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CVX vs SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chevron Corporation (CVX) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CVX has risen toward 52-week highs on stronger production and higher crude prices, while SHEL has traded near record levels supported by record refining margins and LNG (liquefied natural gas) exposure.
- Chevron's growth leans on its Hess acquisition, Permian Basin efficiency, and Guyana output, whereas Shell's edge rests on its global trading and optimization platform and downstream flexibility.
- Both integrated majors benefit from elevated Brent and WTI prices, but their business mix and geographic exposure create different risk and return profiles.
- Shell trades at a valuation discount to Chevron on a forward price-to-sales basis, a contrast worth weighing against Chevron's stronger projected earnings growth.
- Momentum has favored both stocks in recent weeks, though catalysts differ: refining spreads for Shell and upstream expansion for Chevron.
- For additional context on each ticker, explore the CVX Major News and CVX Today's Price Move pages, along with SHEL Major News and SHEL Today's Price Move.
- To see how algorithmic strategies are positioned across these and other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Chevron Corporation (CVX) and Shell plc (SHEL) are two of the world's largest integrated oil and gas companies, spanning upstream production, refining, chemicals, and trading. Comparing them offers a useful lens on how different business models perform under the same commodity price backdrop. This stock comparison is relevant for investors and traders weighing upstream-heavy growth against diversified, trading-led cash generation, and for those monitoring how geopolitical supply risk translates into energy-sector performance.
CVX Overview and Recent Performance
Chevron Corporation is a U.S.-headquartered integrated energy company with substantial upstream and downstream operations across several continents. Recent market activity has lifted CVX toward 52-week highs, supported by rising crude benchmarks and firm demand. Its enlarged upstream portfolio, following the Hess acquisition, has driven a meaningful increase in worldwide production, while cost discipline and Permian Basin efficiency remain central themes. The company has also signaled long-term ambitions in Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale and in Guyana, alongside portfolio reshaping in the Gulf of Mexico and plans to raise exploration spending. A 20-year agreement to supply power to a major data-center operator highlights efforts to monetize natural gas demand beyond traditional fuels. Solid free cash flow and a reliable dividend have underpinned investor sentiment, though execution and commodity-price sensitivity remain key watchpoints.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc is Europe's largest oil company and one of the most diversified integrated majors, with strengths in LNG, refining, chemicals, marketing, and a large trading and optimization business. In recent weeks, SHEL has traded near record levels after flagging a record third-quarter refining margin, reflecting tight fuel supplies tied to geopolitical disruption. The completed acquisition of ARC Resources has expanded its low-cost Canadian gas and liquids base and lifted its integrated gas production outlook. Shell's trading platform has repeatedly acted as a competitive advantage, capturing value during volatile markets. Its capital-allocation framework, combining buybacks and a raised dividend, reinforces shareholder returns, while net debt levels have moderated following strong cash generation. Risks include commodity-price reversals and the sensitivity of refining and LNG earnings to global supply conditions.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of algorithmic trading strategies drawn from a much larger universe. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and set of covered securities. Rather than listing every available bot, the Trending section highlights only those considered best suited to current market conditions, helping users filter a broad field down to the most relevant strategies. Because the bots vary widely in approach and statistics, reviewing the page can provide a useful snapshot of how automated systems are positioned across markets. Explore Trending AI Robots to see which strategies are currently gaining attention.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies are integrated majors, their profiles diverge in meaningful ways. Chevron's growth narrative is anchored in upstream expansion and capital efficiency, with a leaner trading function and a strong focus on U.S. shale, Guyana, and emerging basins. Shell, by contrast, derives a larger share of its earnings resilience from trading and optimization, refining, chemicals, and a deep LNG franchise, which can smooth results when upstream prices fluctuate. On relative performance, both stocks have advanced recently, but their drivers differ: Chevron has benefited from production growth and cost savings, while Shell has been lifted by refining spreads and integrated gas strength. Valuation also separates them, with Shell trading at a discount to Chevron on forward sales. Sector exposure is broadly similar, yet Chevron carries more concentrated U.S.-centric execution risk, while Shell faces broader downstream and international market sensitivity. Market sentiment toward both remains constructive but is tightly linked to crude-price direction.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely view both names favorably in the current energy environment, though its lean may tilt toward SHEL. Shell's diversified earnings mix, record refining margins, rising integrated gas outlook, and valuation discount provide a potentially steadier catalyst set, while its trading platform adds resilience in volatile conditions. Chevron's stronger projected earnings growth and upstream momentum remain compelling, but they are more concentrated and commodity-sensitive. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and reflects current data rather than a forecast of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVX is a Hold and SHEL is a StrongBuy.
CVX's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CVX moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 25 of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 58%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVX as a result. In 37 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVX turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
CVX moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in 229 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
CVX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 341 cases where CVX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.196) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). CVX has a moderately high P/E Ratio (20.404) as compared to the industry average of (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.903) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.004) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
SHEL's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +3.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHEL advanced for three days, in 196 of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
SHEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 223 of 349 cases where SHEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHEL moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 44%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHEL as a result. In 42 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHEL turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
SHEL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.563) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). P/E Ratio (10.841) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.632) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.929) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
CVX | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 80 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 30 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (63) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (78) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (9) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as CVX (63) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to CVX’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (44) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
CVX's P/E Growth Rating (54) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (80) in the null industry. This means that CVX’s stock grew similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| CVX | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 61% | 13 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SHEL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CVX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHEL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CVX (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.24% price change this week, while SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price change was -6.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVX is expected to report earnings on Jan 22, 2027.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-4.64% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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CVX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVX has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVX jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | 100% | +0.21% | ||
| XOM - CVX | 86% Closely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| BP - CVX | 74% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| EQNR - CVX | 73% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| CRGY - CVX | 72% Closely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| SHEL - CVX | 69% Closely correlated | -1.63% | ||
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | -1.63% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 82% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| E - SHEL | 76% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| TTE - SHEL | 74% Closely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
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