots are chosen because their strategies and performance are best suited to current market conditions. The available bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and the sets of tickers they trade, allowing users to match a bot to their own approach. For traders seeking an objective, data-driven way to monitor names like ONTO and TER, exploring the Trending AI Robots page can provide a useful starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two names is specialization versus diversification. ONTO is concentrated in process-control metrology and inspection, giving it leveraged exposure to advanced packaging and HBM—high-growth but narrow end markets. TER spans semiconductor test, system-level test, and robotics, distributing its growth drivers across more segments and customers.
On momentum, ONTO has shown faster percentage gains in advanced packaging and a record backlog, while TER has produced larger absolute revenue expansion. On risk, ONTO carries higher volatility and more concentrated customer exposure, whereas TER faces margin pressure from mix shifts and rising operating expenses. Both trade at elevated earnings multiples and remain sensitive to any cooling in AI capital expenditure. Sector exposure overlaps, but their role in the supply chain—inspection versus testing—differentiates their demand cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Assessing observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor TER over ONTO in the current environment. TER's broader revenue base across semiconductor test, robotics, and memory, combined with record results and multiple growth catalysts, suggests a more balanced risk-reward profile and greater resilience to single-segment cyclicality. ONTO offers compelling, higher-beta exposure to advanced packaging, but its narrower focus and greater volatility imply a less consistent trend path. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and reflects relative positioning rather than a forecast of absolute returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ONTO is a Buy and TER is a Hold.
ONTO in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
ONTO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 35 cases where ONTO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ONTO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 60 of 69 cases where ONTO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ONTO just turned positive on November 10, 2026. Looking at past instances where ONTO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Following a +10.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ONTO advanced for three days, in 265 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ONTO as a result. In 77 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
ONTO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ONTO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ONTO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for ONTO entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ONTO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.423) is normal, around the industry mean (5.670). P/E Ratio (64.899) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.817) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.787) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
TER in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
The 10-day moving average for TER crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TER as a result. In 63 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TER turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
TER moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for TER moved below the 200-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TER declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for TER entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TER's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 54 cases where TER's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +15.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TER advanced for three days, in 253 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
TER may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TER’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.926) is normal, around the industry mean (5.670). P/E Ratio (29.811) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.734) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.077) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ONTO | TER | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 63 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TER's Valuation (73) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ONTO (79) in the null industry. This means that TER’s stock grew similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the null industry is in the same range as TER (63) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ONTO’s stock grew similarly to TER’s over the last 12 months.
TER's SMR Rating (28) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ONTO (80) in the null industry. This means that TER’s stock grew somewhat faster than ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
TER's Price Growth Rating (65) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ONTO (65) in the null industry. This means that TER’s stock grew similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for TER (92) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ONTO’s stock grew significantly faster than TER’s over the last 12 months.
| ONTO | TER | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 76% | 8 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ONTO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TER’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ONTO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TER’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ONTO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TER’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ONTO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TER’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
ONTO (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +16.36% price change this week, while TER (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +5.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
ONTO is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
TER is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.88% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
Advertisement
ONTO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONTO has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ONTO jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONTO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 100% | +8.89% | ||
| AMAT - ONTO | 86% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| LRCX - ONTO | 85% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| KLAC - ONTO | 83% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| ENTG - ONTO | 82% Closely correlated | +11.29% | ||
| UCTT - ONTO | 81% Closely correlated | +6.25% | ||
More | ||||
TER and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TER has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TER jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TER | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TER | 100% | +8.30% | ||
| LRCX - TER | 81% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| COHU - TER | 77% Closely correlated | +5.52% | ||
| ONTO - TER | 77% Closely correlated | +8.89% | ||
| FORM - TER | 77% Closely correlated | +11.85% | ||
| AMAT - TER | 76% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
More | ||||