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SHEL vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SU has significantly outperformed SHEL year-to-date (YTD), with a return of approximately 53% compared to SHEL's 22%.
- SHEL boasts a larger market capitalization of around $248 billion and a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.83, indicating potential value.
- Both stocks offer dividends, with SHEL providing a higher yield of 3.34% versus SU's 2.58%.
- SU has shown stronger recent momentum, gaining over 49% in the past six months amid operational improvements.
- SHEL's global diversification contrasts with SU's focus on Canadian oil sands, affecting their risk profiles and sector exposures.
- Recent market activity highlights energy sector tailwinds, but SU's relative performance stands out in recent weeks.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) are prominent players in the integrated oil and gas sector, offering investors exposure to upstream production, refining, and marketing amid fluctuating energy prices. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent stock behaviors, and market positioning, aiding energy sector traders seeking relative performance insights or long-term holders evaluating dividend stability and growth potential. With oil markets influenced by geopolitical tensions and supply dynamics in recent weeks, understanding these contrasts helps navigate current volatility.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL) is a global integrated energy major with operations spanning exploration, production, refining, and renewables. Trading around $89 per share recently, it has delivered a YTD gain of 21.65%, outperforming its FTSE 100 benchmark. In recent market activity, the stock experienced some downward pressure amid broader sector rotations, with sessions showing declines despite occasional outperformance. Sentiment has been shaped by strategic moves like a potential $1.5 billion annual free cash flow deal with ARC Resources, expectations of over $20 billion in buybacks, and focus on LNG amid energy transitions. These developments, alongside stable dividends, have supported resilience, though oil price weakness occasionally weighed on performance.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is a Canadian integrated energy company heavily focused on oil sands production, refining, and marketing. Recently trading near $68 per share, it has posted a robust YTD return of 52.97%, far exceeding the S&P/TSX Composite benchmark. Over recent weeks, SU has demonstrated strong momentum, with gains noted in the past 30 days around 14% and 49% over six months, driven by solid Q4 earnings beats and upward price target revisions to $62. Positive sentiment stems from operational efficiencies, higher oil prices, and bullish analyst views, though exposure to Canadian regulations adds variability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Shell plc (SHEL) operates a diversified global business model with balanced upstream and downstream exposure, contrasting Suncor Energy Inc.'s (SU) concentration in Canadian oil sands upstream assets. Growth drivers for SHEL include LNG expansion and buybacks, while SU benefits from production ramps and refining margins. Recent momentum favors SU, with superior YTD and quarterly gains amid energy demand. Risk factors differ: SHEL's scale offers stability but transition pressures, whereas SU faces commodity volatility and regional policy risks. Sector exposure aligns in integrated oils, yet SHEL's international footprint hedges better against local downturns. Market sentiment leans toward SU's outperformance, though SHEL's lower P/E and higher yield appeal to value-oriented investors.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors SU over SHEL due to stronger trend consistency, superior YTD returns, and recent momentum in a favorable oil environment. SU's relative positioning and catalysts like earnings beats suggest higher probability of near-term upside, though SHEL's stability remains attractive for conservative strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a StrongBuy and SU is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +5.74% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was +5.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +6.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +22.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+6.45% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| SHEL | SU | SHEL / SU | |
| Capitalization | 213B | 66.9B | 318% |
| EBITDA | 57.7B | 16.2B | 356% |
| Gain YTD | 13.645 | 27.728 | 49% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.41 | 15.14 | 82% |
| Revenue | 267B | 54.5B | 490% |
| Total Cash | 23.1B | 3.27B | 706% |
| Total Debt | 75.6B | 14.8B | 511% |
SHEL | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (29) in the null industry is in the same range as SU (30) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the null industry is in the same range as SU (24) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (61) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (70) in the null industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (60) in the null industry. This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (74) in the null industry. This means that SU’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 16 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 46% | 8 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 41% |
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +4.93% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 77% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| E - SHEL | 73% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +2.95% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | +5.77% | ||
| SU - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | +3.19% | ||
More | ||||
SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.