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BBAR or BMA or SUPV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR) vs. Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) vs. Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR), Banco Macro S.A. (BMA), and Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) are leading Argentine regional banks listed as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on the NYSE, offering exposure to Argentina's financial sector.
- Recent market activity shows elevated volatility across all three, driven by macroeconomic factors including interest rate dynamics and currency movements in Argentina.
- BMA maintains the largest market capitalization among the trio, reflecting its broader retail and corporate banking footprint.
- BBAR and SUPV exhibit relatively smaller scale but operate in similar segments of personal banking, corporate lending, and fee-based services.
- Sector sentiment has been influenced by ongoing economic stabilization efforts in Argentina, affecting deposit growth, loan demand, and net interest margins (NIMs) across peers.
- Relative performance has varied week-to-week, with no single stock demonstrating consistent outperformance over the broader Argentine banking group in recent periods.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking targeted exposure to Argentina's banking sector often evaluate Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR), Banco Macro S.A. (BMA), and Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) together. These ADRs represent established financial institutions with operations centered on retail deposits, lending, and corporate services within the Argentine market. The comparison is particularly relevant for those monitoring emerging-market financials, currency-linked risks, and sector-specific catalysts such as regulatory changes or economic policy shifts. This analysis examines observable differences in scale, recent price behavior, and positioning to support informed evaluation of relative opportunities.
BBAR Overview and Recent Performance
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. (BBAR) provides a full range of retail and corporate banking products, including deposits, loans, credit cards, and asset management services, primarily in Argentina. In recent market activity, the stock has displayed notable price swings amid broader sector movements, with trading volumes reflecting investor interest in Argentine financial names. Performance has been shaped by domestic economic indicators and external factors affecting regional banks, including fluctuations in local interest rates and foreign exchange dynamics. Sentiment toward BBAR has mirrored peer trends, with traders focusing on quarterly results and macroeconomic data releases that influence expectations for loan growth and profitability.
BMA Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) operates as a major provider of banking services to retail and corporate clients across Argentina, with emphasis on regional economies and digital offerings. Recent market activity has shown the shares experiencing volatility consistent with the sector, including periods of both gains and pullbacks tied to news flow around dividends and capital management. BMA's larger scale has positioned it as a benchmark within the Argentine banking group, with performance influenced by deposit inflows, credit demand, and overall economic sentiment. Market participants have monitored updates on governance and shareholder distributions as factors contributing to short-term price movements.
SUPV Overview and Recent Performance
Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) functions as a financial services holding company with banking, insurance, and asset management operations in Argentina. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in line with peer volatility, responding to sector-wide developments in interest margins and client activity levels. SUPV's diversified segments provide exposure to both traditional lending and fee-generating businesses, with performance reflecting the same macroeconomic backdrop affecting other Argentine banks. Investor attention has centered on operational metrics such as asset quality and funding costs amid evolving market conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business models, BMA operates with the broadest retail and regional reach, while BBAR and SUPV maintain more concentrated footprints within personal and corporate banking. Growth drivers across the group center on Argentina's economic recovery trajectory, with loan expansion and net interest income (NII) sensitive to policy rates. Recent momentum has been mixed, with no uniform leadership in price action over recent weeks. Risk factors common to all three include currency devaluation exposure and regulatory oversight, though BMA's scale may offer relative stability in capital ratios. Valuation sensitivity appears heightened for smaller peers like SUPV due to lower liquidity, while market sentiment has favored larger names during periods of sector rotation. Trade-offs include BMA's dividend history versus the potentially higher beta of BBAR and SUPV to macroeconomic surprises.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as relative market positioning, trend consistency in recent periods, and sector stability indicators, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) among the three. Its larger capitalization and established presence may support more consistent performance characteristics compared with peers, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing economic variables in Argentina.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBAR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBMA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and SUPV’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BBAR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BMA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SUPV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBAR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BMA’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and SUPV’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BBAR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BMA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SUPV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BBAR (@Regional Banks) experienced а -4.63% price change this week, while BMA (@Regional Banks) price change was -5.87% , and SUPV (@Regional Banks) price fluctuated -2.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +0.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
BBAR is expected to report earnings on Aug 24, 2026.
BMA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
SUPV is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+0.69% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BBAR | BMA | SUPV | |
| Capitalization | 3.74B | 5.7B | 867M |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Gain YTD | -2.257 | -2.652 | -20.051 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.32 | 21.11 | 37.62 |
| Revenue | 3.05T | 4.71T | 790B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | N/A | N/A | 369B |
BBAR | BMA | SUPV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 45 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 51 Fair valued | 17 Undervalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 42 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 9 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BMA's Valuation (17) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BBAR (51) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SUPV (80) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew somewhat faster than BBAR’s and somewhat faster than SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBAR (47) in the null industry, and is in the same range as SUPV (67) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew similarly to BBAR’s and similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's SMR Rating (1) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBAR (1) in the null industry, and is in the same range as SUPV (1) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew similarly to BBAR’s and similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBAR (43) in the null industry, and is in the same range as SUPV (52) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA's stock grew similarly to BBAR’s and similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
SUPV's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BMA (9) in the Regional Banks industry, and is in the same range as BBAR (19) in the null industry. This means that SUPV's stock grew similarly to BMA’s and similarly to BBAR’s over the last 12 months.
| BBAR | BMA | SUPV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 85% | 7 days ago 81% | 6 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 80% | 5 days ago 78% | 26 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 83% |
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BMA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BMA has been closely correlated with GGAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BMA jumps, then GGAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BMA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMA | 100% | -2.38% | ||
| GGAL - BMA | 95% Closely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| BBAR - BMA | 94% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| SUPV - BMA | 92% Closely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| BSAC - BMA | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.96% | ||
| BCH - BMA | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.64% | ||
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SUPV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SUPV has been closely correlated with BBAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SUPV jumps, then BBAR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SUPV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPV | 100% | -1.46% | ||
| BBAR - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| GGAL - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| BMA - SUPV | 92% Closely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| BSAC - SUPV | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.96% | ||
| BSBR - SUPV | 37% Loosely correlated | -2.06% | ||
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