SMH
Price
$504.27
Change
-$14.25 (-2.75%)
Updated
Nov 4 closing price
Net Assets
71.38B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SMHX
Price
$50.17
Change
-$1.63 (-3.15%)
Updated
Nov 4, 03:17 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
258.92M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SMH vs SMHX

SMH vs SMHX Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 03, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) vs. VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX)

Key Takeaways

  • SMH tracks a broad index of roughly 25 large-cap semiconductor companies spanning the entire value chain, including chip designers, foundries, memory makers, and equipment suppliers; SMHX is a narrower thematic fund limited to "fabless" (manufacturing-free) design, intellectual property, and electronic design automation companies.
  • Both funds carry an identical 0.35% expense ratio and are passively managed index trackers issued by VanEck, making cost a non-differentiator in this ETF comparison.
  • SMHX is significantly more concentrated, with Nvidia and Broadcom alone representing roughly one-third of the portfolio, and it carries a higher beta, translating to greater volatility and stronger sensitivity to market swings.
  • SMH offers materially deeper liquidity and diversification, including exposure to semiconductor equipment makers and foundries that SMHX entirely excludes.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: SMHX is currently favored for its concentrated positioning in AI-centric chip design leaders and stronger recent trend momentum, though it carries a higher risk profile than SMH.

Introduction

Semiconductor investing has become one of the most closely watched themes of the current market cycle, driven by artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending and persistent demand for advanced computing. Within this space, two VanEck funds invite direct comparison: the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX). While both provide sector exposure to the same industry, they are not identical. SMH represents a broad, established benchmark across the full semiconductor supply chain, whereas SMHX targets a narrower, higher-octane slice of chip designers that outsource manufacturing. Understanding the structural differences, relative positioning, and risk profiles of these two funds is essential before choosing between them.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

Launched in December 2011, SMH seeks to replicate the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, which tracks the most liquid, largest semiconductor companies listed on US exchanges. The fund holds approximately 25–26 securities and spans the full industry value chain, including fabless designers, integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), foundries, and semiconductor equipment suppliers.

Top holdings include Nvidia (NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Broadcom (AVGO), Texas Instruments (TXN), Micron Technology (MU), and equipment names such as ASML Holding (ASML), Applied Materials, and KLA. The portfolio is roughly 95% information technology, with a geographic tilt toward the United States plus meaningful exposure to Taiwan and the Netherlands. The expense ratio is 0.35%, and the fund is among the largest and most liquid semiconductor ETFs, with assets measured in the tens of billions of dollars.

VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) Overview

Introduced in August 2024, SMHX tracks the MarketVector US Listed Fabless Semiconductor Index, a thematic benchmark focused on companies that design and develop semiconductors while outsourcing fabrication to third-party foundries. The fund holds roughly 23–24 securities and excludes equipment manufacturers, foundries, and traditional IDMs.

Top holdings include Nvidia (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Qualcomm (QCOM), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Synopsys (SNPS), Cadence Design Systems (CDNS), Astera Labs (ALAB), and Arm Holdings (ARM). Exposure is essentially 100% information technology and heavily US-centric. The expense ratio is also 0.35%, but the fund is far smaller and less liquid, with assets in the hundreds of millions rather than tens of billions.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate in an environment shaped by AI-driven capital expenditure, cloud-computing demand, and the ongoing build-out of data-center infrastructure. Fabless design leaders such as Nvidia and Broadcom have been prime beneficiaries of this trend, given their central role in accelerators and networking silicon. At the same time, the sector faces recurring cyclical risks, including memory pricing swings, export-control and trade restrictions, geopolitical tensions involving Taiwan, and valuation sensitivity to interest-rate expectations. These forces affect SMH and SMHX differently: SMH's equipment and foundry exposure ties it more directly to manufacturing capacity and capital-equipment cycles, while SMHX's design-heavy portfolio is more leveraged to AI product cycles and intellectual-property economics.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both funds have participated in a broad semiconductor rally, but with notably different magnitudes. SMHX has generally delivered stronger relative performance during risk-on phases, reflecting its heavier concentration in Nvidia and Broadcom and its higher beta, which amplifies both gains and losses. SMH, by contrast, has shown more moderate moves, cushioned by its exposure to diversified names across the supply chain. The difference in relative positioning is structural: SMHX is a purer expression of the AI-design trade, while SMH provides broader, lower-volatility sector exposure. Investors should view SMHX as a higher-risk, higher-reward tactical vehicle and SMH as a more diversified core holding.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool designed to help traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending securities, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. For investors comparing funds like SMH and SMHX, it offers a structured way to surface high-conviction setups across the semiconductor sector. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own screening process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor SMHX. Its concentrated exposure to Nvidia and Broadcom places it squarely at the center of the AI-driven design momentum that has powered the sector's strongest returns, and its trend consistency has remained robust through recent market cycles. The fund's higher beta suggests it is better positioned to capture upside when sector momentum is positive. That said, this conviction comes with greater volatility and concentration risk, and SMH remains the structurally stronger, more diversified, and more liquid alternative for investors prioritizing stability over aggressiveness. As always, this assessment is probabilistic and not investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SMH vs. SMHX commentary
Nov 05, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SMH is a Hold and SMHX is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

Momentum Indicator for SMH turns negative, indicating new downward trend

SMH saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 73 of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator for SMH entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +4.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 330 of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMHX with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

SMHX in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026

SMHX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 13 of 13 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMHX as a result. In 30 of 35 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMHX turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 26 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

The 10-day moving average for SMHX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMHX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator for SMHX entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMHX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 6 of 7 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +5.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMHX advanced for three days, in 156 of 168 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMHX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SMHSMHX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
77%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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SMHX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMHX has been closely correlated with RMBS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMHX jumps, then RMBS could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SMHX
1D Price
Change %
SMHX100%
+3.11%
RMBS - SMHX
81%
Closely correlated
+4.96%
AMD - SMHX
80%
Closely correlated
+3.65%
LSCC - SMHX
80%
Closely correlated
+10.98%
MPWR - SMHX
78%
Closely correlated
+6.78%
MRVL - SMHX
77%
Closely correlated
+0.33%
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