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CDE or KGC or RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) vs. Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) vs. Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Coeur Mining (CDE) has delivered a remarkable 227% one-year return, fueled by strong precious metals prices and the recent acquisition of New Gold assets.
- Kinross Gold (KGC) reported record Q1 2026 free cash flow (FCF) of $838 million and net income of $843 million, underscoring operational strength despite a post-earnings dip.
- Royal Gold (RGLD) provides lower-risk exposure via streaming and royalties, with year-to-date gains of 4.14% and upcoming Q1 results.
- CDE and KGC as producers show higher volatility tied to mining costs, while RGLD's P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 34.47 reflects premium stability.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: CDE at $27.55, KGC at $40.55, RGLD at $335.33.
- All three stocks benefit from recent gold and silver price momentum in a volatile market environment.
Introduction
In the context of sustained precious metals rallies driven by economic uncertainty and inflation concerns, CDE, KGC, and RGLD offer distinct pathways to gold and silver exposure. Coeur Mining and Kinross Gold represent traditional mining production, sensitive to operational costs and output levels, while Royal Gold focuses on royalties and streams for more predictable cash flows. This stock comparison aids traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term sector positioning, highlighting relative performance, catalysts, and trade-offs amid recent market activity.
CDE Overview and Recent Performance
Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) is a U.S.-based gold and silver producer with operations in the United States, Canada, and Mexico, including key assets like Palmarejo and Rochester. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $17.65, with year-to-date gains of 1.01% and a standout 227% one-year return, outpacing peers amid gold and silver price surges. Sentiment has been bolstered by the completion of a $385.8 million note exchange following the New Gold acquisition, alongside analyst upgrades like Canaccord Genuity's Buy rating. Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 6 are anticipated to reflect production growth, though mining cost pressures remain a watchpoint influencing volatility.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) operates gold mines across the Americas, West Africa, and Russia, emphasizing efficient production and exploration. The stock hovers near $29.55, posting 3.41% year-to-date and 109% over one year, supported by robust precious metals trends. Recent weeks highlighted record Q1 2026 results, including $838 million FCF and $843 million net income, alongside a quarterly dividend declaration. Despite a 6.3% post-earnings decline, strong liquidity and project advancements have sustained positive analyst sentiment, with targets up to $56.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) specializes in precious metals streams and royalties, providing leveraged exposure without direct mining risks, with interests spanning multiple continents. Trading at approximately $230.59, it has achieved 4.14% year-to-date and 31% one-year gains, reflecting steady performance. Recent developments include UBS's Buy initiation at $325 and participation in investor roadshows, ahead of Q1 earnings on May 6. Cash flow from diversified assets has driven record prior-year revenue, positioning it well in a high-metal-price environment despite broader sector swings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CDE and KGC pursue growth via direct production and acquisitions, exposing them to cost inflation and output variability, while RGLD's royalty model delivers margin stability (P/E 34.47 vs. CDE's 18.58 and KGC's 12.57). Recent momentum favors CDE's explosive gains, but KGC edges on scale ($35B market cap) and FCF generation; RGLD lags short-term upside yet offers lower beta. Risks include geopolitical factors for producers versus counterparty dependence for streamers. Valuation sensitivity ties to metal prices, with bullish sentiment across all amid gold's rally.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor KGC for its trend consistency, record Q1 FCF and earnings, and attractive valuation relative to peers, positioning it strongly amid ongoing metals strength. While CDE offers higher momentum potential and RGLD superior stability, KGC's scale and catalysts suggest probabilistic outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CDE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKGC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and RGLD’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CDE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CDE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and RGLD’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CDE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
CDE (@Precious Metals) experienced а -8.68% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was -9.86% , and RGLD (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -4.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -7.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
CDE is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-7.72% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| CDE | KGC | RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 16.5B | 28.6B | 17.4B |
| EBITDA | 1.31B | 5.15B | 1.03B |
| Gain YTD | -10.219 | -14.407 | -7.586 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.09 | 11.19 | 25.96 |
| Revenue | 2.57B | 7.96B | 1.31B |
| Total Cash | 843M | 2.19B | 234M |
| Total Debt | 773M | 738M | 596M |
CDE | KGC | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 59 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 28 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 43 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 27 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 61 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 80 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (28) and is in the same range as CDE (47). This means that RGLD's stock grew similarly to KGC’s and similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (55) and is in the same range as CDE (72). This means that KGC's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CDE (65) and is somewhat better than the same rating for RGLD (66). This means that KGC's stock grew somewhat faster than CDE’s and somewhat faster than RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
CDE's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (61) and is in the same range as RGLD (61). This means that CDE's stock grew similarly to KGC’s and similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (67) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (80) and is in the same range as CDE (94). This means that RGLD's stock grew similarly to KGC’s and similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
| CDE | KGC | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 86% | 11 days ago 80% | 11 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 61% |
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CDE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CDE has been closely correlated with PAAS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CDE jumps, then PAAS could also see price increases.