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RSG vs WM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Republic Services (RSG) vs. Waste Management (WM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both RSG and WM operate in the waste management sector, with WM holding a larger market capitalization and broader revenue base.
- In Q1 2026, RSG reported EPS of $1.70 with margin expansion, while WM delivered revenue growth of 3.5% and stronger operating cash flow of $1.5 billion.
- Year-to-date through early July 2026, WM has outperformed RSG with approximately 7.4% gains compared to roughly 4.9% for RSG.
- RSG experienced post-earnings pressure in recent weeks, with shares declining around 7-8% in the month following its Q1 report.
- WM reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook after Q1 results, citing disciplined pricing and sustainability investments as key drivers.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in scale, cash generation, and near-term momentum between the two companies.
Introduction
Republic Services (RSG) and Waste Management (WM) represent leading players in the environmental services industry, providing collection, recycling, and disposal solutions across North America. This comparison examines their business models, recent financial results, and stock performance to assist institutional investors, portfolio managers, and active traders evaluating relative value within the waste management sector. The analysis draws on observable metrics such as earnings, margins, cash flow, and market returns from the past several months, offering a factual basis for assessing positioning amid broader economic conditions.
RSG Overview and Recent Performance
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) provides waste collection, recycling, and disposal services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. In Q1 2026, the company reported revenue of $4.11 billion, up 2.6% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $1.70 and adjusted EBITDA of $1.32 billion, reflecting a 50-basis-point margin expansion to 32.1%. Despite the earnings beat, shares faced selling pressure in subsequent weeks, declining approximately 7-8% over the following month amid investor focus on top-line results and outlook considerations. Year-to-date returns through early July 2026 stood near 4.9%, lagging the broader market. Market capitalization hovered around $68 billion, with the stock trading in the $218-$222 range during recent sessions.
WM Overview and Recent Performance
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) delivers similar integrated environmental solutions, including collection, recycling, and renewable energy initiatives. For Q1 2026, WM posted revenue of $6.23 billion, a 3.5% increase, alongside adjusted operating EBITDA of $1.85 billion (margin expansion of 70 basis points) and net cash from operations rising 24% to $1.5 billion. The company reaffirmed its full-year financial guidance following the release. Year-to-date performance through early July reached approximately 7.4%, outpacing RSG. Market capitalization approximated $93-95 billion, with shares trading near $233-$237 in recent activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
RSG and WM share exposure to the defensive waste management sector, benefiting from recurring revenue streams tied to essential services. WM operates at greater scale, with higher absolute revenue and EBITDA alongside a larger market capitalization. Both companies demonstrated margin expansion in Q1 2026 through pricing discipline and operational efficiency, though WM reported more robust cash flow growth. Recent momentum favors WM, which maintained steadier price action post-earnings, while RSG encountered greater volatility. Risk factors include commodity price fluctuations, regulatory changes, and economic sensitivity in volumes for both. WM’s broader diversification into recycling and renewables provides additional growth avenues compared with RSG’s core focus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger year-to-date returns, superior cash flow growth, and reaffirmed guidance, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to WM over RSG in the near term. Trend consistency and relative positioning support this assessment, though outcomes remain subject to broader market conditions and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RSG is a Buy and WM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RSG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- RSG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RSG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RSG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
RSG (@Environmental Services) experienced а +0.86% price change this week, while WM (@Environmental Services) price change was +1.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was -0.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
RSG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
WM is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (-0.62% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| RSG | WM | RSG / WM | |
| Capitalization | 67.4B | 93.7B | 72% |
| EBITDA | 5.13B | 7.34B | 70% |
| Gain YTD | 4.335 | 7.083 | 61% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.45 | 33.77 | 93% |
| Revenue | 16.7B | 25.4B | 66% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 158M | - |
| Total Debt | 14.1B | 22.9B | 62% |
RSG | WM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WM's Valuation (36) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (41). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (23). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
WM's SMR Rating (34) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (48). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
WM's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (52). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
WM's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as RSG (65). This means that WM’s stock grew similarly to RSG’s over the last 12 months.
| RSG | WM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 42% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 52% | 11 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 46% |
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RSG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSG has been closely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSG jumps, then WM could also see price increases.
WM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WM has been closely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WM jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.