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TSM vs TSXU
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TSM is a Hold and TSXU is a Hold.
Aroon Indicator for TSM shows an upward move is likely
TSM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 14, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 276 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 213 of the 276 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSM advanced for three days, in 235 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSM as a result. In 61 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSM turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
TSM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
TSM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.332) is normal, around the industry mean (6.008). P/E Ratio (0.965) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.098). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.859) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.480) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for TSXU turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TSXU saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 14 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 13 of the 14 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSXU turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 7 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 6 of the 7 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
TSXU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSXU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 2 of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSXU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for TSXU's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +5.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSXU advanced for three days, in 58 of 64 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
TSXU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 48 of 50 cases where TSXU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
TSM | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| TSM | TSXU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 18 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 61% | 7 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TSM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- TSM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TSM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
TSM (@Semiconductors) experienced а -2.34% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -8.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -19.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jan 21, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-8.21% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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TSXU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSXU has been loosely correlated with TSM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSXU jumps, then TSM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSXU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSXU | 100% | -10.37% | ||
| TSM - TSXU | 39% Loosely correlated | -4.52% | ||
| AMD - TSXU | 2% Poorly correlated | -8.10% | ||
| NVDA - TSXU | 1% Poorly correlated | -4.40% | ||
| MU - TSXU | -3% Poorly correlated | -6.26% | ||
| AVGO - TSXU | -7% Poorly correlated | -4.31% |