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BURL or DBI or TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. Designer Brands (DBI) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Burlington Stores (BURL), Designer Brands (DBI), and The TJX Companies (TJX) operate in the off-price and discount retail space, with varying exposure to apparel, footwear, and accessories.
- Recent market activity shows (BURL) benefiting from analyst price target increases ahead of its May 28 earnings release, while (TJX) reported strong results and raised its full-year outlook.
- (DBI) trades at lower absolute levels with earnings scheduled for June 9, reflecting its smaller market capitalization and focused footwear business.
- Relative performance highlights (TJX)'s scale advantages and consistent same-store sales growth compared to the more variable trajectories of (BURL) and (DBI).
- Valuation sensitivity differs, with off-price models tied to inventory sourcing, consumer discretionary spending, and macroeconomic conditions affecting all three.
- Sector exposure centers on value-seeking consumers, where (TJX) maintains broader store footprint and brand recognition.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to the off-price retail sector often evaluate Burlington Stores (BURL), Designer Brands (DBI), and The TJX Companies (TJX) together due to their shared focus on discounted branded merchandise. This comparison provides context on business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning for those assessing relative opportunities in consumer discretionary stocks. Market participants monitoring earnings catalysts, analyst revisions, and sector trends may find the analysis relevant for portfolio construction or tactical allocation decisions.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores (BURL) operates off-price retail stores offering apparel, home goods, and other merchandise at discounted prices. In recent weeks, the stock has shown volatility around earnings anticipation, with a notable price increase following JPMorgan's upward revision of its price target. Upcoming first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, scheduled for release on May 28, have drawn attention to sales trends and inventory management. Broader market activity reflects optimism from several analysts maintaining favorable ratings, though performance remains sensitive to consumer spending patterns in the off-price segment.
DBI Overview and Recent Performance
Designer Brands (DBI) focuses on footwear and accessories through retail and wholesale channels, including its DSW and other banners. Recent market activity includes preparation for first-quarter 2026 earnings expected on June 9, with the stock exhibiting modest gains amid peer comparisons in the footwear category. The company’s smaller scale relative to larger off-price peers has contributed to narrower trading ranges in recent periods. Sentiment has been influenced by margin expansion efforts and comps trends, though overall positioning reflects challenges in a competitive retail environment.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies (TJX) manages a large portfolio of off-price stores including T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, emphasizing apparel, home fashions, and accessories. Recent market activity featured positive first-quarter results that prompted an upward revision to the full-year sales and earnings outlook. The stock has demonstrated resilience with consistent same-store sales growth and analyst support, including raised price targets from firms such as Truist. Broader performance in recent weeks underscores the benefits of scale and efficient inventory sourcing in the off-price model.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Burlington Stores (BURL) and The TJX Companies (TJX) share similar off-price apparel exposure, while Designer Brands (DBI) differentiates through its footwear emphasis. Growth drivers for (TJX) include its extensive store network and proven ability to lift guidance, contrasting with (BURL)’s focus on store expansion ahead of earnings and (DBI)’s margin initiatives. Recent momentum favors (TJX) due to delivered results and outlook upgrades, whereas (BURL) awaits its report and (DBI) prepares for its own. Risk factors across the group include inventory sourcing risks, shifts in discretionary spending, and competition from other value retailers. Valuation sensitivity appears higher for (DBI) given its lower market capitalization, while (TJX) benefits from greater stability and sector leadership. Market sentiment remains constructive for (TJX) on execution consistency, with (BURL) and (DBI) showing more event-driven movements tied to upcoming releases.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings delivery, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favorable near-term characteristics to The TJX Companies (TJX). Its recent results and raised outlook provide measurable support for stability compared with the pre-earnings positioning of Burlington Stores (BURL) and Designer Brands (DBI). This assessment reflects probabilistic evaluation rather than certainty and does not constitute investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDBI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TJX’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DBI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DBI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TJX’s TA Score reflects 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DBI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -2.09% price change this week, while DBI (@Wholesale Distributors) price change was +9.33% , and TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price fluctuated +3.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Wholesale Distributors industry was -4.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
DBI is expected to report earnings on Jun 09, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.56% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
@Wholesale Distributors (-4.21% weekly)Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.
| BURL | DBI | TJX | |
| Capitalization | 20.3B | 428M | 178B |
| EBITDA | 1.31B | 107M | 8.62B |
| Gain YTD | 9.763 | 14.649 | 5.262 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.62 | 95.00 | 31.27 |
| Revenue | 11.6B | 2.89B | 60.4B |
| Total Cash | 1.23B | 50.9M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 6.01B | 1.21B | 13.5B |
BURL | DBI | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 25 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 21 Undervalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 92 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 36 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 1 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DBI's Valuation (21) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BURL (82) and is significantly better than the same rating for TJX (95). This means that DBI's stock grew somewhat faster than BURL’s and significantly faster than TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for DBI (100) and is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (100). This means that TJX's stock grew significantly faster than DBI’s and significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (25) and is significantly better than the same rating for DBI (92). This means that TJX's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and significantly faster than DBI’s over the last 12 months.
DBI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (46) and is in the same range as TJX (49). This means that DBI's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
DBI's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BURL (42) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TJX (47). This means that DBI's stock grew somewhat faster than BURL’s and somewhat faster than TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | DBI | TJX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 35% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 20 days ago 83% | 6 days ago 36% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 35% |
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | -1.53% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.17% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -7.35% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.31% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.92% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | -12.95% | ||
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DBI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DBI has been closely correlated with CAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DBI jumps, then CAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DBI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBI | 100% | -7.35% | ||
| CAL - DBI | 68% Closely correlated | -12.95% | ||
| DLTH - DBI | 64% Loosely correlated | -3.21% | ||
| GCO - DBI | 64% Loosely correlated | -4.96% | ||
| ZUMZ - DBI | 64% Loosely correlated | -25.98% | ||
| SCVL - DBI | 64% Loosely correlated | -5.00% | ||
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