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LMT vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different business models: LMT is a pure-play defense contractor, while RTX blends defense with a large commercial aerospace franchise.
- Scale gap: RTX carries a substantially larger market capitalization and revenue base, while LMT offers a higher dividend yield and a lower valuation multiple.
- Backlog strength: Both companies reported record backlogs in recent quarters, but RTX's backlog is larger, reflecting its diversified order mix.
- Growth profile: RTX has posted stronger top-line growth recently, driven by a commercial aerospace recovery; LMT's growth leans on defense program ramps and international demand.
- Risk mix: LMT is more exposed to U.S. defense budget and program-specific (F-35) risk, whereas RTX carries commercial aerospace cycle and engine-related risk.
Introduction
Lockheed Martin and RTX Corporation are two of the largest names in the aerospace and defense industry, yet their market positioning differs meaningfully. Lockheed Martin is widely recognized as the world's largest pure-play defense prime contractor, anchored by platforms such as the F-35 fighter jet. RTX, formed from the merger of Raytheon and United Technologies, operates three businesses — Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon — giving it roughly balanced exposure to commercial and military customers. This stock comparison is relevant to investors weighing concentrated defense exposure against a more diversified aerospace-and-defense model, and to traders monitoring relative performance and momentum between two sector leaders.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT) generates the large majority of its revenue from U.S. government defense programs, with Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space as its four operating segments. In its most recent quarterly report, the company posted sales growth in the high single digits year over year and earnings per share (EPS, net profit divided by shares outstanding) that modestly exceeded the prior-year period. A key highlight was a record backlog of roughly $179 billion, supported by multi-year awards in missiles, helicopters, and fighter aircraft.
Recent market activity has reflected both strengths and concerns. Demand signals remain robust, and management has pointed to initiatives such as homeland missile defense and expanding international orders as growth drivers. At the same time, investors have weighed risks tied to fixed-price development programs, supply chain constraints in areas such as solid rocket motors, and the company's concentrated exposure to the F-35 platform, which represents a meaningful share of revenue. Lockheed has also emphasized shareholder returns, recently raising its dividend for a 23rd consecutive year.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX) operates across three segments: Collins Aerospace (avionics and aerostructures), Pratt & Whitney (aircraft engines), and Raytheon (missiles and defense systems). This structure gives RTX significant exposure to commercial air travel in addition to defense programs. In its latest quarterly results, RTX reported double-digit year-over-year sales growth and an even larger increase in adjusted EPS, with strength across commercial aftermarket (parts and repair services), commercial original equipment, and defense.
Recent weeks have highlighted continued momentum, including a backlog that has grown to more than $250 billion and a book-to-bill ratio (orders received versus revenue recognized) above 1.6, indicating strong demand. Management has raised its full-year outlook for sales and EPS, citing robust execution across all three segments. Balanced against this is Pratt & Whitney's exposure to the geared turbofan (GTF) engine platform, where prior durability-related issues and associated costs remain a watch item, as well as sensitivity to commercial aviation cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is diversification. LMT is a concentrated defense franchise, with the F-35 and related programs central to its revenue, while RTX spreads its business across commercial aviation and defense. This shapes both growth and risk: RTX benefits from the commercial aerospace recovery but is exposed to airline demand and engine-related liabilities, whereas LMT's fortunes are tied more directly to U.S. and allied defense budgets and specific program execution.
On valuation and income, LMT has historically traded at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple and offered a higher dividend yield than RTX. RTX, in turn, has commanded a premium multiple reflecting its larger revenue base, faster recent growth, and diversified backlog. In terms of relative performance, RTX has been a notable momentum leader in recent quarters, while LMT has shown more moderate price movement. Risk profiles also differ: LMT carries concentration risk in a single large platform and U.S. government spending, while RTX faces commercial cycle exposure and engine recall costs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward RTX for its stronger trend consistency, broader revenue diversification, faster recent sales and earnings growth, and a larger and still-expanding backlog. These attributes align with what automated trend-following models typically favor. That said, LMT's lower valuation, higher dividend yield, and record backlog suggest it may hold appeal for stability-oriented and income-focused strategies. A model verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: the AI's preference could shift as momentum, valuations, and program-specific developments evolve, underscoring why continuous monitoring of both tickers remains valuable.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LMT is a Hold and RTX is a StrongBuy.
LMT in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
The 10-day moving average for LMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LMT as a result. In 39 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LMT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where LMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
LMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 193 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for LMT moved out of overbought territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 36%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 62 cases where LMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
LMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LMT entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LMT's P/B Ratio (15.663) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.045). P/E Ratio (21.852) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.993). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.978) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
RTX in +2.01% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 03, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where RTX advanced for three days, in 226 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RTX as a result. In 49 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RTX just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where RTX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
RTX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RTX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RTX moved out of overbought territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 57 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 42%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for RTX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RTX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
RTX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for RTX entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RTX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.029) is normal, around the industry mean (5.045). P/E Ratio (34.510) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.993). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.176) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.868) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
LMT | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (74) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (76) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (64) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (44) in the null industry. This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as LMT (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| LMT | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 36% | 1 day ago 42% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 30 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 32% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LMT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while RTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LMT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -5.51% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -3.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
LMT is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-3.99% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been closely correlated with NOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then NOC could also see price increases.