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CWST vs RSG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Casella Waste Systems (CWST) vs. Republic Services (RSG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CWST and RSG provide vertically integrated solid waste management services, but CWST focuses regionally while RSG operates nationally.
- CWST stock surged over 9% following strong Q1 2026 earnings, with year-to-date (YTD) gains of 11.34%, outpacing RSG's 2.15% YTD rise.
- RSG offers a 1.21% dividend yield, attracting income-focused investors, while growth-oriented CWST pays no dividend.
- RSG's market cap of $64B dwarfs CWST's $5.5B, reflecting scale differences in relative performance.
- Recent analyst upgrade for CWST and FTC approval for RSG's acquisition highlight positive catalysts for both.
- Low betas (CWST 0.77, RSG 0.44) indicate both stocks exhibit lower volatility than the broader market (beta measures volatility relative to the market).
Introduction
In the resilient solid waste management sector, Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Republic Services (RSG) offer distinct investment profiles for traders and investors. CWST, a regional operator, emphasizes growth through pricing and acquisitions, while RSG, a larger national provider, prioritizes scale and steady returns. This stock comparison examines recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning to illuminate relative strengths amid shifting sentiment and economic conditions. Growth seekers may favor momentum plays, while stability proponents eye dividends and size in this essential industry.
CWST Overview and Recent Performance
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) is a vertically integrated provider of solid waste collection, recycling, transfer, and disposal services, primarily in the northeastern U.S. In recent market activity, the stock experienced a sharp rally following its Q1 2026 earnings release, which showed revenue growth of 9.6% to $457.3 million, surpassing estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) and margins expanded due to pricing strength and acquisition contributions. Trading around $87 recently, CWST has posted YTD gains of 11.34% within a 52-week range of $74-$121, reflecting improved sentiment from operational execution. A Barclays analyst upgrade further bolstered confidence, with the forward price-to-earnings (PE) ratio at 88.5 signaling growth expectations despite a high trailing PE of 723 due to low trailing EPS of $0.12.
RSG Overview and Recent Performance
Republic Services (RSG) delivers comprehensive environmental services, including non-hazardous waste collection, recycling, and landfill operations across the U.S. and Canada. Recent weeks have seen modest price weakness, with shares near $206 amid a 52-week range of $201-$259 and YTD performance of 2.15%. Key influences include FTC clearance for its acquisition of Robinson Waste in Utah and initiatives like California's first fully electric residential fleet, supporting long-term sustainability goals. Ahead of Q1 earnings, analysts note potential undervaluation with a trailing PE of 30 and EPS (TTM) of $6.86, complemented by a 1.21% dividend yield that appeals to steady-income strategies.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CWST and RSG share core business models in waste collection and recycling but diverge in scale and strategy. CWST's regional focus drives higher growth via pricing power and tuck-in acquisitions, contrasting RSG's national footprint bolstered by larger M&A (mergers and acquisitions). Recent momentum favors CWST post-earnings surge versus RSG's short-term pullback, though RSG exhibits greater stability with lower beta and dividends. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity for recycling revenues, but sector resilience shines. Market sentiment tilts bullish for CWST on upgrades, while RSG benefits from acquisition tailwinds ahead of earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI tools, scanning trend consistency, stability, and catalysts, currently show a probabilistic edge to CWST due to its recent earnings momentum, revenue acceleration, and analyst support in a growth-favorable environment. RSG remains compelling for its scale, dividend reliability, and lower volatility, potentially gaining post-earnings if results align with expectations. Relative positioning favors short-term upside in CWST amid sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CWST is a Hold and RSG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CWST’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRSG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CWST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RSG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CWST’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RSG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CWST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- RSG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CWST (@Environmental Services) experienced а +4.04% price change this week, while RSG (@Environmental Services) price change was -0.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was -1.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
CWST is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
RSG is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (-1.84% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| CWST | RSG | CWST / RSG | |
| Capitalization | 5.69B | 64.6B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 386M | 5.13B | 8% |
| Gain YTD | -8.750 | -0.378 | 2,315% |
| P/E Ratio | 812.45 | 30.12 | 2,698% |
| Revenue | 1.88B | 16.7B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 127M | 118M | 108% |
| Total Debt | 1.24B | 14.1B | 9% |
CWST | RSG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RSG's Valuation (39) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (96). This means that RSG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (72). This means that RSG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's SMR Rating (48) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (91). This means that RSG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as CWST (58). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to CWST’s over the last 12 months.
CWST's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RSG (73). This means that CWST’s stock grew somewhat faster than RSG’s over the last 12 months.
| CWST | RSG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 37% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 16 days ago 38% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 19% |
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CWST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CWST has been loosely correlated with RSG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CWST jumps, then RSG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CWST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWST | 100% | -0.43% | ||
| RSG - CWST | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| WM - CWST | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| WCN - CWST | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| GFL - CWST | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| CLH - CWST | 32% Poorly correlated | +0.35% | ||
More | ||||
RSG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSG has been closely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSG jumps, then WM could also see price increases.