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LMT vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LMT and RTX reported strong second-quarter 2026 results with record or near-record backlogs exceeding $230 billion and $289 billion, respectively, driven by sustained defense demand.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing pullbacks of approximately 11-13% over the past month amid broader sector rotation, despite positive earnings momentum and raised full-year guidance.
- LMT benefits from concentrated exposure to missiles, munitions, and aircraft programs, with recent analyst upgrades highlighting underappreciated production ramp potential.
- RTX offers greater diversification across commercial aerospace engines and defense electronics, supporting steadier margins and a larger overall market capitalization.
- Relative performance over the trailing twelve months favors RTX with gains near 27%, compared to approximately 14% for LMT, though year-to-date returns remain closely aligned.
- Key trade-offs include LMT’s lower valuation multiples versus RTX’s broader revenue streams and manufacturing expansion initiatives.
Introduction
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) and RTX Corporation (RTX) represent two leading players in the aerospace and defense sector, making them natural comparables for investors seeking exposure to government contracting, missile systems, aircraft programs, and related technologies. This analysis examines their business models, recent financial results, stock price behavior, and market positioning to assist portfolio managers, institutional investors, and individual traders evaluating relative opportunities within the defense industrial base. The comparison draws on verifiable developments from recent weeks and broader quarterly trends to highlight distinctions in growth drivers, risk profiles, and operational scale.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) is a major U.S. defense contractor focused on aeronautics, missiles and fire control, rotary and mission systems, and space segments. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $524 following a July surge after second-quarter results exceeded expectations on revenue, earnings per share, and free cash flow. Backlog reached a record $230 billion, prompting management to raise full-year sales, operating profit, and cash flow guidance. Recent weeks have seen a pullback of roughly 13% over one month, influenced by sector-wide profit-taking and mixed analyst sentiment, even as UBS upgraded the shares citing structural demand for missiles and F-35 platforms. Year-to-date performance remains positive at approximately 10%, supported by elevated defense spending and munitions replenishment needs.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX) operates across Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments, blending commercial aviation exposure with defense electronics, missiles, and sensors. Second-quarter 2026 results showed 14.5% revenue growth and a $289 billion backlog, leading to raised full-year outlook. Recent market activity includes manufacturing expansions, including a $50 million Raytheon facility upgrade and Pratt & Whitney investments abroad. The stock has declined approximately 11% over the past month to near $198, reflecting similar sector pressures, yet maintains stronger trailing twelve-month gains near 27% and year-to-date appreciation of about 9%. Diversified revenue streams have contributed to margin stability above 20% in key segments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) maintains a more concentrated defense focus centered on high-demand missile and aircraft programs, whereas RTX Corporation (RTX) balances defense with commercial engine aftermarket revenue that can buffer cyclical budget fluctuations. Recent momentum shows both stocks correcting after strong backlog-driven rallies, though RTX has delivered superior longer-term returns. Risk factors for LMT include program execution and margin pressure on fixed-price contracts, while RTX faces capacity constraints in commercial aerospace alongside defense growth. Sector exposure remains similar, yet RTX’s larger scale and diversified backlog provide broader stability. Market sentiment reflects cautious optimism for both amid elevated defense spending, with valuation differentials favoring LMT on price-to-earnings metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including backlog consistency, production ramp visibility, and relative valuation positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to LMT for potential outperformance in the near term, owing to concentrated missile demand catalysts and recent analyst upgrades. However, RTX demonstrates stronger historical trend stability and diversification benefits that could support more consistent positioning over extended periods. Outcomes remain contingent on defense budget execution and macroeconomic variables.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LMT is a Hold and RTX is a Hold.
LMT | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 90 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (57) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (59) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (42) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (64) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (55) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (57) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LMT (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew somewhat faster than LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| LMT | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 4 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 52% | 11 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 36% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LMT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while RTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LMT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.34% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +0.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
LMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+0.51% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been closely correlated with NOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then NOC could also see price increases.
RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with NOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then NOC could also see price increases.