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CVX vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chevron (CVX) vs. Shell (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Chevron (CVX) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns than Shell (SHEL) amid U.S. production gains and strategic partnerships.
- Both companies reported solid first-quarter 2026 earnings, with Shell posting higher adjusted profits and Chevron emphasizing operational growth.
- Recent market activity shows energy sector volatility influenced by commodity prices and geopolitical factors affecting both stocks.
- Chevron trades at a premium valuation while Shell offers a lower price-to-earnings ratio, presenting differing value propositions.
- Relative momentum favors Chevron in the near term based on trend consistency and domestic asset performance.
- Sector exposure remains similar, centered on integrated oil and gas operations with varying emphasis on LNG and upstream development.
Introduction
Chevron Corporation (CVX) and Shell plc (SHEL) represent two leading integrated energy companies whose stocks often attract attention from investors seeking exposure to oil and gas markets. This comparison examines their recent performance, business profiles, and relative positioning in the current environment. Institutional and retail traders monitoring energy sector dynamics, dividend yields, and production trends may find the analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions. The review draws on observable market data and company disclosures to highlight contrasts in momentum, valuation, and catalysts without forward-looking speculation.
Chevron (CVX) Overview and Recent Performance
Chevron operates as a major integrated energy company with significant upstream production, downstream refining, and chemicals operations. In recent weeks, the stock has exhibited resilience supported by increased U.S. production volumes and a notable long-term power supply agreement with a major technology firm. First-quarter 2026 results showed reported earnings of $2.2 billion alongside adjusted earnings of $2.8 billion, reflecting production growth of 15% worldwide and 24% in the U.S. Market activity indicates the shares have traded within a broader 52-week range while maintaining YTD gains exceeding those of broader indices. Sentiment has been shaped by operational execution and cash returns to shareholders exceeding $6 billion in the quarter.
Shell (SHEL) Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc functions as a global integrated energy major with strengths in upstream exploration, LNG trading, and downstream marketing. Recent performance reflects strong first-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $6.9 billion and robust cash flow from operations. The company announced a dividend increase and continued share buybacks while updating second-quarter volume guidance amid regional supply considerations. In recent market activity, the stock has posted YTD returns competitive with peers, supported by LNG market dynamics and portfolio optimization. Performance has been influenced by earnings delivery and capital allocation initiatives, with the shares fluctuating in line with broader energy sector movements.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Chevron and Shell share integrated business models spanning exploration, production, refining, and marketing, yet differ in geographic emphasis and growth drivers. Chevron benefits from substantial U.S. shale and Gulf of Mexico exposure plus recent asset integration, while Shell maintains a broader international footprint with notable LNG capabilities. Recent momentum has favored Chevron through production increases and strategic non-oil diversification, contrasting with Shell’s emphasis on earnings scale and shareholder distributions. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity for both, with Chevron showing lower leverage metrics and Shell offering a comparatively lower price-to-earnings ratio. Market sentiment reflects sector-wide influences, with each stock exhibiting distinct volatility patterns tied to operational updates and regional developments.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, relative year-to-date outperformance, and positioning amid production strengths, Tickeron’s AI currently assigns a probabilistic preference to Chevron (CVX) over Shell (SHEL) for momentum-oriented considerations. Shell presents value characteristics and LNG-related catalysts that may support alternative strategies. The assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing data rather than guarantees of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVX is a StrongBuy and SHEL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSHEL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CVX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CVX (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +8.39% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was +7.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +11.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVX is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+11.66% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CVX | SHEL | CVX / SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 363B | 222B | 164% |
| EBITDA | 41.6B | 57.7B | 72% |
| Gain YTD | 21.821 | 16.403 | 133% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.74 | 13.08 | 243% |
| Revenue | 186B | 267B | 70% |
| Total Cash | 5.33B | 23.1B | 23% |
| Total Debt | 45.4B | 75.6B | 60% |
CVX | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 38 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 74 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (33) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (38) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (23) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (70) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (82) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Price Growth Rating (54) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (56) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (74) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| CVX | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 37% | 4 days ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 42% | 18 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 25% | 4 days ago 41% |
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CVX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVX has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVX jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | 100% | +3.29% | ||
| XOM - CVX | 82% Closely correlated | +4.05% | ||
| CRGY - CVX | 72% Closely correlated | +5.49% | ||
| BP - CVX | 66% Closely correlated | +4.16% | ||
| EQNR - CVX | 66% Closely correlated | +6.31% | ||
| SHEL - CVX | 63% Loosely correlated | +2.13% | ||
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