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LMT vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LMT (Lockheed Martin) is a pure-play defense prime whose momentum is tied to munitions and missile-defense restocking, with a record backlog near $230 billion.
- RTX (RTX Corporation) blends defense with commercial aerospace, giving it a second growth engine through civil aftermarket demand but also broader cyclical exposure.
- Both companies raised full-year 2026 guidance after strong quarterly results, signaling durable demand across aerospace and defense.
- Lockheed Martin offers higher margin focus and faster earnings growth, while RTX provides diversification across three large segments.
- Relative performance and sentiment currently tilt toward Lockheed Martin's cleaner momentum, though RTX carries a slightly larger backlog and a broader revenue base.
Introduction
Lockheed Martin and RTX Corporation are two of the largest names in the global aerospace and defense industry, yet they compete for investor attention with very different profiles. Lockheed Martin is a concentrated defense prime contractor, while RTX pairs defense franchises with a substantial commercial aviation business. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors weighing pure defense exposure against diversified aerospace leverage, particularly as rising geopolitical tensions and strong commercial air travel demand shape the sector. Understanding each company's market positioning, momentum, and risk profile can help clarify which name better fits a given strategy in the current environment.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
LMT (Lockheed Martin) is the world's largest pure-play defense contractor, spanning aeronautics, missiles and fire control, rotary and mission systems, and space. Recent weeks have favored the stock, driven by a record backlog of roughly $230 billion and a surge in munitions demand as the Pentagon works to replenish inventories. The company's missiles and fire control segment grew nearly 20% in its most recent quarter, supported by production ramp-ups for PAC-3 interceptors, THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) systems, and precision-strike missiles. Lockheed Martin raised its full-year 2026 revenue and earnings outlook, and analysts such as UBS have upgraded the stock, citing growth across multiple segments. Despite the gains, execution risk on fixed-price programs and elevated valuations relative to recent history remain considerations shaping sentiment.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX (RTX Corporation) operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. This structure gives the company exposure to both commercial aerospace and defense, with a record backlog of about $289 billion split between commercial and defense work. Recent quarters have shown strong organic growth, with commercial aftermarket demand and defense orders both contributing. RTX also raised its 2026 sales and adjusted earnings guidance after a strong second quarter, citing momentum across all three segments and a large naval munitions award. However, RTX faces ongoing supply-chain constraints and tariff-related cost pressures, particularly around its commercial engine business. These factors introduce cyclicality that a pure defense contractor does not carry to the same degree.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two names is business-model concentration. Lockheed Martin's near-total reliance on government defense budgets gives it predictable, long-duration revenue visibility but also concentrates its fate on Pentagon procurement cycles. RTX diversifies across commercial aviation and defense, softening single-customer risk while exposing investors to air-travel demand, engine aftermarket cycles, and supply-chain volatility. In terms of growth drivers, Lockheed Martin is positioned around missile defense and munitions restocking, whereas RTX benefits from both defense programs and a recovering commercial aftermarket. On risk factors, Lockheed Martin carries fixed-price contract execution risk, while RTX carries tariff and commercial-engine cost pressures. Market sentiment in recent weeks has leaned slightly toward Lockheed Martin's cleaner momentum, while RTX's larger absolute backlog and diversified base appeal to investors seeking balance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and catalyst visibility, Tickeron's AI would likely tilt toward Lockheed Martin in the current environment. The company's accelerating earnings growth, concentrated exposure to high-priority missile-defense programs, and record backlog suggest a comparatively clearer near-term catalyst path. RTX's diversified model and larger backlog remain attractive, but its commercial aerospace exposure introduces additional cyclical and tariff-related variables. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: the favored positioning can shift as market conditions, earnings revisions, and macro factors evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LMT is a Hold and RTX is a Hold.
LMT's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for LMT moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 37 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LMT as a result. In 43 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LMT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where LMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
Following a +5.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 194 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for LMT moved below the 200-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
LMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LMT entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.643) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (19.104) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.978) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
RTX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 24, 2026
RTX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 20 of 26 cases where RTX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RTX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 54 cases where RTX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RTX as a result. In 54 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RTX just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where RTX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RTX advanced for three days, in 226 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RTX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
The Aroon Indicator for RTX entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RTX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.811) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (33.039) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.176) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.868) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
LMT | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (59) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (64) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (54) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| LMT | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 53% | 9 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 36% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LMT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while RTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LMT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +4.87% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -5.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
LMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-5.75% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with NOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then NOC could also see price increases.