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RSG vs WM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Republic Services (RSG) vs. Waste Management (WM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both RSG and WM operate in the waste management and environmental services sector, providing defensive exposure with low beta profiles relative to the broader market.
- Recent market activity shows WM with stronger year-to-date performance (approximately 3.97%) compared to RSG (approximately 0.22%), driven by solid Q2 2026 results and cash flow generation.
- RSG is scheduled to report Q2 2026 earnings on August 6, 2026, with consensus estimates for EPS of $1.81 and revenue of $4.36 billion.
- WM reported Q2 2026 revenue of $6.684 billion (up 4.0% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $2.02, alongside margin expansion and robust free cash flow.
- Both companies maintain premium valuations with price-to-earnings ratios above 30, reflecting investor confidence in stable cash flows and pricing power amid softer volume trends.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs in scale, growth initiatives such as renewable energy, and near-term earnings visibility.
Introduction
Republic Services (RSG) and Waste Management (WM) represent two leading players in the North American waste management industry. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational fundamentals, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Institutional investors, income-oriented portfolios, and traders seeking defensive sector exposure with low volatility characteristics may find this analysis relevant for assessing allocation decisions between these established environmental services providers.
RSG Overview and Recent Performance
Republic Services, Inc. provides collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services across residential, commercial, and industrial segments in the United States and Canada. In recent weeks, RSG shares have traded in a relatively narrow range near the midpoint of their 52-week band, reflecting steady defensive demand. The stock closed at approximately $210.55 on July 31, 2026, with a beta of 0.41 indicating lower volatility than the market. Sentiment has been influenced by anticipation ahead of the August 6, 2026, Q2 earnings release, alongside broader sector resilience in pricing and customer retention. Year-to-date returns stand near 0.22%, trailing the S&P 500 amid mixed volume trends in certain segments.
WM Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Management, Inc. delivers integrated waste and environmental solutions, including collection, recycling, renewable energy, and healthcare services. Recent market activity for WM has featured positive momentum following its Q2 2026 earnings release in late July, with the stock closing at approximately $226.55 on July 31, 2026. The company reported revenue of $6.684 billion (up 4.0% year-over-year) and adjusted EPS of $2.02, supported by margin expansion and strong free cash flow. Year-to-date performance reached about 3.97%. Guidance adjustments included a modest revenue trim offset by higher expected margins, while initiatives in renewable natural gas and recycling contributed to operational stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies share similar business models centered on essential waste services, yet WM operates at larger scale with broader exposure to renewable energy and healthcare solutions. Growth drivers for RSG include core pricing discipline and sustainability investments, while WM has emphasized margin expansion and project completions in recycling and renewable natural gas. Recent momentum favors WM on stronger reported results and year-to-date outperformance, though RSG offers potentially greater near-term earnings visibility ahead of its report. Risk factors include volume softness for both, with RSG carrying a slightly lower beta. Sector exposure remains concentrated in environmental services, where stable cash flows support premium valuations amid economic uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability metrics, recent catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI assessment would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term characteristics to RSG. This probabilistic evaluation reflects defensive attributes and upcoming earnings clarity rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RSG is a Hold and WM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RSG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- RSG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RSG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RSG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
RSG (@Environmental Services) experienced а +2.78% price change this week, while WM (@Environmental Services) price change was -0.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was -4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
RSG is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
WM is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (-4.81% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| RSG | WM | RSG / WM | |
| Capitalization | 67.6B | 89.6B | 75% |
| EBITDA | 5.13B | 7.46B | 69% |
| Gain YTD | 5.034 | 2.829 | 178% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.26 | 31.69 | 99% |
| Revenue | 16.7B | 25.7B | 65% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 557M | - |
| Total Debt | 14.1B | 23.4B | 60% |
RSG | WM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 55 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WM's Valuation (34) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (39). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (23). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
WM's SMR Rating (34) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (48). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as WM (59). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to WM’s over the last 12 months.
WM's P/E Growth Rating (55) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (59). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
| RSG | WM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 36% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 52% | about 1 month ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 36% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 42% |
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RSG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSG has been closely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSG jumps, then WM could also see price increases.