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LMT vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LMT and RTX are leading aerospace and defense contractors with substantial government contract backlogs and exposure to global security spending.
- In recent market activity, both stocks have posted modest year-to-date returns below the broader S&P 500, reflecting sector-specific pressures amid broader market gains.
- LMT has secured multiple large-scale U.S. military contracts and announced a strategic acquisition in recent weeks, supporting its positioning in missile systems and naval technologies.
- RTX continues to expand production capacity for key missile programs and benefits from commercial aerospace recovery alongside defense demand.
- Upcoming second-quarter earnings reports for both companies in late July provide near-term catalysts that could influence sentiment and relative performance.
- Risk factors for both include production ramp-up challenges, geopolitical dependencies, and analyst price target adjustments observed in recent market activity.
Introduction
Aerospace and defense stocks such as LMT and RTX offer investors exposure to long-term government procurement cycles, technological innovation, and international security dynamics. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist institutional and individual investors evaluating relative opportunities within the sector. Traders focused on momentum and catalysts, as well as longer-term holders assessing stability and dividend characteristics, may find the analysis relevant in the current environment of elevated defense budgets and evolving geopolitical conditions.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) is a major provider of advanced defense systems, including fighter jets, missiles, and space technologies. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced modest downward pressure, closing at $508.77 on July 17, 2026, with a year-to-date return of approximately 6.44%. Multiple contract awards, including a $10.53 billion U.S. Special Operations Command agreement and various Army and Navy task orders, have supported sentiment. The company also announced plans to acquire Ultra Maritime for $3.45 billion, enhancing its naval capabilities. Recent analyst price target reductions have contributed to volatility, while the upcoming second-quarter earnings release on July 23 remains a focal point for investors monitoring production metrics and cash flow.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX) operates across Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments, serving both commercial aviation and defense markets. The stock closed at $193.51 on July 17, 2026, posting a year-to-date return near 6.30%. Recent developments include expanded missile production capacity with NATO partners, multiple U.S. Navy and Air Force contract modifications, and investments in manufacturing facilities. The company is scheduled to report second-quarter results on July 23, 2026. Broader commercial aerospace demand has provided additional support, though the stock has traded within a relatively narrow range amid sector-wide considerations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LMT maintains a more concentrated focus on prime defense contracts and large-scale platforms, while RTX benefits from diversified revenue streams across commercial aerospace and multiple defense segments. Growth drivers for LMT center on missile defense and international fighter programs, whereas RTX emphasizes production scaling for air-to-air missiles and aftermarket services. Recent momentum has been comparable, with both equities showing limited outperformance relative to the S&P 500 amid contract flow and upcoming earnings. Risk factors include execution on large programs for LMT and supply-chain or margin pressures for RTX. Sector exposure remains similar, though RTX offers greater commercial cyclical sensitivity. Market sentiment reflects steady institutional interest in both names, tempered by broader valuation considerations in the defense group.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as contract backlog consistency, production catalysts, and relative price stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to RTX at present. The company’s diversified end markets and near-term earnings visibility provide a slight edge in trend consistency compared with LMT’s more concentrated program dependencies. This assessment remains subject to post-earnings developments and broader market shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LMT is a Buy and RTX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LMT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRTX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LMT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +10.72% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +7.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
LMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-0.18% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| LMT | RTX | LMT / RTX | |
| Capitalization | 131B | 282B | 46% |
| EBITDA | 8.47B | 15.4B | 55% |
| Gain YTD | 18.951 | 14.901 | 127% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.97 | 36.82 | 57% |
| Revenue | 75.1B | 90.4B | 83% |
| Total Cash | 1.89B | 6.82B | 28% |
| Total Debt | 20.7B | 38.9B | 53% |
LMT | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 26 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 40 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (56) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (39) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (17) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (26) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (51) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| LMT | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 28% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 51% | 8 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 58% |
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RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.