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CVX vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chevron Corporation (CVX) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Chevron (CVX) has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) returns of approximately 24% compared to Shell's (SHEL) 19%, amid elevated oil prices.
- Both stocks benefit from geopolitical tensions driving crude oil above $100 per barrel, but CVX shows greater stability with a beta of 0.59 versus SHEL's -0.21.
- SHEL trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.5 versus CVX's 28.3, offering relative value, while CVX provides a higher dividend yield of 3.85%.
- Shell's recent $13-16 billion acquisition of ARC Resources bolsters its liquefied natural gas (LNG) portfolio amid rising global demand forecasts.
- Market caps stand at $374 billion for CVX and $243 billion for SHEL, reflecting Chevron's larger scale.
Introduction
Chevron Corporation (CVX) and Shell plc (SHEL) are integrated energy giants navigating a volatile oil market shaped by geopolitical tensions and shifting demand dynamics. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to help traders and long-term investors assess relative strengths in the current environment. With crude oil prices elevated due to Middle East conflicts, both companies have seen gains, but differences in upstream focus, LNG exposure, and valuation metrics offer distinct trade-offs for portfolios seeking energy sector exposure.
CVX Overview and Recent Performance
Chevron Corporation (CVX) is a leading integrated energy firm with significant upstream production in U.S. shale plays like the Permian Basin, complemented by refining and marketing operations. In recent market activity, CVX shares have traded around $188, within a 52-week range of $134 to $215, supported by higher oil prices from Iran-related disruptions. Year-to-date gains exceed 24%, outperforming broader indices amid a rally in energy stocks. Sentiment has been bolstered by Warren Buffett's ongoing stake via Berkshire Hathaway and analyst upgrades, such as BNP Paribas to Outperform, citing production resilience. However, volatility persists with oil price swings tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, influencing short-term momentum.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL) operates globally with a balanced portfolio spanning oil, natural gas, and LNG, positioning it for energy transition trends. Shares recently closed near $87, ranging from $64 to $95 over 52 weeks, with YTD returns around 19% driven by strong oil trading and LNG demand. A major catalyst in recent weeks has been the $13-16 billion acquisition of ARC Resources, enhancing its Canadian Montney gas assets and LNG growth prospects amid forecasts of 54%+ global LNG demand rise by 2040. Elevated crude prices from Middle East events have supported performance, though shares dipped on broader market rotations. Analyst targets average $99, reflecting optimism on diversified revenue streams.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Chevron (CVX) emphasizes U.S.-centric upstream production, providing scale advantages in shale but higher exposure to domestic policy risks, while Shell (SHEL) offers broader global diversification, particularly in LNG for long-term growth amid energy transitions. Recent momentum favors CVX with superior YTD returns and dividend appeal, versus SHEL's value-oriented lower P/E. Risk profiles differ: CVX's lower beta signals stability, but both face oil price volatility from geopolitics. Sector exposure aligns in integrated oil & gas, yet SHEL's acquisitions signal proactive expansion. Market sentiment leans positive for both, with CVX buoyed by institutional ownership and SHEL by LNG tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward CVX based on stronger trend consistency, relative YTD outperformance, and resilient positioning amid high oil prices and U.S. production strengths. While SHEL presents compelling value and LNG catalysts, CVX's stability edges it probabilistically in the near term for momentum-focused strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVX is a Hold and SHEL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVX’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVX (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.44% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was -6.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -7.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVX is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-7.95% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVX | SHEL | CVX / SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 346B | 218B | 159% |
| EBITDA | 41.6B | 57.7B | 72% |
| Gain YTD | 18.732 | 11.414 | 164% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.25 | 12.28 | 246% |
| Revenue | 186B | 267B | 70% |
| Total Cash | 5.33B | 23.1B | 23% |
| Total Debt | 45.4B | 75.6B | 60% |
CVX | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 32 Undervalued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (29) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (32) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (19) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (70) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (82) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (59) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (77) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| CVX | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 59% | 18 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 25% | 2 days ago 28% |
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CVX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVX has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVX jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | 100% | -1.40% | ||
| XOM - CVX | 82% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| CRGY - CVX | 72% Closely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| BP - CVX | 66% Closely correlated | -2.45% | ||
| EQNR - CVX | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| SHEL - CVX | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.27% | ||
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | -2.27% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 76% Closely correlated | -2.45% | ||
| E - SHEL | 73% Closely correlated | -2.26% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
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