This stock comparison examines three companies exposed to the same semiconductor capital-spending cycle from very different vantage points. Applied Materials (AMAT) and ASML Holding (ASML) are among the largest manufacturers of the machinery used to fabricate advanced chips, while Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT) supplies the precision subsystems, gas and chemical delivery modules, and ultra-high-purity cleaning services that keep that equipment running. Because all three are levered to AI infrastructure buildouts, they tend to rise and fall with the same demand signals—yet their scale, profitability, and volatility differ considerably. The comparison is relevant to investors weighing large-cap equipment leaders against a smaller, higher-risk supplier, and to traders monitoring relative performance across the semiconductor equipment complex.
Applied Materials is the largest provider of semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment, offering a broad portfolio spanning deposition, materials engineering, etch, metrology, inspection, and advanced packaging. This breadth reduces its dependence on any single process technology and supports meaningful pricing power. In recent market activity, AMAT has been one of the sector's strongest performers, rising sharply off its 52-week low and delivering record quarterly revenue along the way. The company reported record fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of roughly $9.1 billion, with non-GAAP EPS (earnings per share, a measure that excludes certain one-time and non-cash items) climbing about 41% year over year, while non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 34%.
Sentiment has been driven by accelerating investment in leading-edge logic, DRAM (dynamic random-access memory), and advanced packaging tied to AI. Management's opening of the multi-billion-dollar EPIC research center and its longer-term targets for market share and margin expansion have reinforced the growth narrative. However, the stock's valuation—trading at a premium price-to-sales (P/S) multiple versus the broader industry—has prompted debate about how much future growth is already reflected in the price, particularly after a period of rapid appreciation.
ASML is the world's only supplier of EUV lithography systems, the essential tools for printing the most advanced logic and memory chips. This unique position gives the company a wide competitive moat and unusually strong multi-year demand visibility. For full-year 2025, ASML reported total net sales of about €32.7 billion and net income of roughly €9.6 billion, while fourth-quarter net bookings reached a record €13.2 billion, lifting its year-end backlog to approximately €38.8 billion. The company guided for 2026 revenue between €34 billion and €39 billion and announced a new share buyback of up to €12 billion, alongside a 17% dividend increase.
Recent market activity has reflected both strength and caution. Shares have gained substantially over the past year, but investors have also weighed softer near-term guidance, quarterly sales lumpiness caused by the very high price of individual machines, and declining China revenue amid tightening export controls. ASML also announced a streamlining of its technology and IT organizations involving roughly 1,700 roles. The core thesis remains intact—record demand visibility and customer capacity expansion plans—but geopolitical and execution factors add volatility.
Ultra Clean Holdings develops and supplies critical subsystems, components, gas and chemical delivery systems, and ultra-high-purity cleaning and analytical services for the semiconductor industry. Its customers include leading wafer fabrication equipment makers, positioning UCTT as a leveraged play on broader equipment spending. In recent months, UCTT has experienced extraordinary price swings: after a dramatic rally that more than tripled the share price at its peak, the stock has retraced sharply, reflecting its high-beta, sentiment-driven profile.
The fundamental picture is more mixed than the share-price momentum once suggested. Revenue growth has been modest in percentage terms—up low single digits year over year in recent quarters—and the company has remained unprofitable on a GAAP basis, including a large non-cash goodwill impairment in fiscal 2025. Management is investing in capacity expansion across Malaysia, Singapore, and the Czech Republic and targets a roughly $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by mid-2027. Analysts have raised price targets substantially, citing improving customer demand visibility into 2027, but near-term profitability and execution remain key watchpoints.
For traders seeking a more systematic way to evaluate opportunities like these, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page offers a curated view of the platform's AI-driven trading bots. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI Trading Bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each built around its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance profile, and watchlist. Rather than presenting every bot at once, the Trending AI Robots section highlights only the bots considered most suitable for current market conditions, helping users filter for the strategies that are performing well right now. For investors and traders comparing names such as AMAT, ASML, and UCTT, exploring these curated bots can provide an additional, data-driven lens on relative momentum and positioning.
Business models differ most sharply. AMAT and ASML are capital-equipment manufacturers with differentiated technology and relatively high margins, while UCTT operates as a subsystem and services supplier with structurally lower gross margins and more limited pricing power. On growth drivers, AMAT benefits from breadth across multiple process steps, ASML from a monopoly in EUV lithography, and UCTT from rising equipment volumes and increasing process complexity across the industry.
Recent momentum and risk profiles also diverge. AMAT and ASML have delivered strong, comparatively steady gains supported by record revenue and backlogs. UCTT, by contrast, has shown extreme volatility, with its rally and subsequent pullback highlighting greater valuation sensitivity. Sector exposure overlaps—all three depend on AI-related capital expenditure, or CapEx—but UCTT carries additional risk from customer concentration and thin profitability. On valuation, AMAT and ASML trade at premium multiples justified by their moats, while UCTT's valuation reflects anticipated future earnings that have yet to fully materialize. Market sentiment toward AMAT and ASML is broadly constructive but increasingly valuation-conscious, whereas sentiment toward UCTT remains divided between bullish analysts and a still-unprofitable near-term income statement.
Based on observable factors—trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning—Tickeron's AI would likely favor AMAT as the most balanced risk-reward profile among the three. Applied Materials combines strong revenue momentum, expanding margins, broad exposure to multiple AI-driven process steps, and a clearer near-term earnings trajectory than UCTT, while avoiding the concentrated geopolitical and export-control risk that weighs more heavily on ASML. ASML would remain a close second, supported by unmatched demand visibility and a record backlog, with its position limited primarily by China restrictions and quarterly lumpiness. UCTT offers the highest potential upside if the AI equipment cycle accelerates as analysts expect, but its volatility and unproven near-term profitability make it the least consistent candidate. These conclusions are probabilistic rather than definitive and reflect current observable conditions, not a prediction of future returns.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In 66 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMAT entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in 251 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.631) is normal, around the industry mean (6.371). P/E Ratio (32.156) is within average values for comparable stocks, (86.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.764) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
ASML saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASML as a result. In 63 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
ASML moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ASML crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASML declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for ASML's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +5.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASML advanced for three days, in 226 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
ASML may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 240 cases where ASML Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASML’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ASML's P/B Ratio (27.464) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.371). P/E Ratio (61.342) is within average values for comparable stocks, (86.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.086) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.175) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
UCTT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 08, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 48 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UCTT as a result. In 77 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
UCTT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UCTT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The 50-day moving average for UCTT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UCTT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UCTT advanced for three days, in 230 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
UCTT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 233 of 263 cases where UCTT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.146) is normal, around the industry mean (6.371). P/E Ratio (-88.920) is within average values for comparable stocks, (86.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.353) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.374) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UCTT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UCTT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
AMAT | ASML | UCTT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 64 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 31 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 20 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 43 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 7 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | n/a | 11 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UCTT's Valuation (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMAT (75) and is significantly better than the same rating for ASML (89). This means that UCTT's stock grew significantly faster than AMAT’s and significantly faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (58) and is significantly better than the same rating for UCTT (100). This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to AMAT’s and significantly faster than UCTT’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (25) and is significantly better than the same rating for UCTT (92). This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to AMAT’s and significantly faster than UCTT’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (57) and is in the same range as UCTT (65). This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to AMAT’s and similarly to UCTT’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as UCTT (8) and is in the same range as AMAT (18). This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to UCTT’s and similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | ASML | UCTT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 79% | 24 days ago 72% | 23 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 9 days ago 68% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 89% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while ASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and UCTT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and UCTT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -12.66% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -5.85% , and UCTT (@Electronic Production Equipment) price fluctuated -8.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -10.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -23.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -33.54%.
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
UCTT is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UCTT has been closely correlated with ICHR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UCTT jumps, then ICHR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UCTT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCTT | 100% | -14.86% | ||
| ICHR - UCTT | 80% Closely correlated | -12.64% | ||
| ONTO - UCTT | 79% Closely correlated | -10.57% | ||
| COHU - UCTT | 78% Closely correlated | -16.33% | ||
| AMAT - UCTT | 77% Closely correlated | -8.16% | ||
| LRCX - UCTT | 76% Closely correlated | -11.76% | ||
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