AAAU
Price
$39.41
Change
-$0.27 (-0.68%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
2.63B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GLD
Price
$367.39
Change
-$1.61 (-0.44%)
Updated
Oct 23, 11:10 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
141.35B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GLDM
Price
$79.30
Change
-$0.36 (-0.45%)
Updated
Oct 23, 11:10 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
31.19B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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AAAU or GLD or GLDM

AAAU vs GLD vs GLDM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU) vs. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) vs. SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM)

Key Takeaways

  • All three ETFs provide direct exposure to physical gold bullion through grantor trust structures, tracking variants of the LBMA Gold Price benchmark with a single holding of allocated gold bars.
  • Expense ratios differ meaningfully: SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) at 0.10% offers the lowest cost, followed by Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU) at 0.18%, while SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) at 0.40% carries the highest ongoing fee drag.
  • Liquidity and scale vary substantially, with SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) maintaining the largest assets under management and highest trading volumes due to its longer history since 2004, while the others provide comparable exposure at lower costs.
  • Diversification is minimal across all three, as each holds only physical gold, resulting in identical sensitivity to gold price movements, macroeconomic factors, and geopolitical events without sector or equity allocation.
  • Structural similarities in physically backed design limit performance divergence, though cost differences compound over time and influence net returns for long-term holders.
  • Relative positioning favors lower-cost options for buy-and-hold strategies, while higher-liquidity vehicles suit active traders or institutional use.

Introduction

Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have gained relevance amid persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies that influence precious metals demand. Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU), SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), and SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) compete within the physically backed gold category, offering investors convenient access to spot gold prices without the need for direct ownership, storage, or insurance. These ETFs track similar benchmarks based on the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) gold price and employ comparable grantor trust structures that hold allocated gold bullion. They represent tiered approaches differentiated primarily by expense ratios, liquidity profiles, and operational scale rather than distinct investment strategies or thematic tilts.

Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU) Overview

Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU) seeks to reflect the performance of the LBMA Gold Price, less expenses, through ownership of physical gold bars meeting London Good Delivery standards stored in secure vaults. The fund holds one asset—allocated gold bullion—with no equity holdings or sector allocations beyond precious metals exposure. Launched in 2018, it operates as a grantor trust with an expense ratio of 0.18%. Distinguishing features include its mid-tier cost structure and focus on efficient physical backing without lending of underlying gold, providing direct ownership claims for investors seeking straightforward gold price tracking.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Overview

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) aims to track the price of gold bullion, less trust expenses, via physical gold holdings in vaults managed by custodians such as HSBC Bank plc and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. The ETF maintains a single holding of allocated gold and follows the LBMA Gold Price PM benchmark. Established in 2004 as one of the first U.S.-listed physically backed gold products, it functions as a grantor trust with an expense ratio of 0.40%. Key characteristics encompass its extensive track record, high liquidity, and institutional-grade infrastructure supporting large-scale trading volumes.

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) Overview

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) is designed to reflect the performance of the LBMA Gold Price PM, net of expenses, through direct ownership of physical gold bullion stored with custodians including JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. Like its peers, it holds one primary asset and uses a grantor trust structure to deliver allocated gold exposure. Launched in 2018, the fund features an expense ratio of 0.10%. Notable attributes include its cost-efficient design as a lower-fee alternative within the SPDR gold lineup, emphasizing accessibility for investors prioritizing reduced fee impact on long-term holdings.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The physical gold ETF sector operates within the broader precious metals and commodities market, driven by macroeconomic factors including central bank purchasing, interest rate environments, currency fluctuations, and safe-haven demand during periods of equity market volatility or geopolitical uncertainty. Capital flows into gold vehicles often increase during inflationary cycles or risk-off environments, while regulatory frameworks emphasize custody standards and transparency for physically backed products. Major holdings across these ETFs consist solely of London Good Delivery gold bars, with no earnings trends or corporate sector dynamics at play. External risks include storage and insurance costs embedded in expense ratios, potential shifts in global gold supply chains, and evolving investor preferences toward lower-cost or ESG-aligned alternatives in the commodity space.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the three ETFs have exhibited highly correlated movements due to their shared physical gold exposure and benchmark alignment, with differences arising mainly from expense ratios and minor tracking variations. Lower-cost structures in SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM) and Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU) have supported relatively tighter net performance compared to the higher-fee SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) over multi-month periods. Volatility profiles remain consistent across the group, reflecting gold's sensitivity to dollar strength, real yields, and global risk sentiment, though drawdowns during equity rallies or strong U.S. dollar phases appear structurally similar. Concentration risk is uniform given the single-asset design, positioning all three as pure-play gold vehicles rather than diversified holdings, with relative stability favoring cost-efficient options in prolonged holding scenarios.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on ETFs like gold products may benefit from exploring its capabilities.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural attributes, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probabilistic favorability to SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM). Its lowest expense ratio of 0.10% supports superior cost efficiency and potentially better risk-adjusted net returns over extended periods, combined with solid diversification equivalence to peers and competitive liquidity for most investor profiles. While SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) offers unmatched scale and trading depth, and Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF (AAAU) provides balanced mid-tier positioning, the emphasis on fee minimization and momentum stability in current macro conditions tilts the assessment toward the lower-cost vehicle.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAAU with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

AAAU sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

AAAU saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAAU as a result. In 58 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

AAAU moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AAAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAAU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for AAAU entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAAU's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAAU advanced for three days, in 276 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

AAAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLD with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GLD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

GLD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In 58 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

GLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLD entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in 295 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

GLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLDM with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GLDM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

GLDM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLDM as a result. In 58 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

GLDM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GLDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLDM entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLDM advanced for three days, in 279 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

GLDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AAAUGLDGLDM
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 15 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 15 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 15 days ago
85%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
66%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
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AAAU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GLD
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GLDM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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