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RL vs SHOO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ralph Lauren (RL) vs. Steven Madden (SHOO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ralph Lauren (RL) and Steven Madden (SHOO) both operate in the consumer discretionary sector but differ in scale, with Ralph Lauren focusing on premium apparel and accessories while Steven Madden emphasizes footwear and related products.
- Over recent weeks, Steven Madden (SHOO) shares have shown relative resilience following a strong first-quarter earnings beat and raised full-year guidance, contrasting with Ralph Lauren (RL) experiencing more pronounced price pressure amid broader market volatility.
- Business models present clear trade-offs: Ralph Lauren (RL) benefits from established brand heritage and international expansion, whereas Steven Madden (SHOO) leverages agile product cycles and direct-to-consumer channels for faster adaptation to fashion trends.
- Sector exposure remains similar in apparel and footwear, yet recent momentum favors Steven Madden (SHOO) due to observable catalysts like earnings outperformance, while Ralph Lauren (RL) awaits its upcoming fiscal results.
- Market sentiment reflects measured optimism for both, with Steven Madden (SHOO) demonstrating stronger one-year total returns compared to Ralph Lauren (RL) amid fluctuating consumer spending patterns.
Introduction
This comparison examines RL and SHOO to highlight differences in business scale, recent price behavior, and positioning within the apparel and footwear industry. Traders and investors focused on consumer discretionary stocks may find this analysis relevant when evaluating relative performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles in the current market environment characterized by shifting consumer preferences and economic indicators.
RL Overview and Recent Performance
Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes premium lifestyle products including apparel, accessories, and home furnishings under the Ralph Lauren brand. In recent market activity, shares of RL have faced downward pressure, declining notably over the past month amid mixed sentiment following earlier peaks. Key influences include ongoing brand collaborations and preparations for upcoming fiscal results, with the stock trading below analyst targets despite a solid year-to-date performance relative to broader benchmarks in prior periods.
SHOO Overview and Recent Performance
Steven Madden, Ltd. specializes in the design, sourcing, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories, targeting a broad consumer base through wholesale and retail channels. Recent market activity for SHOO has been supported by a first-quarter earnings report that exceeded expectations on earnings per share, accompanied by raised guidance for fiscal 2026 revenue growth. This development contributed to a more stable price trajectory in recent weeks compared to some peers, with the company maintaining dividend payments and demonstrating adaptability in product offerings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ralph Lauren (RL) operates a global luxury-oriented model with emphasis on brand equity and wholesale-retail integration, while Steven Madden (SHOO) pursues a more nimble approach centered on trend-responsive footwear and expanded direct channels. Growth drivers differ accordingly, with Ralph Lauren (RL) drawing from heritage marketing and international markets, and Steven Madden (SHOO) benefiting from rapid inventory turnover and recent earnings momentum. In recent performance, Steven Madden (SHOO) exhibited steadier relative returns following its earnings catalyst, whereas Ralph Lauren (RL) encountered greater short-term volatility ahead of its own reporting period. Risk factors include consumer spending sensitivity for both, though Steven Madden (SHOO) faces additional fashion-cycle variability; market sentiment currently tilts toward measured support for Steven Madden (SHOO) based on observable quarterly results.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent earnings consistency and guidance updates, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic edge to Steven Madden (SHOO) for near-term positioning, citing stronger alignment with positive momentum signals and catalyst-driven stability relative to Ralph Lauren (RL). This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data rather than a definitive projection.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RL is a StrongBuy and SHOO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RL’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSHOO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- RL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SHOO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHOO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHOO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
RL (@Apparel/Footwear) experienced а -0.35% price change this week, while SHOO (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was -5.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear industry was -1.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.64%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was -6.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
RL is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
SHOO is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear (-1.13% weekly)Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.
@Wholesale Distributors (-6.70% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
| RL | SHOO | RL / SHOO | |
| Capitalization | 24.5B | 3.12B | 785% |
| EBITDA | 1.47B | 177M | 828% |
| Gain YTD | 16.526 | 3.740 | 442% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.20 | 40.31 | 67% |
| Revenue | 8.12B | 2.63B | 308% |
| Total Cash | 2.07B | 123M | 1,679% |
| Total Debt | 3.01B | 540M | 557% |
RL | SHOO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 23 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 84 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHOO's Valuation (23) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RL (71) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that SHOO’s stock grew somewhat faster than RL’s over the last 12 months.
RL's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for SHOO (84) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry. This means that RL’s stock grew significantly faster than SHOO’s over the last 12 months.
RL's SMR Rating (28) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHOO (77) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry. This means that RL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHOO’s over the last 12 months.
RL's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as SHOO (39) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry. This means that RL’s stock grew similarly to SHOO’s over the last 12 months.
SHOO's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is in the same range as RL (36) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that SHOO’s stock grew similarly to RL’s over the last 12 months.
| RL | SHOO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 72% | 12 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 61% | 8 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 70% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| EBUF | 31.80 | 0.08 | +0.26% |
| Innovator Emerging Markets 10 Buf ETF-Qt | |||
| UUP | 28.36 | 0.06 | +0.21% |
| Invesco DB US Dollar Bullish | |||
| PMMF | 100.30 | 0.02 | +0.02% |
| iShares Prime Money Market ETF | |||
| ANGL | 29.17 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| VanEck Fallen Angel HiYld Bd ETF | |||
| XSHD | 13.46 | -0.21 | -1.52% |
| Invesco S&P SmallCap Hi Div Low Vol ETF | |||
RL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RL has been loosely correlated with WWW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RL jumps, then WWW could also see price increases.
SHOO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHOO has been loosely correlated with OXM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SHOO jumps, then OXM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHOO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOO | 100% | -3.30% | ||
| OXM - SHOO | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| KTB - SHOO | 64% Loosely correlated | -2.60% | ||
| COLM - SHOO | 63% Loosely correlated | -2.51% | ||
| LEVI - SHOO | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.38% | ||
| CAL - SHOO | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
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