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RTX vs TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? RTX Corporation (RTX) vs. TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- RTX Corporation (RTX) has shown YTD gains of approximately 2.4%, outperforming the broader market amid defense contract wins like a $2.01 billion U.S. Air Force deal, while TDG lags with YTD declines around -14.8% due to share price pullbacks.
- RTX benefits from diversified aerospace and defense exposure, including engines and missiles, supporting projected 5.4% sales and 8.3% EPS (earnings per share) growth for 2026.
- TransDigm Group focuses on high-margin proprietary aircraft components, posting strong Q1 revenue of $2.29 billion and EPS of $8.23, beating estimates despite insider selling concerns.
- RTX's market cap exceeds $250 billion versus TDG's $64 billion, reflecting greater scale but similar elevated P/E ratios around 37x.
- Recent momentum favors RTX with one-year returns over 40%, contrasting TDG's negative performance, driven by geopolitical demand in defense.
- Analysts remain bullish on both, but RTX edges in trend consistency and backlog visibility.
Introduction
RTX Corporation (RTX) and TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) operate in the aerospace and defense sector, a space buoyed by rising military budgets and commercial aviation recovery. RTX provides integrated systems like missiles and engines, while TDG specializes in proprietary aftermarket components. This stock comparison suits traders eyeing relative performance and investors assessing growth drivers amid geopolitical tensions and supply chain dynamics. By examining recent market activity, financial metrics, and sentiment, readers gain insights into their positioning for potential portfolio allocation in this high-demand industry.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation, formerly Raytheon Technologies, is a multinational aerospace and defense leader headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. It operates through Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments, delivering advanced systems for commercial and military applications, including engines, avionics, and missiles. In recent market activity, RTX shares traded around $187, with a 52-week range of $112 to $214. YTD performance stands at about 2.4%, supported by one-year gains exceeding 40%. Key influences include a $2.01 billion U.S. Air Force contract modification for missile work and a $115 million Redstone facility expansion, bolstering backlog visibility. Pratt & Whitney engine demand and analyst optimism for 2026 growth have lifted sentiment, despite short-term dips from technical pressures and supply chain hurdles. Q4 FY25 revenue reached $24.24 billion, underscoring operational scale.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered aircraft components worldwide, focusing on proprietary parts with significant aftermarket demand. Organized into Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-Aviation segments, it serves commercial and military platforms through over 50 autonomous units. Recently, TDG shares hovered near $1,133, within a 52-week range of $1,131 to $1,624. YTD returns are negative around -14.8%, with one-year declines of about -12%, reflecting pullbacks amid insider selling. Despite this, Q1 FY26 revenue hit $2.29 billion (up 13.9% YoY) and EPS $8.23, surpassing forecasts. Factors include robust aerospace demand but pressures from tariffs, acquisitions, and valuation reassessments. Analysts highlight strong cash flow and long-term potential in aftermarket sales.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
RTX and TDG differ markedly in business models: RTX's integrated prime contractor approach spans full systems like air defense and jet engines, yielding diversified revenue (commercial ~50%, defense ~50%) and massive scale ($88 billion annual revenue), while TDG's acquisitive holding company targets niche, high-margin (EBITDA ~50%) proprietary components, emphasizing aftermarket (55% of sales) for recurring cash flow but exposing it to flight-hour cyclicality. Growth drivers contrast RTX's government contracts amid geopolitical demand versus TDG's OEM ramp-ups and acquisitions like $960 million Stellant Systems. Recent momentum favors RTX's positive YTD and 40%+ one-year returns over TDG's declines, though TDG boasts superior margins. Risk factors include RTX's supply chain volatility in engines and TDG's premium valuation sensitivity to aviation slowdowns. Sector exposure overlaps in aerospace but RTX leans defense-heavy, buoying sentiment via backlogs; TDG rides commercial recovery. Trade-offs pit RTX's stability against TDG's upside from aftermarket moats.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors RTX over TDG, based on superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, expansive contract backlog, and balanced commercial-defense positioning amid rising sector demand. RTX's catalysts like missile expansions and projected EPS growth suggest a higher probability of relative strength, while TDG's pullbacks introduce near-term volatility despite strong fundamentals.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RTX is a Hold and TDG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RTX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTDG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RTX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TDG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RTX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.55% price change this week, while TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
RTX is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| RTX | TDG | RTX / TDG | |
| Capitalization | 264B | 71.5B | 369% |
| EBITDA | 14.9B | 4.63B | 322% |
| Gain YTD | 7.455 | -4.810 | -155% |
| P/E Ratio | 39.60 | 40.73 | 97% |
| Revenue | 88.6B | 9.11B | 973% |
| Total Cash | 7.44B | 2.53B | 294% |
| Total Debt | 39.5B | 30B | 132% |
RTX | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (41) in the null industry is in the same range as TDG (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the null industry is in the same range as TDG (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67) in the null industry. This means that TDG’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the null industry is in the same range as TDG (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| RTX | TDG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 32% | 3 days ago 61% |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Schwab International Equity ETF™ | |||
| QDTE | 29.63 | 0.35 | +1.20% |
| Roundhill Innovt-100 0DTE CovCllStratETF | |||
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| FlexShares Core Select Bond ETF | |||
| JULZ | 42.95 | N/A | N/A |
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