Advertisement
RAIL vs TRN
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RAIL is a Hold and TRN is a Hold.
RAIL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
RAIL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 30, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RAIL as a result. In 62 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
RAIL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RAIL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for RAIL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RAIL advanced for three days, in 234 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 180 of 233 cases where RAIL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RAIL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RAIL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.431) is normal, around the industry mean (4.638). RAIL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (11.444) as compared to the industry average of (23.129). RAIL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (54.280) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.261). RAIL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.016). RAIL's P/S Ratio (0.541) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.592).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
TRN's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TRN moved out of oversold territory on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 29 of the 35 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 56 cases where TRN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TRN just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TRN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +2.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRN advanced for three days, in 211 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
TRN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TRN as a result. In 71 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The 50-day moving average for TRN moved below the 200-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for TRN entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.923) is normal, around the industry mean (4.638). TRN has a moderately low P/E Ratio (6.525) as compared to the industry average of (23.129). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.070) is also within normal values, averaging (7.261). TRN's Dividend Yield (0.045) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.016). P/S Ratio (1.139) is also within normal values, averaging (3.592).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TRN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TRN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 61, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
RAIL | TRN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 82 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 76 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TRN's Valuation (12) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for RAIL (97). This means that TRN’s stock grew significantly faster than RAIL’s over the last 12 months.
TRN's Profit vs Risk Rating (82) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as RAIL (91). This means that TRN’s stock grew similarly to RAIL’s over the last 12 months.
TRN's SMR Rating (31) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for RAIL (100). This means that TRN’s stock grew significantly faster than RAIL’s over the last 12 months.
TRN's Price Growth Rating (76) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as RAIL (79). This means that TRN’s stock grew similarly to RAIL’s over the last 12 months.
RAIL's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for TRN (98). This means that RAIL’s stock grew significantly faster than TRN’s over the last 12 months.
| RAIL | TRN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RAIL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TRN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- RAIL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TRN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RAIL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RAIL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TRN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
RAIL (@Railroads) experienced а -5.28% price change this week, while TRN (@Railroads) price change was +0.01% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Railroads industry was -0.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
RAIL is expected to report earnings on Nov 16, 2026.
TRN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Railroads (-0.44% weekly)The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CZA | 122.31 | 0.21 | +0.17% |
| Invesco Zacks Mid-Cap ETF (CZA) | |||
| FFIU | 20.53 | N/A | N/A |
| UVA Unconstrained Medium-Term Fixed Income ETF (FFIU) | |||
| VCR | 375.83 | -3.88 | -1.02% |
| Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) | |||
| DADS | 18.56 | -0.27 | -1.41% |
| Digital Asset Debt Strategy ETF (DADS) | |||
| FAD | 174.98 | -4.80 | -2.67% |
| First Trust Multi Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund (FAD) | |||
RAIL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RAIL has been loosely correlated with WAB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RAIL jumps, then WAB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RAIL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAIL | 100% | -3.43% | ||
| WAB - RAIL | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.33% | ||
| FSTR - RAIL | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.38% | ||
| CSX - RAIL | 21% Poorly correlated | -0.02% | ||
| RVSN - RAIL | 12% Poorly correlated | +1.37% | ||
| TRN - RAIL | 7% Poorly correlated | -0.98% | ||
More | ||||
TRN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRN has been loosely correlated with GBX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TRN jumps, then GBX could also see price increases.