Advertisement
SPG vs UDR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Simon Property Group (SPG) vs. UDR, Inc. (UDR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SPG is a retail-focused real estate investment trust (REIT) anchored by Class A malls and premium outlets, while UDR is a multifamily apartment REIT concentrated in coastal and urban markets.
- SPG has shown stronger recent operating momentum, including rising retailer sales, higher base rents, and an increased dividend and full-year guidance.
- UDR has delivered steadier but more modest same-store growth, partly offset by supply pressure in Sunbelt markets and regulatory risk in coastal regions.
- Both companies generate predictable rental income, but their growth drivers, sector exposure, and risk profiles differ meaningfully.
- Relative performance and market positioning currently appear more favorable for SPG, while UDR offers a lower-volatility, income-oriented alternative.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two well-established REITs (real estate investment trusts) that operate in different corners of commercial real estate. SPG owns premier shopping, dining, and mixed-use destinations, while UDR owns and operates multifamily apartment communities. Comparing them is useful for investors weighing retail versus residential property exposure, income yield versus growth momentum, and how each holds up in the current interest-rate and consumer environment. Income-oriented investors, sector rotators, and traders evaluating relative performance and market positioning may all find this head-to-head comparison relevant.
SPG Overview and Recent Performance
SPG, or Simon Property Group, is among the world's largest retail landlords, with a portfolio spanning North America, Europe, and Asia. Its holdings include Class A malls, premium outlet centers, and mixed-use developments that continue to attract foot traffic even as weaker-tier retail properties struggle. In recent weeks, SPG has reported strengthening fundamentals, including 96% occupancy at U.S. malls and premium outlets, base minimum rents rising by roughly 6%, and retailer sales per square foot climbing at a double-digit pace. The company raised its quarterly dividend and lifted its full-year 2026 guidance for real estate FFO (funds from operations, a standard REIT earnings measure), while also advancing a multi-billion-dollar development and redevelopment pipeline. A leadership transition to CEO Eli Simon has occurred against this backdrop of steady operating momentum and disciplined capital allocation.
UDR Overview and Recent Performance
UDR, or UDR, Inc., is a large multifamily REIT that owns, operates, and develops apartment communities concentrated in coastal and urban markets. Recent market activity has shown a more measured pace of growth: same-store revenue rose in the low single digits, occupancy held in the mid-96% range, and blended lease-rate growth tracked near the top of guidance. UDR has been actively recycling capital, selling lower-growth assets and using proceeds for share repurchases, while also becoming the first residential REIT to transition to monthly dividends. However, same-store NOI (net operating income) growth has been tempered by elevated operating costs and pricing softness in certain Sunbelt markets, with supply pressure and rent-regulation proposals in high-cost regions serving as ongoing watch items.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI-powered trading bots covering thousands of tickers, each with distinct trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance statistics, and sets of securities. Because market conditions shift constantly, only the most suitable bots earn a place in the curated Trending AI Robots section. This selection is designed to surface the bots best aligned with current conditions, giving traders a practical way to explore quantitative, data-driven approaches to stocks such as SPG and UDR. Whether you prefer short-term signal-based strategies or longer-horizon trend models, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can help you identify tools matched to your own timeframe and risk tolerance.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between SPG and UDR lies in their business models and growth drivers. SPG's returns hinge on discretionary consumer spending, retailer health, and its ability to command rising rents at high-quality properties. UDR's returns depend on apartment demand, rent growth, and its exposure to supply dynamics across coastal and Sunbelt markets. SPG has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, with accelerating retailer sales and higher lease spreads translating into raised guidance and a larger dividend. UDR offers a steadier, lower-volatility profile tied to housing, but its growth has been constrained by Sunbelt supply and elevated operating expenses.
On risk factors, SPG faces e-commerce competition and sensitivity to a consumer slowdown, while UDR faces new apartment supply and rent-regulation risk. Sector exposure also differs: SPG concentrates in retail real estate, whereas UDR is pure-play residential. In terms of market sentiment, SPG has benefited from a more favorable earnings narrative and analyst outlook, while UDR has drawn a more cautious view in some quarters despite active buybacks and innovation in capital returns.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, momentum, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SPG at present. SPG's combination of rising rents, improving retailer sales, an increased dividend, and upwardly revised guidance points to stronger and more consistent positive catalysts than UDR, whose growth remains steadier but more constrained by supply and cost pressures. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: it reflects current market conditions and technical positioning, which can shift. Investors should weigh these signals alongside their own objectives and risk profiles.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPG is a Buy and UDR is a Buy.
SPG's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPG turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SPG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPG as a result. In 67 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
SPG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPG advanced for three days, in 191 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
SPG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SPG entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SPG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: SPG's P/B Ratio (15.613) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.646). P/E Ratio (14.964) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.201). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.576) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (305.774) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.515) is also within normal values, averaging (6.739).
UDR's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UDR turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where UDR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UDR as a result. In 45 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
UDR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UDR advanced for three days, in 144 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for UDR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UDR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
UDR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UDR entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UDR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UDR's P/B Ratio (4.014) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.134). P/E Ratio (22.899) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.256). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.340) is also within normal values, averaging (6.209). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (1.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.570) is also within normal values, averaging (5.317).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UDR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.
SPG | UDR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 12 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UDR's Valuation (86) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as SPG (100). This means that UDR’s stock grew similarly to SPG’s over the last 12 months.
SPG's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is significantly better than the same rating for UDR (100). This means that SPG’s stock grew significantly faster than UDR’s over the last 12 months.
SPG's SMR Rating (12) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UDR (52). This means that SPG’s stock grew somewhat faster than UDR’s over the last 12 months.
SPG's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as UDR (55). This means that SPG’s stock grew similarly to UDR’s over the last 12 months.
SPG's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as UDR (95). This means that SPG’s stock grew similarly to UDR’s over the last 12 months.
| SPG | UDR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 49% | 10 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 57% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SPG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while UDR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- SPG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UDR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SPG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UDR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SPG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UDR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
SPG (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +4.25% price change this week, while UDR (@Media Conglomerates) price change was +6.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +0.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.73%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Media Conglomerates industry was +1.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
SPG is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
UDR is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+0.90% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
@Media Conglomerates (+1.25% weekly)Companies that operate in these three (or more) areas: broadcasting, cable TV, publishing and movies/entertainment. The companies usually have a large share in these markets. Walt Disney Co . is an example.
Advertisement
SPG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPG has been closely correlated with CUZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPG jumps, then CUZ could also see price increases.
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CRYPTO / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| BLZ.X | 0.008998 | -0.000595 | -6.20% |
| Bluzelle cryptocurrency | |||
| WOO.X | 0.010198 | -0.000704 | -6.46% |
| WOO cryptocurrency | |||
| RAY.X | 1.834420 | -0.130009 | -6.62% |
| Raydium cryptocurrency | |||
| RLC.X | 0.650253 | -0.057127 | -8.08% |
| iExec RLC cryptocurrency | |||
| MFT.X | 0.000197 | -0.000062 | -24.03% |
| Mainframe cryptocurrency | |||