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SMCI vs UWM
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SMCI is a Hold and UWM is a Buy.
SMCI's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for SMCI moved out of oversold territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 57 cases where SMCI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Following a +9.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMCI advanced for three days, in 278 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
SMCI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 200 of 248 cases where SMCI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMCI as a result. In 72 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMCI turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
SMCI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMCI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.206) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.717). P/E Ratio (9.433) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-2.817). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.520) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.658) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SMCI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMCI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
UWM's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for UWM moved out of oversold territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 26 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UWM as a result. In 85 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UWM just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where UWM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +2.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UWM advanced for three days, in 278 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
UWM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UWM entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 78 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| SMCI | UWM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 82% | 17 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 88% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SMCI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while .
- SMCI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SMCI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +2.11% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was -4.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -20.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
SMCI is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (-4.07% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
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SMCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMCI has been loosely correlated with DELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMCI jumps, then DELL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI | 100% | -3.85% | ||
| DELL - SMCI | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.70% | ||
| RGTI - SMCI | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.74% | ||
| UMAC - SMCI | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.93% | ||
| QBTS - SMCI | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.78% | ||
| SSYS - SMCI | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.68% | ||
More | ||||
UWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UWM has been loosely correlated with FIX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UWM jumps, then FIX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UWM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UWM | 100% | +1.75% | ||
| FIX - UWM | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.45% | ||
| ONTO - UWM | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.80% | ||
| SMCI - UWM | 30% Poorly correlated | -3.85% | ||
| ELF - UWM | 29% Poorly correlated | -2.13% | ||
| MSTR - UWM | 29% Poorly correlated | -2.44% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VIOO | 132.15 | 2.10 | +1.61% |
| Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF (VIOO) | |||
| PAPI | 28.26 | 0.34 | +1.22% |
| Parametric Equity Premium Income ETF (PAPI) | |||
| FFLS | 23.30 | 0.06 | +0.24% |
| Future Fund Long/Short ETF (FFLS) | |||
| EPIN | 27.96 | 0.02 | +0.06% |
| Harbor International Equity ETF | |||
| BKHY | 45.97 | 0.02 | +0.04% |
| BNY Mellon High Yield ETF (BKHY) | |||