Is MPLX LP the Next Shining Star In The Energy Sector?
A diversified midstream energy infrastructure and logistics company, MPLX, has been growing leaps and bounds in the last few quarters. But only few have noticed.
Despite having excellent and fast improving fundamentals, along with a high yield, the company hasn’t been able fully engage investor interest. The main reason, perhaps, is that the investor community has recently seen a number of master limited partnerships blow up.
What makes MPLX any different?
MPLX is differentiated by its recession resistant and seemingly low-risk self-funding business model, its short-term hyper growth strategy, its calculated investment strategies which act as a catalyst for its long-term growth, and finally, its strong balance sheet.
The company focused on developing an extensive portfolio of growth projects, but also made sure it didn’t take on too much debt to accomplish its goal. This has resulted in consistently improving quarterly performance.
The company reported its 23rd consecutive quarterly distribution increase to $0.6375 per common unit for the third-quarter 2018. Adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow for the quarter stood at $937 million and $766 million respectively, which provided 1.47x distribution coverage and resulted in 3.8x leverage. They also reported 74% adjusted EBIDTA growth in Q3 on a y-o-y basis, and 23% y-o-y adjusted EBITDA growth after excluding the impact from drawdowns.
This rapid growth pace is giving management plenty of cash to invest in the business, while maintaining its streak of consistently increasing its pay-out every quarter.
MPLX sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
MPLX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 18, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 26, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MPLX as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MPLX moved below its 50-day moving average on July 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPLX advanced for three days, in of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MPLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 415 cases where MPLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.046) is normal, around the industry mean (48.641). P/E Ratio (10.874) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.320). MPLX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (12.756) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.837). Dividend Yield (0.079) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.968) is also within normal values, averaging (3.055).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a developer of pipelines and other midstream assets
Industry OilGasPipelines
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