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TMUS vs VZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? T-Mobile US (TMUS) vs. Verizon Communications (VZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TMUS is the growth story among US wireless carriers, with industry-leading postpaid subscriber additions and double-digit service-revenue growth, while VZ leans toward value and income with a much higher dividend yield.
- VZ is executing a fiber-led turnaround backed by its Frontier Communications acquisition, whereas TMUS is scaling 5G fixed-wireless broadband and integrating UScellular.
- On relative performance, VZ has shown more resilience in recent months, while TMUS has undergone a sharper valuation reset despite stronger operational momentum.
- TMUS faces margin compression and higher integration costs; VZ carries slower top-line growth and elevated leverage.
- Both names are sensitive to wireless price competition and interest rates, but their risk-reward profiles appeal to different investor types.
- For deeper, real-time coverage, explore TMUS Major News and TMUS Today's Price Move, as well as VZ Major News and VZ Today's Price Move.
- Interested in how automated strategies are positioning across the market? Explore the curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
T-Mobile US and Verizon Communications are two of the three dominant players in the US wireless market, yet they sit at opposite ends of the growth-versus-value spectrum. TMUS has used aggressive 5G deployment and customer gains to expand share, while VZ has leaned on network scale, a fiber buildout, and a market-leading dividend to retain its position. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing a faster-growing, reinvestment-heavy carrier against a steadier, income-oriented incumbent. Examining their recent performance, business models, and market positioning helps clarify which profile may be more compelling in the current environment.
TMUS Overview and Recent Performance
T-Mobile US is the third-largest US wireless carrier, headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, and known for its multi-band 5G network and "un-carrier" approach. In its most recent quarter, TMUS reported revenue of roughly $24.3 billion, up about 11% year over year, supported by strong service-revenue growth and industry-leading postpaid customer additions. Full-year 2025 revenue reached approximately $88.3 billion, up from about $81.4 billion. Adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $2.14 beat consensus, but net income declined year over year on higher operating and interest expenses plus severance costs tied to a workforce-transformation program. Broadband remains a key growth driver, with 5G fixed-wireless subscribers expanding steadily. In recent weeks, sentiment has been tempered by margin compression, a heavy debt load, and integration costs from the UScellular deal, even as the company raised its longer-term service-revenue and free-cash-flow outlook. These factors contributed to a notable pullback in the shares over the past year.
VZ Overview and Recent Performance
Verizon Communications, headquartered in New York City, is the largest US wireless carrier by revenue and also operates an extensive wireline and fiber business. In its latest quarter, VZ posted revenue of about $36.4 billion, up roughly 2% year over year, and generated its highest quarterly postpaid phone net additions since 2019. Full-year 2025 revenue was approximately $138.2 billion. The recent completion of the roughly $20 billion Frontier Communications acquisition scaled Verizon's fiber footprint to more than 30 million homes and businesses, a central pillar of its turnaround. Management has characterized 2026 as the "beginning" of a recovery, guiding adjusted EPS to $4.90–$4.95. However, quarterly net income fell sharply on higher operating expenses, and top-line growth remains comparatively modest. Investors have been drawn to VZ's substantial dividend yield, historically near 6%, while weighing the company's slower growth and elevated leverage.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge most clearly on growth and capital allocation. TMUS is a growth-oriented operator reinvesting heavily in 5G and fixed-wireless broadband, producing faster subscriber and service-revenue gains but thinner margins and higher integration costs. VZ is a more mature, value-oriented business prioritizing fiber expansion, free-cash-flow (FCF) generation, and a dividend yield roughly three to four times higher than T-Mobile's. On recent momentum, VZ has been more stable, while TMUS has experienced a larger drawdown and a more pronounced valuation reset. Risk profiles also differ: TMUS carries meaningful debt and merger-integration execution risk, whereas VZ faces slower growth and competitive pressure on wireless pricing. In short, TMUS offers stronger top-line momentum at a higher growth multiple, while VZ offers income, stability, and a fiber-driven turnaround at a lower valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative positioning, and recent catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VZ in the current environment. Verizon's combination of a more resilient recent price trend, a high and sustainable dividend, improving subscriber momentum, and a completed fiber acquisition provides steadier signals than T-Mobile's sharper drawdown and near-term margin and integration pressures. That said, this is a probabilistic assessment: TMUS's stronger subscriber growth and raised long-term outlook could reassert leadership if margins stabilize. The verdict reflects current conditions rather than a permanent judgment on either company's long-term value.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TMUS is a Hold and VZ is a Hold.
TMUS in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026
TMUS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 47 cases where TMUS's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TMUS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +3.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMUS advanced for three days, in 188 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TMUS as a result. In 44 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TMUS turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 45%.
The Aroon Indicator for TMUS entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TMUS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.799) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (15.327) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-4.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.588) is also within normal values, averaging (8.005). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.127) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.117) is also within normal values, averaging (5.777).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TMUS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
VZ saw its Stochastic Oscillator leaves the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for VZ moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 66 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 37 of the 66 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for VZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
The Aroon Indicator for VZ entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VZ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VZ as a result. In 43 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VZ just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where VZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +3.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VZ advanced for three days, in 144 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
VZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.756) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (11.440) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-4.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.830) is also within normal values, averaging (8.005). Dividend Yield (0.064) settles around the average of (0.127) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.509) is also within normal values, averaging (5.777).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
TMUS | VZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 80 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VZ's Valuation (61) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (67) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that VZ’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
VZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (80) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (84) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that VZ’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
TMUS's SMR Rating (49) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry is in the same range as VZ (54) in the Major Telecommunications industry. This means that TMUS’s stock grew similarly to VZ’s over the last 12 months.
VZ's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (64) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that VZ’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
VZ's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Major Telecommunications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TMUS (74) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that VZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
| TMUS | VZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 53% | 14 days ago 46% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 39% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TMUS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while VZ’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- TMUS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- VZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TMUS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VZ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TMUS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- VZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
TMUS (@Major Telecommunications) experienced а -6.92% price change this week, while VZ (@Major Telecommunications) price change was -1.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Telecommunications industry was -1.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
TMUS is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
VZ is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Telecommunications (-1.10% weekly)Major telecommunications include companies that make communication possible across the globe – by providing voice and data transmission via multiple channels such as phone or the Internet, through airwaves or cables, through wires or wirelessly. The ease with which we connect with anyone, anywhere in the world is thanks in large part to the infrastructure created by the telecom industry. Some major telecom players include AT&T Inc., Verizon Communications Inc. and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.
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TMUS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMUS has been closely correlated with T. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMUS jumps, then T could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMUS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS | 100% | -0.07% | ||
| T - TMUS | 70% Closely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| VZ - TMUS | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.93% | ||
| CMCSA - TMUS | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| BCE - TMUS | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| VOD - TMUS | 28% Poorly correlated | +0.32% | ||
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