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NOC vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Northrop Grumman (NOC) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NOC and RTX are leading aerospace and defense companies with substantial exposure to government contracts and geopolitical demand drivers.
- In recent market activity, RTX has posted stronger year-to-date performance compared to NOC, which has faced more pronounced price target adjustments from analysts.
- Both stocks are positioned ahead of upcoming quarterly earnings reports, with NOC scheduled for July 21 and RTX for July 23, providing near-term catalysts for sentiment shifts.
- Contract wins, including NATO-related orders and missile production expansions, have supported sentiment in the sector over recent weeks.
- NOC exhibits higher volatility and has traded near the lower end of its recent range, while RTX has shown relative stability and traded closer to the upper bounds of its 52-week range.
- Risk factors for both include potential supply chain pressures, budgetary uncertainties in defense spending, and broader market reactions to macroeconomic data.
Introduction
The comparison between NOC and RTX centers on two prominent players in the aerospace and defense sector, where government procurement, international alliances, and technological innovation shape performance. Investors and traders focused on defense exposure, sector rotation strategies, or relative value opportunities within industrials may find this analysis relevant. The discussion examines recent price behavior, business fundamentals, and market positioning to highlight observable contrasts without forward-looking speculation.
NOC Overview and Recent Performance
Northrop Grumman Corporation develops advanced aerospace systems, missile defense technologies, and space solutions primarily for U.S. and allied government customers. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced downward pressure, including multiple analyst price target reductions and trading near the lower portion of its 52-week range. Contract modifications, such as Navy awards, provided periodic support, while broader sector commentary on production capacity and geopolitical developments influenced sentiment. Upcoming second-quarter results are expected to offer clarity on revenue trends and backlog execution amid these dynamics.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation operates across Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments, delivering commercial and military aircraft components, engines, and missile systems. Recent performance has shown relative resilience, with the stock maintaining positions near the upper end of its 52-week range and posting positive year-to-date returns. Multiple contract announcements, including expansions in missile production capacity and Navy orders, contributed to sector sentiment. The company is also set to report second-quarter results shortly, which may highlight free cash flow trends and operational metrics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Northrop Grumman focuses more narrowly on defense and space platforms, while RTX maintains broader exposure through commercial aerospace alongside defense activities, creating differing sensitivities to civilian travel demand and military budgets. Growth drivers for both include international contracts and modernization programs, though RTX has recorded additional wins in missile and production capacity expansions recently. In terms of recent momentum, RTX has demonstrated greater price stability compared to NOC, which encountered more analyst revisions. Risk considerations encompass execution on large programs and supply chain factors for both, with NOC showing higher observed volatility in recent weeks. Sector exposure remains concentrated in aerospace and defense for each, yet market sentiment has appeared incrementally more supportive of RTX’s positioning amid contract flow.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as relative price stability, contract momentum, and positioning ahead of earnings, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probability of favorable near-term trend consistency to RTX over NOC. This assessment reflects differences in recent performance ranges and sector-specific catalysts without implying certainty or investment recommendations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NOC is a Hold and RTX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NOC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileRTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NOC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NOC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NOC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
NOC (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -3.35% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -1.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +45.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
NOC is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+45.30% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| NOC | RTX | NOC / RTX | |
| Capitalization | 74.1B | 261B | 28% |
| EBITDA | 7.7B | 15.4B | 50% |
| Gain YTD | -7.833 | 6.304 | -124% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.35 | 36.31 | 45% |
| Revenue | 42.4B | 90.4B | 47% |
| Total Cash | 2.09B | 6.82B | 31% |
| Total Debt | 16.3B | 38.9B | 42% |
NOC | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 44 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOC's Valuation (54) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (55) in the null industry. This means that NOC’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOC (62) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NOC’s over the last 12 months.
NOC's SMR Rating (34) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67) in the null industry. This means that NOC’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as NOC (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the null industry is in the same range as NOC (74) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
| NOC | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 47% | 4 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 8 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 56% |
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NOC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NOC has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NOC jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.