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SKT vs SPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Tanger Inc. (SKT) vs. Simon Property Group (SPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Tanger Inc. (SKT) reported strong Q1 2026 results with core FFO (funds from operations, a key REIT profitability metric) up 11% year-over-year and 97% occupancy, alongside a 7% dividend increase.
- Simon Property Group (SPG), the largest retail REIT, maintains a vast portfolio of 229 properties and anticipates Q1 2026 earnings on May 11, with analysts expecting FFO growth.
- Both stocks show solid YTD gains around 10%, with SKT at ~10.8% and SPG at ~10.5%, outperforming broader benchmarks in recent market activity.
- SPG offers a higher dividend yield (~4.3%) and larger scale (market cap ~$66B vs. SKT's $4.2B), while SKT demonstrates nimble growth via outlet focus and re-leasing spreads over 26%.
- Recent momentum favors SKT with positive leasing and guidance raises, positioning it strongly in outlet retail amid consumer resilience.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines Tanger Inc. (SKT) and Simon Property Group (SPG), two prominent retail real estate investment trusts (REITs). Both operate in the recovering retail sector, focusing on open-air centers, outlets, and malls that benefit from experiential shopping trends. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye recent performance beats, while long-term investors could value dividend stability and portfolio scale. In the current market environment, marked by steady consumer spending and interest rate stability, this analysis highlights relative performance, growth drivers, and positioning to inform stock comparison decisions.
SKT Overview and Recent Performance
Tanger Inc. (SKT) owns and operates 38 outlet centers and three open-air lifestyle centers totaling over 16 million square feet across the U.S. and Canada, targeting tourist and vibrant markets. As a publicly traded REIT since 1993, it emphasizes brand-name tenants and innovative retail experiences. In recent market activity, SKT shares have gained around 3.8% over the past month and 10.8% YTD, with a one-year return of approximately 28%, closely tracking the S&P 500. Q1 2026 results showed core FFO of $0.59 per share, up 11% year-over-year, beating estimates, with revenue at $143.54 million and occupancy at 97%. The board approved a 7% dividend hike to $1.25 annualized, supported by strong leasing spreads exceeding 26% from re-tenanting underperformers. Guidance for 2026 core FFO was raised to $2.42-$2.50 per share, bolstering sentiment amid liquidity over $1 billion.
SPG Overview and Recent Performance
Simon Property Group (SPG) is a leading self-administered REIT owning interests in 229 premier shopping, dining, and mixed-use destinations spanning 183 million square feet in North America, Asia, and Europe. Its portfolio includes malls, premium outlets, and international assets. Recent weeks have seen SPG shares rise about 5% monthly and 10.5% YTD, with a one-year gain near 30%, aligning with market benchmarks. The company maintains high occupancy and leasing activity, with Q4 2025 FFO topping estimates and full-year results strong. A $2 billion share repurchase authorization underscores confidence. Analysts project Q1 2026 revenue growth of 6.4% to $1.57 billion and real estate FFO near $2.98 per share, with full-year guidance around $13 per share. Dividend remains robust at $8.80 annualized (~4.3% yield), driven by base rent increases and redevelopment pipelines.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both SKT and SPG thrive in retail REITs, but differ in scale and focus: SPG’s diversified global portfolio (malls, outlets) contrasts SKT’s niche outlet emphasis. Growth drivers include SKT’s re-tenanting (26% spreads) and acquisitions like Pinecrest, versus SPG’s redevelopment and international exposure. Recent momentum shows similar YTD gains (~10%), but SKT edges on earnings beats. Risk factors: SPG’s beta (~1.0) matches market volatility, while SKT (~1.1) is slightly higher; both face e-commerce but benefit from open-air durability. Sector exposure is pure retail, with SPG (~4.3% yield, $66B cap) favoring income investors and SKT (~3.4% yield, $4.2B cap) appealing for growth. Sentiment leans positive for both amid resilient occupancy (97%+).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors Tanger Inc. (SKT) over Simon Property Group (SPG) due to stronger recent trend consistency from Q1 beats, raised guidance, and dividend growth amid outlet sector stability. SKT’s leasing momentum and lower relative valuation position it probabilistically better for near-term outperformance, though SPG’s scale offers long-term catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SKT is a Buy and SPG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SKT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSPG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- SKT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SPG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SKT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SKT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SPG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SKT (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +9.09% price change this week, while SPG (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was +5.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +3.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
SKT is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
SPG is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+3.49% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| SKT | SPG | SKT / SPG | |
| Capitalization | 4.65B | 71B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 352M | 8.23B | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 23.383 | 21.008 | 111% |
| P/E Ratio | 38.17 | 15.23 | 251% |
| Revenue | 597M | 6.65B | 9% |
| Total Cash | 227M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.96B | 29B | 7% |
SKT | SPG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 88 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SKT's Valuation (89) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as SPG (96). This means that SKT’s stock grew similarly to SPG’s over the last 12 months.
SKT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as SPG (22). This means that SKT’s stock grew similarly to SPG’s over the last 12 months.
SPG's SMR Rating (11) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SKT (47). This means that SPG’s stock grew somewhat faster than SKT’s over the last 12 months.
SPG's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as SKT (42). This means that SPG’s stock grew similarly to SKT’s over the last 12 months.
SKT's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPG (88). This means that SKT’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPG’s over the last 12 months.
| SKT | SPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 57% | 14 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 50% |
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SKT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKT has been closely correlated with SPG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SKT jumps, then SPG could also see price increases.