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CHPS or SEMI or SMH
Which ETF would AI Choose? Xtrackers Semiconductor Select Equity ETF (CHPS) vs. Columbia Select Technology ETF (SEMI) vs. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)
Key Takeaways
- CHPS offers the lowest expense ratio at 0.15% among the three, providing cost-efficient passive exposure to a broader set of approximately 55 global semiconductor companies.
- SEMI is the only actively managed fund, with a higher 0.75% expense ratio and a non-diversified approach targeting 30-50 high-conviction semiconductor and technology holdings.
- SMH delivers concentrated passive exposure to roughly 25-27 leading U.S.-listed semiconductor firms via the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, balancing liquidity and industry focus at a 0.35% expense ratio.
- All three ETFs emphasize the semiconductor theme but differ in management style, with CHPS and SMH tracking rules-based indexes while SEMI relies on active security selection.
- Structural variations in holdings concentration and geographic breadth influence diversification depth and sensitivity to sector-specific trends across the group.
- Expense efficiency, index methodology, and active versus passive construction represent the primary differentiators for long-term positioning within the semiconductor ecosystem.
Introduction
CHPS, SEMI, and SMH provide targeted access to the semiconductor industry, a critical segment driving advancements in artificial intelligence, computing, and electronics. These ETFs compete within the same thematic space yet employ distinct approaches: CHPS and SMH follow passive index strategies with varying concentration levels, while SEMI uses active management. Investors comparing them can evaluate differences in cost, holdings breadth, and risk concentration to align with portfolio objectives in a sector characterized by rapid innovation and cyclical demand patterns.
Xtrackers Semiconductor Select Equity ETF (CHPS) Overview
CHPS seeks to track the Solactive Semiconductor Focus Index, which selects companies primarily engaged in the global semiconductor industry based on revenue criteria. The fund holds approximately 55 securities and employs a market-capitalization weighting approach. Top holdings typically include major chip designers and manufacturers. Sector allocation concentrates almost entirely in information technology, with a global reach that includes U.S. and international listings. Its expense ratio stands at 0.15%, reflecting a low-cost passive structure. The ETF rebalances according to the underlying index methodology, emphasizing transparent, rules-based selection without active intervention.
Columbia Select Technology ETF (SEMI) Overview
SEMI pursues capital appreciation through active management, investing at least 80% of assets in semiconductor, semiconductor equipment, and related technology companies. The non-diversified fund typically holds 30-50 securities selected based on fundamental analysis. Holdings span semiconductor manufacturing, equipment, and broader technology areas. The expense ratio is 0.75%, consistent with its active mandate. Sector exposure remains heavily weighted toward information technology, with flexibility to include companies of varying market capitalizations. Rebalancing occurs as part of the portfolio manager’s ongoing security selection process rather than a fixed index schedule.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview
SMH aims to replicate the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, focusing on the 25 largest and most liquid U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, including depositary receipts of foreign firms. The fund maintains roughly 25-27 holdings under a modified market-capitalization weighting scheme. Top positions generally feature leading semiconductor producers and equipment providers. Allocation centers on the information technology sector. The expense ratio is 0.35%. As a passive vehicle, SMH rebalances in line with index changes, prioritizing liquidity and industry representation within its concentrated structure.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
The semiconductor sector benefits from sustained demand driven by artificial intelligence infrastructure, data center expansion, and consumer electronics innovation. Capital flows into the industry reflect long-term growth expectations, supported by technological transitions such as advanced chip architectures. Macroeconomic factors including supply chain resilience, trade policies, and capital expenditure cycles influence company earnings. Geopolitical considerations around export controls and manufacturing locations add layers of complexity. Regulatory developments and shifts in global trade dynamics can affect production costs and market access for major industry participants across all three ETFs.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent market cycles, performance differences among CHPS, SEMI, and SMH have stemmed primarily from variations in holdings concentration and management approach. SMH’s narrower focus on top-tier names has contributed to distinct volatility patterns compared with CHPS’s broader selection. SEMI’s active strategy allows potential deviation from index returns based on manager decisions. Relative drawdowns and trend consistency vary with exposure to mega-cap leaders versus mid-tier participants. Concentration risk appears higher in SMH due to fewer holdings, while CHPS offers greater diversification within the theme. Sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts, such as interest rate changes or technology spending trends, differs according to each fund’s structural profile.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable structural attributes, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a probabilistic edge to CHPS for its combination of low expense ratio, reasonable diversification across approximately 55 holdings, and passive index methodology that supports cost-efficient, rules-based exposure. SMH follows closely due to established liquidity and index focus, while SEMI’s higher cost and active mandate introduce greater variability in outcomes. Final selection should reflect individual investor tolerance for concentration and management style.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
CHPS in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
CHPS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 21 of 23 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHPS as a result. In 39 of 47 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHPS turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 32 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
The 10-day moving average for CHPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHPS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CHPS's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHPS advanced for three days, in 172 of 194 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
CHPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 198 cases where CHPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
SEMI sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
SEMI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SEMI as a result. In 71 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
SEMI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SEMI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SEMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SEMI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SEMI advanced for three days, in 295 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
SEMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 251 of 276 cases where SEMI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
SMH sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
SMH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 71 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 18 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SMH's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 316 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| CHPS | SEMI | SMH | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 89% | 18 days ago 89% | 19 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 76% | 8 days ago 80% | 8 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
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CHPS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHPS has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHPS jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHPS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHPS | 100% | -6.57% | ||
| LRCX - CHPS | 90% Closely correlated | -11.76% | ||
| AMAT - CHPS | 87% Closely correlated | -8.16% | ||
| NVMI - CHPS | 85% Closely correlated | -6.37% | ||
| KLAC - CHPS | 84% Closely correlated | -9.55% | ||
| ASML - CHPS | 83% Closely correlated | -6.93% | ||
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SEMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SEMI has been closely correlated with TSM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SEMI jumps, then TSM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SEMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEMI | 100% | -4.25% | ||
| TSM - SEMI | 82% Closely correlated | -4.52% | ||
| GLW - SEMI | 68% Closely correlated | -8.10% | ||
| STM - SEMI | 65% Loosely correlated | -7.04% | ||
| PENG - SEMI | 61% Loosely correlated | -11.08% | ||
| ANET - SEMI | 61% Loosely correlated | -7.19% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JHCB | 20.40 | 0.17 | +0.82% |
| John Hancock Corporate Bond ETF (JHCB) | |||
| ARKT | 19.00 | N/A | N/A |
| ARK DIET Q4 Buffer ETF (ARKT) | |||
| APRB | 27.61 | -0.09 | -0.32% |
| Aptus April Buffer ETF (APRB) | |||
| FJUN | 61.22 | -0.52 | -0.85% |
| FT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - June (FJUN) | |||
| HAP | 73.46 | -1.10 | -1.48% |
| VanEck Natural Resources ETF (HAP) | |||