Advertisement
PINE vs STAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alpine Income Property Trust (PINE) vs. STAG Industrial (STAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PINE is a small-cap retail net-lease REIT (real estate investment trust) with a dividend yield near 6.5%, while STAG is a large-cap industrial REIT yielding roughly 4.2%.
- PINE has shown stronger recent relative performance and dividend growth momentum, recently raising its payout by 6.7%.
- STAG offers greater scale and portfolio diversification but has traded near 52-week lows amid softer occupancy and near-term lease rollover pressure.
- The two names serve different investor goals: PINE skews toward yield and portfolio transformation, while STAG targets industrial scale and income stability.
- Both are highly sensitive to interest rates and REIT valuation multiples, making relative momentum and trend consistency key comparative factors.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two publicly traded real estate investment trusts that occupy very different corners of the commercial property market. Alpine Income Property Trust (PINE) is a small-cap owner of single-tenant, net-leased retail properties, while STAG Industrial (STAG) is a large-cap operator of single-tenant industrial warehouses. Investors evaluating relative performance, dividend durability, and market positioning may find this comparison useful, particularly those weighing a higher-yielding, faster-transforming portfolio against a larger, more established income franchise. Recent market activity has highlighted diverging sentiment between the two, making a side-by-side review timely.
PINE Overview and Recent Performance
Alpine Income Property Trust is a net-lease REIT headquartered in Winter Park, Florida, focused on single-tenant retail and commercial properties plus a growing commercial loan portfolio. Its portfolio spans roughly 128 properties across 31 states, with occupancy near 99.5% and a weighted average lease term (WALT) of about nine years. Recent quarters have featured elevated investment activity, a rising share of investment-grade tenants, and a return to profitability after prior-year losses.
Sentiment around PINE has improved in recent weeks as the company raised its quarterly dividend, lifted full-year FFO (funds from operations) and AFFO (adjusted funds from operations) guidance, and continued recycling lower-yielding assets into higher-yielding opportunities. The stock trades at a relatively modest multiple with an above-average yield, and sell-side consensus has leaned toward Buy. Key watchpoints include elevated leverage and tenant concentration, which temper the otherwise constructive outlook.
STAG Overview and Recent Performance
STAG Industrial is a Boston-based industrial REIT that acquires and operates single-tenant warehouses across secondary U.S. markets. Its portfolio includes approximately 606 buildings totaling over 122 million rentable square feet across 41 states, giving it meaningful geographic and tenant diversification. The company has expanded into data center-related leasing and maintained a steady quarterly dividend for more than a decade.
Recent market activity has been more mixed for STAG, which has traded near its 52-week low as occupancy dipped to the mid-90s range and a heavy lease expiration schedule introduced near-term uncertainty. Core FFO (funds from operations) has remained stable, and rent growth on new leases has stayed strong, but softer net income and interest-coverage concerns have weighed on sentiment. Analysts have generally maintained a Hold rating, reflecting tempered growth expectations despite a durable income profile.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that collectively trade thousands of tickers across varied strategies, timeframes, and risk profiles. Because market conditions change constantly, only the most suitable and best-performing bots are curated into the Trending AI Robots section. These bots differ in trading style, statistical performance, and the sets of tickers they monitor, giving traders a range of options for navigating shifting markets. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to review the current lineup and identify strategies aligned with your objectives.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two REITs is scale and sector exposure. STAG is a roughly $7 billion industrial landlord, whereas PINE is a sub-$400 million retail-focused operator. STAG's size supports broader tenant diversification and a more established franchise, but its growth trajectory is slower and its dividend yield lower. PINE offers a materially higher yield and has been growing its payout more aggressively, though it carries greater concentration risk and higher leverage relative to its size.
On momentum, PINE has demonstrated stronger recent relative performance, supported by rising guidance and a dividend increase. STAG, by contrast, has faced occupancy pressure and earnings softness that have kept the shares near multiyear lows despite stable rent growth. From a risk standpoint, PINE is more exposed to individual tenant credit and balance-sheet leverage, while STAG faces a concentrated lease rollover schedule and interest-coverage sensitivity. Market sentiment has favored PINE's transformation narrative in recent weeks, even as STAG's income reliability remains a draw for yield-focused investors.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative momentum, and catalyst positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor PINE over STAG in the current environment. PINE's combination of rising guidance, dividend growth, and stronger recent price behavior suggests more constructive trend alignment, while STAG's occupancy softness and near-low trading range indicate weaker momentum despite its larger, more stable platform. This assessment reflects probabilistic trend analysis rather than a definitive forecast, and positioning could shift as earnings reports and rate expectations evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PINE is a Hold and STAG is a StrongBuy.
PINE in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026
PINE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 26 of 38 cases where PINE's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PINE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PINE just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where PINE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
Following a +1.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PINE advanced for three days, in 138 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PINE as a result. In 45 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
The 50-day moving average for PINE moved below the 200-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PINE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
The Aroon Indicator for PINE entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.910) is normal, around the industry mean (2.673). P/E Ratio (74.435) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.730). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.075) settles around the average of (246.424) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.250) is also within normal values, averaging (6.739).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PINE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
STAG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 07, 2026
STAG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 26 of 35 cases where STAG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 28 of 50 cases where STAG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on STAG as a result. In 44 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STAG just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where STAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
Following a +1.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STAG advanced for three days, in 185 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
STAG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for STAG moved below the 200-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator for STAG entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.936) is normal, around the industry mean (2.547). P/E Ratio (28.046) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.406). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.640) is also within normal values, averaging (11.190). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.974) is also within normal values, averaging (8.208).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. STAG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STAG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
PINE | STAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 69 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PINE's Valuation (44) in the null industry is in the same range as STAG (58) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that PINE’s stock grew similarly to STAG’s over the last 12 months.
PINE's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STAG (86) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that PINE’s stock grew somewhat faster than STAG’s over the last 12 months.
STAG's SMR Rating (79) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as PINE (89) in the null industry. This means that STAG’s stock grew similarly to PINE’s over the last 12 months.
PINE's Price Growth Rating (54) in the null industry is in the same range as STAG (69) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that PINE’s stock grew similarly to STAG’s over the last 12 months.
STAG's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as PINE (60) in the null industry. This means that STAG’s stock grew similarly to PINE’s over the last 12 months.
| PINE | STAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 45% | 11 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | about 1 month ago 47% | 8 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 40% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PINE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while STAG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- PINE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- STAG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PINE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STAG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PINE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- STAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PINE (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а -2.95% price change this week, while STAG (@Miscellaneous Manufacturing) price change was +1.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.61%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
PINE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
STAG is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+2.34% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
@Miscellaneous Manufacturing (+2.02% weekly)Miscellaneous manufacturing refers to a diverse range of products that cannot readily be categorized into other specific sectors of manufacturing. Major U.S. players in this industry include AMETEK, Inc.( analytical instruments, precision components and specialty materials), Dover Corporation (solutions for efficiency and safety of extracting oil and gas, e.g. rod lifts, progressing cavity pumps, gas lifts etc.; solutions for the transportation/transformation of solid waste; products for safe handling of critical fluids for various industries; systems for commercial-refrigeration, heating and cooling, and food and beverage packaging), and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (niche markets including commercial roofing, energy, lawn and garden, mining and construction equipment, aerospace and electronics, dining and food delivery, and healthcare), among others.
Advertisement
PINE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PINE has been loosely correlated with GLPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PINE jumps, then GLPI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PINE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINE | 100% | -3.28% | ||
| GLPI - PINE | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.02% | ||
| STAG - PINE | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| NXRT - PINE | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.22% | ||
| DOC - PINE | 51% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| EPR - PINE | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| WCEO | 38.42 | 0.14 | +0.35% |
| Hypatia Women CEO ETF (WCEO) | |||
| FENI | 39.93 | 0.14 | +0.35% |
| Fidelity Enhanced International ETF (FENI) | |||
| APRW | 38.05 | 0.06 | +0.17% |
| AllianzIM U.S. Equity Buffer20 Apr ETF (APRW) | |||
| TMSF | 48.89 | 0.02 | +0.04% |
| T. Rowe Price Multi-Sector Income ETF (TMSF) | |||
| MLN | 16.49 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| VanEck Long Muni ETF (MLN) | |||