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PAGP vs TRGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) vs. Targa Resources (TRGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both PAGP and TRGP are North American midstream energy infrastructure operators, but they are differentiated by commodity focus: PAGP skews toward crude oil logistics, while TRGP is built around natural gas gathering, processing, and NGL (natural gas liquids) infrastructure.
- PAGP offers a substantially higher dividend yield (roughly 7% to 8%) compared with TRGP (around 2.2%), reflecting contrasting capital-return priorities and growth profiles.
- TRGP is running a growth-oriented agenda of Permian Basin processing plants, fractionators, and the Stakeholder Midstream acquisition, while PAGP is consolidating around crude oil via the EPIC pipeline acquisition and a planned NGL divestiture.
- TRGP carries a larger market capitalization and a higher price-to-earnings multiple, consistent with a growth valuation, whereas PAGP trades at a lower multiple with an income-oriented profile.
- Relative performance and momentum have diverged, with TRGP showing stronger multi-year growth momentum and PAGP offering a deeper value-and-yield positioning.
Introduction
Investors evaluating energy infrastructure often weigh income against growth, and that tension is exactly what a comparison of PAGP and TRGP illustrates. Both are Houston-based midstream companies with fee-based business models that provide a degree of insulation from commodity-price swings, yet their strategies, growth drivers, and shareholder-return profiles differ meaningfully. This stock comparison is most relevant for income-focused investors, dividend-growth investors, and traders seeking to understand how two prominent energy infrastructure names are positioned relative to one another in the current market environment. A closer look at recent performance, catalysts, and market sentiment helps clarify the trade-offs between these two well-known tickers.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
PAGP, Plains GP Holdings, L.P., holds a non-economic controlling interest in Plains All American Pipeline (PAA), one of North America's largest providers of midstream crude oil logistics. Its operations span crude oil and NGL transportation, storage, terminalling, and supply-and-logistics services across the Transportation, Facilities, and Supply and Logistics segments. In recent months, the company has reshaped its portfolio toward a more focused crude-oil business: it completed the acquisition of EPIC Crude Holdings, taking full ownership of the EPIC Crude Oil Pipeline, a long-haul system moving crude from the Permian and Eagle Ford basins to the Gulf Coast, and has announced plans to divest its NGL segment with proceeds expected to be redeployed into core crude operations. On the financial side, recent quarters have shown high revenue but comparatively thin margins, and the stock's high dividend yield remains a central feature of its appeal. Price action has been range-bound in recent weeks, with sentiment shaped by the balance between its income profile and questions about earnings coverage and growth.
TRGP Overview and Recent Performance
TRGP, Targa Resources Corp., owns and operates an integrated portfolio of midstream assets focused on natural gas gathering and processing, NGL fractionation and transportation, and logistics for NGL and crude oil. Its two reportable segments—Gathering and Processing and Logistics and Transportation—are anchored by a dominant Permian Basin footprint. Recent activity has been defined by expansion: the company has brought new processing plants online, announced additional fractionation and pipeline projects, and completed the acquisition of Stakeholder Midstream to deepen its Permian gathering position. Financially, Targa has reported record adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) and has signaled a commitment to returning capital, including a planned increase to its common dividend for the following year alongside a share-repurchase program. The stock has demonstrated strong multi-year momentum, though it has also experienced periodic pullbacks in recent weeks as investors weigh growth expectations against a higher valuation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two names is commodity exposure. PAGP is a crude-oil logistics specialist whose recent strategy is to concentrate further on crude pipelines and terminals, while TRGP is levered to natural gas and NGL volumes, including growing LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) export demand. This shapes their growth trajectories: TRGP's capital program is geared toward incremental capacity and volume growth in the Permian, whereas PAGP's emphasis is on portfolio focus and a higher cash distribution. On valuation, TRGP trades at a meaningfully higher price-to-earnings multiple and a larger market capitalization, reflecting a growth premium, while PAGP's lower multiple and elevated yield point to a value-and-income profile. Risk profiles also differ—PAGP's thin recent margins and dividend coverage have drawn scrutiny, while TRGP faces execution and competition risk in an aggressively expanding midstream market. In terms of recent momentum and market positioning, TRGP has shown stronger relative performance over recent years, but PAGP's yield offers a different kind of appeal for income-oriented investors.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings growth, and visible catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely tilt toward TRGP in the current environment. The company's record adjusted EBITDA, a full pipeline of announced Permian growth projects, and a forward-looking dividend increase suggest more clearly defined near-term catalysts and sustained trend strength. That said, PAGP retains a defensible positioning as a high-yield, crude-focused alternative whose restructuring efforts could support relative stability over time. The balance of trend consistency and catalyst visibility appears, on a probabilistic basis, to favor TRGP at present, though the appropriate choice ultimately depends on whether an investor prioritizes growth momentum or current income.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PAGP is a StrongBuy and TRGP is a Buy.
PAGP's RSI Indicator entering oversold zone
The RSI Indicator for PAGP moved into overbought territory on November 06, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for PAGP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAGP advanced for three days, in 256 of 389 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
PAGP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 224 of 351 cases where PAGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PAGP as a result. In 46 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PAGP turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 54%.
PAGP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAGP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.229) is normal, around the industry mean (147.140). P/E Ratio (9.240) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.511). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.672) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.065) settles around the average of (15719315456.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TRGP in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
TRGP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 27 cases where TRGP's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for TRGP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +3.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRGP advanced for three days, in 279 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 303 of 386 cases where TRGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TRGP moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 34%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TRGP as a result. In 45 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TRGP turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 48%.
TRGP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRGP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TRGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.517) is normal, around the industry mean (147.140). P/E Ratio (25.223) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.511). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.245) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (15719315456.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.667) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
PAGP | TRGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAGP's Valuation (35) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRGP (76) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (5) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's SMR Rating (16) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is in the same range as PAGP (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew similarly to PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as TRGP (44) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry. This means that PAGP’s stock grew similarly to TRGP’s over the last 12 months.
TRGP's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Oil Refining Or Marketing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAGP (93) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry. This means that TRGP’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAGP’s over the last 12 months.
| PAGP | TRGP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 34% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 66% | 10 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAGP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TRGP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- PAGP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TRGP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAGP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRGP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAGP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TRGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -9.19% price change this week, while TRGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -16.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -10.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Feb 05, 2027.
TRGP is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-10.66% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | -2.31% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 97% Closely correlated | -2.49% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.12% | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.66% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 57% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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TRGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRGP has been closely correlated with OKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TRGP jumps, then OKE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRGP | 100% | -2.66% | ||
| OKE - TRGP | 75% Closely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| KMI - TRGP | 70% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| WMB - TRGP | 68% Closely correlated | -0.26% | ||
| AM - TRGP | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.99% | ||
| PBA - TRGP | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.39% | ||
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