Advertisement
CVX vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chevron (CVX) vs. Shell (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Chevron (CVX) has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at approximately 30%, compared to Shell (SHEL) at around 22%.
- Both companies are integrated energy majors with upstream production, refining, and chemicals operations, though Shell maintains a larger natural gas and LNG footprint.
- Recent market activity shows Chevron benefiting from analyst upgrades and upcoming earnings catalysts, while Shell continues share repurchases amid steady production outlooks.
- Oil price volatility tied to geopolitical developments has influenced sentiment for both stocks in recent weeks.
- Valuation metrics and dividend yields remain competitive, with CVX trading near $195 and SHEL near $88 as of late July 2026.
- Relative momentum favors CVX in the current environment, though both exhibit similar volatility profiles.
Introduction
Chevron Corporation (CVX) and Shell plc (SHEL) represent two of the largest integrated oil and gas companies globally. Investors and traders often compare these stocks to assess relative value within the energy sector, particularly during periods of fluctuating commodity prices and shifting demand outlooks. This analysis appeals to portfolio managers seeking exposure to traditional energy alongside transition initiatives, as well as active traders monitoring sector rotation and earnings momentum.
CVX Overview and Recent Performance
Chevron operates as a major integrated energy company with significant upstream assets in the United States and internationally, alongside downstream refining and chemicals businesses. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near the upper end of its 52-week range, closing around $194.79 on July 24, 2026, after gaining modestly. Year-to-date returns stand at approximately 30.24%. Analyst activity has included several upward price target revisions and a mix of buy and overweight ratings ahead of the company’s second-quarter earnings report scheduled for July 31. Geopolitical factors, including tensions in the Middle East, have contributed to broader oil stock movements, supporting sentiment around production growth and cash return programs.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc functions as a global integrated energy major with a substantial presence in natural gas, LNG, and downstream operations across multiple continents. The stock has recorded year-to-date gains of roughly 21.9% to 22.5%, closing near $88.38 on July 24, 2026. Recent activity includes ongoing share buyback programs, with multiple repurchases announced in July. The company raised certain production outlooks for the second quarter and is scheduled to report earnings on July 30. Market sentiment has reflected steady operational execution amid commodity price fluctuations, with analysts maintaining a generally positive consensus rating.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a curated Trending AI Robots section that highlights only the highest-performing AI trading bots suited to prevailing market conditions. While the platform offers hundreds of AI trading bots capable of trading thousands of different tickers, the trending section features those demonstrating superior backtested or live statistics across various strategies, timeframes, and performance metrics. Available bots span a wide range of styles, including trend-following, mean-reversion, and momentum approaches, with differing win rates, drawdowns, and ticker universes. This selection process helps users identify tools aligned with current volatility and sector dynamics. Explore the full list to evaluate options that may complement individual trading objectives.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Chevron and Shell share similar integrated business models encompassing exploration, production, refining, and marketing, yet differ in geographic emphasis and portfolio mix. Chevron derives a larger proportion of output from U.S. shale and Permian assets, while Shell maintains broader international exposure and a more pronounced LNG and trading business. Recent momentum has favored CVX, evidenced by stronger year-to-date returns and more frequent analyst upgrades. Risk factors for both include oil price sensitivity and regulatory pressures on emissions; Shell’s European base introduces additional considerations around energy transition policies. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector overall, with CVX showing relatively tighter positioning near recent highs compared with SHEL’s steadier buyback-supported profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger recent price momentum, consistent analyst support, and upcoming earnings visibility, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of outperformance to Chevron (CVX) over Shell (SHEL) in the near term. This assessment reflects relative trend stability and catalyst positioning rather than absolute forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVX is a StrongBuy and SHEL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVX (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +1.05% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was +4.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +2.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVX is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+2.41% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVX | SHEL | CVX / SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 392B | 252B | 156% |
| EBITDA | 41.6B | 67.9B | 61% |
| Gain YTD | 31.603 | 27.492 | 115% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.94 | 10.17 | 186% |
| Revenue | 186B | 297B | 63% |
| Total Cash | 5.33B | 31.4B | 17% |
| Total Debt | 45.4B | 73.1B | 62% |
CVX | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 49 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (31) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (48) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (15) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (59) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (82) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (40) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's P/E Growth Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (87) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| CVX | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 41% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 60% |
Advertisement
CVX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVX has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVX jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | 100% | +2.35% | ||
| XOM - CVX | 82% Closely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| CRGY - CVX | 72% Closely correlated | +2.69% | ||
| EQNR - CVX | 67% Closely correlated | +0.91% | ||
| BP - CVX | 66% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| SHEL - CVX | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
More | ||||
SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +1.62% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 79% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| E - SHEL | 73% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +2.69% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | +0.91% | ||
| SU - SHEL | 67% Closely correlated | +0.82% | ||
More | ||||