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CWST vs RSG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Casella Waste Systems (CWST) vs. Republic Services (RSG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Republic Services (RSG) operate in the waste management sector, providing collection, recycling, and disposal services with exposure to environmental and regulatory trends.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks trading near multi-week ranges amid broader sector stability, with CWST reflecting gains tied to operational expansions and RSG supported by sustainability initiatives.
- CWST maintains a smaller market capitalization compared to RSG, positioning it as a more regionally focused player versus the larger national scale of its peer.
- Both companies face upcoming quarterly earnings releases, which may influence short-term sentiment based on volume trends, pricing power, and commodity pricing.
- Sector exposure to renewable natural gas (RNG) projects and labor dynamics represent key differentiators in recent developments for the two stocks.
- Relative performance in recent weeks has been influenced by company-specific catalysts rather than broad market moves, highlighting trade-offs in scale versus growth initiatives.
Introduction
This comparison examines Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Republic Services (RSG), two companies in the waste management industry. The analysis focuses on their business models, recent stock behavior, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the environmental services sector. Participants seeking exposure to defensive industrials with recurring revenue characteristics may find this overview relevant for assessing contrasts in scale, operational focus, and recent momentum.
CWST Overview and Recent Performance
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company, primarily serving the eastern United States with collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal operations. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience amid sector activity, supported by the commencement of operations at a renewable natural gas (RNG) facility at the Hyland Landfill in partnership with Waga Energy. This development adds a recurring revenue stream from landfill gas upgrading. Market positioning reflects ongoing preparations for second-quarter 2026 earnings, scheduled for release after market close on August 6, 2026, with investor attention centered on volume trends and pricing metrics.
RSG Overview and Recent Performance
Republic Services (RSG) provides integrated waste management services across North America, including collection, recycling, and disposal for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Recent market activity has been shaped by the release of its 2025 Sustainability Report, highlighting nearly $1 billion in investments aligned with long-term environmental and safety goals. The stock has traded in a relatively contained range in recent weeks, with attention directed toward second-quarter 2026 earnings expected on August 6, 2026. Broader sentiment incorporates steady demand in core operations alongside monitoring of labor-related developments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Casella Waste Systems (CWST) and Republic Services (RSG) share exposure to the waste management sector but differ in scale and geographic emphasis, with CWST operating more regionally in the eastern U.S. and RSG maintaining broader national reach. Growth drivers for CWST include targeted RNG initiatives that introduce new revenue streams, while RSG emphasizes large-scale sustainability investments and pricing discipline. Recent momentum reflects company-specific catalysts, with CWST tied to facility expansions and RSG to reporting on environmental progress. Risk factors encompass regulatory changes in waste handling for both, alongside labor considerations more prominently noted for the larger operator. Market sentiment remains neutral overall, influenced by defensive sector characteristics and upcoming earnings visibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent market activity, stability of core operations, and positioning around operational catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to CWST due to its alignment with emerging RNG revenue opportunities and contained volatility profile relative to peers. This assessment remains subject to confirmation through forthcoming earnings data and broader sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CWST is a Hold and RSG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CWST’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRSG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CWST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RSG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CWST’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RSG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CWST’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- RSG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CWST (@Environmental Services) experienced а -2.82% price change this week, while RSG (@Environmental Services) price change was +0.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Environmental Services industry was +5.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
CWST is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
RSG is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Environmental Services (+5.92% weekly)Environmental Services includes companies that collect and dispose of hazardous and non-hazardous waste. Their services include removal of toxic waste from soil, removing medical waste etc. Some companies also operate incinerators, sewerage systems, waste treatment plants, and landfills. Demand for waste management is likely to rise with increasing urbanization/industrialization. Waste Management, Inc., Republic Services, Inc., Waste Connections, Inc. and Tetra Tech, Inc. are some of the major companies in this business.
| CWST | RSG | CWST / RSG | |
| Capitalization | 5.91B | 66.4B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 386M | 5.13B | 8% |
| Gain YTD | -5.197 | 3.273 | -159% |
| P/E Ratio | 1161.13 | 30.73 | 3,778% |
| Revenue | 1.88B | 16.7B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 127M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.24B | 14.1B | 9% |
CWST | RSG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RSG's Valuation (38) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (96). This means that RSG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (69). This means that RSG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's SMR Rating (49) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CWST (89). This means that RSG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CWST’s over the last 12 months.
RSG's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Environmental Services industry is in the same range as CWST (61). This means that RSG’s stock grew similarly to CWST’s over the last 12 months.
CWST's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Environmental Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RSG (61). This means that CWST’s stock grew somewhat faster than RSG’s over the last 12 months.
| CWST | RSG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 61% | 15 days ago 38% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 49% |
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CWST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CWST has been loosely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CWST jumps, then WM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CWST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWST | 100% | +3.27% | ||
| WM - CWST | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.67% | ||
| RSG - CWST | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.88% | ||
| GFL - CWST | 40% Loosely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| CLH - CWST | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.79% | ||
| GWAV - CWST | 9% Poorly correlated | -11.48% | ||
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RSG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSG has been closely correlated with WM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSG jumps, then WM could also see price increases.