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SHOE vs URBN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shoe Carnival (SCVL) vs. Urban Outfitters (URBN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both SCVL and URBN operate in the consumer discretionary retail sector with exposure to apparel and footwear trends.
- SCVL trades near $15.50 with a market capitalization under $450 million, while URBN trades near $70 with a substantially larger market capitalization.
- Recent market activity shows SCVL preparing for first-quarter 2026 results on May 21, 2026, amid ongoing inventory adjustments and rebranding efforts.
- URBN has reported recent operational initiatives, including a nationwide partnership with DoorDash, alongside steady price performance in the past month.
- Year-to-date returns for both stocks remain close to 7.5 percent, trailing the S&P 500 slightly as of mid-May 2026.
- Risk profiles differ, with SCVL exhibiting higher volatility tied to smaller capitalization and URBN benefiting from broader brand diversification.
Introduction
Shoe Carnival (SCVL) and Urban Outfitters (URBN) represent two distinct yet overlapping players in the retail apparel and footwear space. Investors and traders focused on consumer discretionary stocks often examine such pairings to assess relative momentum, valuation differences, and sector-specific catalysts. This comparison highlights how these companies have navigated recent market conditions, offering insights for those evaluating short-term trading opportunities or longer-term positioning within retail equities. Data draws from verified financial reporting platforms to ensure factual accuracy on performance and developments.
SCVL Overview and Recent Performance
Shoe Carnival, Inc. operates as an omnichannel retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, with approximately 426 stores across 35 states and Puerto Rico. The company has focused on inventory reduction and strategic rebranding initiatives in recent weeks. Stock price action in the past month has remained range-bound near $15.50, reflecting investor caution ahead of the May 21, 2026, first-quarter earnings release. Sentiment has been influenced by earlier 2026 guidance that emphasized earnings per share targets between $1.40 and $1.60 while prioritizing inventory management over aggressive store expansions. Year-to-date total return stands at approximately 7.36 percent, modestly below the broader market benchmark.
URBN Overview and Recent Performance
Urban Outfitters, Inc. manages a portfolio of lifestyle brands including Urban Outfitters, Anthropologie, and Free People, serving a broad customer base through retail stores and digital channels. Recent market activity includes the announcement of a nationwide DoorDash partnership that expands delivery options. The stock has traded near $70 with modest gains in recent weeks, supported by positive analyst commentary on operational execution. Year-to-date total return approximates 7.51 percent, aligning closely with SCVL while showing slightly stronger relative stability. Upcoming first-quarter results are anticipated in late May 2026, continuing the company’s pattern of reporting sales and earnings growth in prior periods.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Shoe Carnival focuses primarily on value-oriented family footwear through a concentrated store footprint, whereas Urban Outfitters pursues diversified lifestyle apparel across multiple brands and channels. Growth drivers for SCVL center on inventory optimization and selective rebranding, while URBN benefits from broader product assortment and third-party delivery partnerships. Recent momentum favors URBN with steadier price action near $70 compared with SCVL’s more compressed trading range around $15.50. Risk factors include SCVL’s smaller market capitalization and higher sensitivity to earnings surprises, versus URBN’s exposure to fashion trend shifts despite its scale advantage. Market sentiment remains neutral for both, with comparable year-to-date performance yet divergent catalysts ahead of their respective quarterly reports.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI systems currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to URBN due to its recent operational catalysts and broader diversification. SCVL retains appeal for value-oriented approaches given its lower absolute price and upcoming earnings visibility, though with potentially greater short-term volatility. These assessments reflect current data patterns rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHOE is a Hold and URBN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHOE’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileURBN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- SHOE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- URBN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHOE’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while URBN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHOE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- URBN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
SHOE (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -8.55% price change this week, while URBN (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -1.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -1.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHOE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
URBN is expected to report earnings on Aug 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-1.19% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| SHOE | URBN | SHOE / URBN | |
| Capitalization | 433M | 6.54B | 7% |
| EBITDA | N/A | 730M | - |
| Gain YTD | -5.569 | 1.541 | -361% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.78 | 14.69 | 80% |
| Revenue | N/A | 6.17B | - |
| Total Cash | N/A | 696M | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 1.23B | - |
SHOE | URBN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 50 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHOE's Valuation (5) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for URBN (84). This means that SHOE’s stock grew significantly faster than URBN’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for SHOE (100). This means that URBN’s stock grew significantly faster than SHOE’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's SMR Rating (50) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHOE (84). This means that URBN’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHOE’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as SHOE (61). This means that URBN’s stock grew similarly to SHOE’s over the last 12 months.
SHOE's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as URBN (50). This means that SHOE’s stock grew similarly to URBN’s over the last 12 months.
| SHOE | URBN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 5 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 75% | 14 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 6 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 77% | 5 days ago 76% |
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|---|---|---|---|
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SHOE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHOE has been loosely correlated with AEO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SHOE jumps, then AEO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHOE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOE | 100% | -0.44% | ||
| AEO - SHOE | 65% Loosely correlated | +4.15% | ||
| DBI - SHOE | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| CAL - SHOE | 61% Loosely correlated | +5.20% | ||
| BOOT - SHOE | 54% Loosely correlated | +5.13% | ||
| BKE - SHOE | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.26% | ||
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