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FNV vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FNV offers a diversified royalty portfolio including energy assets, providing stability with lower volatility compared to WPM.
- WPM has outperformed with stronger YTD (17%) and 1-year (69%) returns versus FNV's 12% and 41%.
- Both benefit from precious metals leverage, but WPM shows higher revenue growth from recent record quarters and streaming expansions.
- FNV edges in dividend yield (0.76%) and debt-free balance sheet, appealing for income-focused investors.
- Market sentiment remains positive for both amid gold strength, with analyst targets suggesting upside (FNV ~$303, WPM ~$187).
- Tickeron's AI favors WPM for superior momentum and catalysts in recent market activity.
Introduction
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) are leading precious metals royalty and streaming companies, offering investors leveraged exposure to gold and silver prices without operational mining risks. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and relative positioning in the current market environment, where elevated metal prices and supply constraints drive sector interest. Traders seeking momentum and growth potential, as well as long-term investors prioritizing stability and dividends, will find value in understanding their contrasts in diversification, growth drivers, and risk profiles amid ongoing precious metals strength.
FNV Overview and Recent Performance
Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) is the world's largest gold-focused royalty and streaming company, headquartered in Toronto, Canada. It generates revenue through royalties (percentage of mine revenue) and streams (fixed-price metal purchases) on precious metals, platinum group metals (PGMs), and energy assets across global jurisdictions, avoiding direct mining costs or operational risks. In recent market activity, FNV shares have traded around $232, reflecting YTD gains of about 12% and 1-year returns near 41%, outperforming broader indices but trailing pure precious metals plays. Sentiment has been influenced by record Q4 2025 revenue and earnings, the launch of its 2026 Asset Handbook highlighting portfolio growth, and approvals like Cobre Panama stockpile processing, which bolster production visibility. Gold price resilience and diversified exposure have supported steady performance, though shares pulled back amid broader sector volatility.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), based in Vancouver, Canada, operates as a precious metals streaming company, providing upfront capital to miners for the right to buy gold, silver, palladium, platinum, and cobalt at fixed low prices. This model delivers high margins with scalability, emphasizing long-life, low-cost assets in stable jurisdictions. Recently, WPM shares hovered near $139, posting stronger YTD returns of 17% and 1-year gains of 69%, fueled by robust precious metals momentum. Key drivers include record Q1 2026 revenue exceeding $900 million, adjusted profit more than doubling, and portfolio expansions like new streams, enhancing cash flow and growth outlook. Silver-heavy exposure has amplified upside from industrial demand, though shares experienced volatility tied to metal price swings in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FNV and WPM employ asset-light models—royalties for FNV (broader diversification into energy and PGMs) versus streaming for WPM (silver-dominant alongside gold)—delivering high margins (50-60%) and commodity leverage without operational costs. Growth drivers contrast: WPM accelerates via aggressive stream acquisitions and record production ramps, yielding superior multi-year momentum (5-year returns ~237% vs. FNV's 64%), while FNV emphasizes portfolio stability and organic expansions. Recent momentum favors WPM amid silver strength, but FNV exhibits lower volatility (beta ~0.5 vs. 0.7). Risk factors include mine output dependency and metal price cycles, mitigated by geographic diversity; FNV's debt-free sheet enhances resilience. Sector exposure aligns on gold (70-85%), with positive sentiment from analyst buys and targets implying 20-30% upside, though WPM's scale ($63B cap vs. $45B) aids liquidity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WPM over FNV, based on stronger trend consistency across 1- and multi-year periods, recent catalysts like record Q1 revenue and stream deals, and superior relative performance in precious metals uptrends. While FNV provides greater stability and dividend appeal, WPM's momentum and silver leverage position it probabilistically better for near-term upside, subject to ongoing gold/silver dynamics and earnings confirmation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV) and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) are midstream precious metal companies based in Canada which primarily focus on gold, but WPM also generates a large percentage of its revenue from silver, and FNV is slightly more diversified with an oil and gas segment. FNV boasts no debt on their balance sheet, while WPM has very little ($3M) in comparison to its cash on hand ($235M). They have each acquired the rights to acquire and distribute the metals produced at various mines without being responsible for any mining themselves, through precious metals purchase agreements (PMPA’s). They also receive a percentage of royalties on other mining operations. The companies are comparable in size, with FNV being slightly larger at $28B market cap, and their revenue is practically the same at $1.25B in the past year as of the time of this writing. FNV’s margins and ROE look slightly better than WPM’s, but analysts appear optimistic about both companies.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FNV’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWPM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FNV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FNV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FNV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FNV (@Precious Metals) experienced а -2.90% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was -6.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
FNV is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| FNV | WPM | FNV / WPM | |
| Capitalization | 43.6B | 59.4B | 73% |
| EBITDA | 1.45B | 2.4B | 60% |
| Gain YTD | 8.913 | 11.144 | 80% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.74 | 32.96 | 96% |
| Revenue | 1.55B | 2.75B | 56% |
| Total Cash | 788M | 2.17B | 36% |
| Total Debt | 82.6M | 7.66M | 1,078% |
FNV | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FNV's Valuation (19) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (20). This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (33). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's SMR Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (59). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as FNV (50). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's P/E Growth Rating (84) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (89). This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| FNV | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 78% |
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FNV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FNV has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FNV jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.