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SHEL vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SHEL and SU are both integrated energy companies exposed to oil and gas prices, but SU has delivered stronger year-to-date and one-year returns amid robust Canadian oil sands operations.
- Recent market activity shows SHEL trading near its 52-week high following a solid second-quarter earnings beat driven by higher crude prices and refinery utilization.
- SU is positioned for significant earnings growth, with analysts forecasting a substantial year-over-year EPS increase ahead of its upcoming quarterly report.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated energy prices but differ in scale, geographic focus, and dividend profiles, creating distinct risk-return trade-offs.
- Relative performance over the past year favors SU, while SHEL offers broader international diversification and a larger market capitalization.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector, supported by stable demand and limited new supply additions.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) represent two prominent players in the integrated oil and gas sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current energy market environment. Institutional investors, sector-focused traders, and those seeking exposure to commodity cycles may find the analysis useful for evaluating diversification opportunities and momentum differences between a global major and a Canadian-focused producer.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc is a global integrated energy company engaged in upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, marketing, and chemicals. In recent weeks, SHEL shares have advanced alongside broader energy sector strength, closing near $91.98 and approaching the 52-week high of $94.90. Performance has been supported by second-quarter results that exceeded expectations due to elevated crude oil prices and record refinery utilization rates. Year-to-date returns stand around 25%, with one-year gains near 28%. The stock has shown resilience amid fluctuating commodity prices, reflecting its diversified operations and consistent dividend payouts.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. is a Canadian integrated energy firm focused on oil sands production, refining, and marketing primarily in North America. SU has exhibited stronger momentum in recent market activity, with the U.S.-listed shares around $67.28 and year-to-date returns exceeding 50%. One-year performance has surpassed 70%, outpacing many sector peers. The company benefits from high utilization in its oil sands assets and is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results shortly, with analysts projecting a sharp year-over-year EPS increase. The stock has traded near the upper end of its recent range, supported by favorable crude pricing dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
SHEL operates at a significantly larger scale with global upstream and downstream exposure, providing greater geographic diversification than SU, which concentrates on Canadian oil sands. Growth drivers for SHEL include refining margins and international production, while SU benefits from cost-efficient oil sands output and domestic refining integration. Recent momentum has favored SU on a relative basis, though SHEL offers more stability through its broader asset base. Risk factors include regulatory and environmental pressures for both, with SU additionally exposed to Canadian-specific fiscal and permitting considerations. Market sentiment remains positive for energy equities overall, yet SU carries higher beta to oil prices given its upstream tilt.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, recent relative performance, and upcoming earnings catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probability of favorable near-term positioning to SU. Stronger year-to-date returns, projected EPS growth, and sector tailwinds contribute to this assessment, though outcomes remain subject to commodity volatility and execution risks. SHEL retains appeal for investors prioritizing scale and diversification. This evaluation reflects data-driven pattern recognition rather than deterministic forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a Hold and SU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +3.16% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +2.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+2.14% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| SHEL | SU | SHEL / SU | |
| Capitalization | 257B | 80B | 321% |
| EBITDA | 67.9B | 16.2B | 419% |
| Gain YTD | 30.497 | 54.238 | 56% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.32 | 12.62 | 82% |
| Revenue | 297B | 54.5B | 545% |
| Total Cash | 14.3B | 3.27B | 437% |
| Total Debt | 73.1B | 14.8B | 494% |
SHEL | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 40 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (33) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (44) in the null industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the null industry is in the same range as SU (10) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as SU (60) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (44) in the null industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (87) in the null industry. This means that SU’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 45% | 17 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 71% |
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SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.