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CHPS or SMH or SOXX
Which ETF would AI Choose? Xtrackers Semiconductor Select Equity ETF (CHPS) vs. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) vs. iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)
Key Takeaways
- CHPS offers the lowest expense ratio at 0.15% and broader diversification with approximately 54 holdings focused on the global semiconductor ecosystem.
- SMH provides concentrated exposure to 25–27 leading U.S.-listed semiconductor companies via the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, emphasizing liquidity and market-cap weighting.
- SOXX tracks the NYSE Semiconductor Index with 30 holdings, delivering balanced coverage across designers, manufacturers, and equipment providers at an expense ratio of 0.33%.
- All three ETFs pursue passive strategies in the semiconductor sector, differing primarily in index construction, holding counts, and cost structures that influence diversification depth and risk profiles.
- CHPS stands out for cost efficiency and slightly wider geographic reach, while SMH and SOXX prioritize tighter concentration on top industry leaders.
- Structural differences in index methodology and holdings create varied sensitivities to semiconductor capital expenditure cycles and technological shifts.
Introduction
These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide targeted exposure to the semiconductor industry, a sector central to artificial intelligence (AI), computing, and digital infrastructure. CHPS, SMH, and SOXX track distinct indexes but compete within the same thematic space, offering investors tiered approaches to semiconductor equities. CHPS emphasizes broader global selection with sustainability screens, while SMH and SOXX focus on highly liquid U.S.-listed leaders. The comparison highlights how index design, expense ratios, and holding concentration shape relative positioning for long-term thematic allocation.
Xtrackers Semiconductor Select Equity ETF (CHPS) Overview
CHPS seeks to track the Solactive Semiconductor ESG Screened Index, which selects companies with primary revenue from the semiconductor industry while applying environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria. The fund holds approximately 54 securities, providing diversified exposure across chip designers, manufacturers, and equipment providers globally. Top holdings typically include major players such as Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), and Broadcom. Sector allocation centers on information technology, with heavy weighting toward semiconductors. The expense ratio stands at 0.15%, making it the most cost-efficient option among the three. CHPS employs a passive, market-cap-weighted methodology with quarterly rebalancing and physical replication.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview
SMH aims to replicate the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, which comprises 25 of the largest and most liquid U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, including depositary receipts of foreign firms. The fund maintains 25–27 holdings, resulting in higher concentration risk compared with peers. Prominent positions often feature Nvidia, TSMC, Broadcom, and ASML. Allocation remains concentrated in semiconductors and related equipment. The expense ratio is 0.35%. SMH follows a passive, rules-based approach favoring liquidity and market capitalization, with periodic rebalancing to maintain index alignment.
iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Overview
SOXX tracks the NYSE Semiconductor Index, which includes 30 U.S.-listed companies spanning the semiconductor value chain. The fund holds 30 securities, balancing concentration with broader representation than SMH. Key holdings commonly encompass Nvidia, TSMC, Broadcom, and Intel. Exposure focuses on semiconductors and semiconductor equipment. The expense ratio is 0.33%. SOXX utilizes a passive indexing strategy with market-cap weighting and regular rebalancing to reflect index changes.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
The semiconductor sector benefits from sustained capital expenditures driven by AI training, data center expansion, and advanced manufacturing. Regulatory developments around export controls and supply-chain resilience influence global players. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and corporate spending cycles affect demand for chips and equipment. Geopolitical tensions in key regions add volatility to supply dynamics, while earnings growth among leading designers and foundries supports thematic momentum across market cycles.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent market cycles, concentration differences have driven relative performance variations. SMH’s tighter focus on top holdings has produced stronger upside capture during semiconductor rallies but larger drawdowns in downturns. SOXX offers intermediate volatility due to its 30-holdings structure. CHPS’s broader diversification and lower costs may support more stable risk-adjusted returns over extended periods, particularly in sideways or mixed market environments. All three exhibit high sensitivity to semiconductor capital expenditure trends and technology adoption rates.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your semiconductor ETF analysis.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable structural attributes, Tickeron’s AI would currently favor CHPS with moderate probability due to its lowest expense ratio, greater number of holdings for improved diversification, and competitive thematic coverage. SMH and SOXX remain strong alternatives for investors prioritizing maximum concentration in leading names, though their higher costs and narrower profiles introduce comparatively elevated concentration risk.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
CHPS in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
CHPS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 20 of 23 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHPS as a result. In 33 of 47 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHPS turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 32 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
The 10-day moving average for CHPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHPS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHPS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHPS advanced for three days, in 172 of 194 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
CHPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 188 of 198 cases where CHPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
SMH in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 65 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 298 of 317 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
SOXX sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
SOXX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 47 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOXX as a result. In 72 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
SOXX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SOXX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SOXX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXX advanced for three days, in 310 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
SOXX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 285 of 307 cases where SOXX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| CHPS | SMH | SOXX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 89% | 18 days ago 90% | 18 days ago 89% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 76% | 7 days ago 81% | 7 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
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CHPS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHPS has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHPS jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHPS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHPS | 100% | +1.95% | ||
| LRCX - CHPS | 90% Closely correlated | -1.00% | ||
| AMAT - CHPS | 86% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| NVMI - CHPS | 85% Closely correlated | +3.50% | ||
| KLAC - CHPS | 84% Closely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| MKSI - CHPS | 83% Closely correlated | +2.35% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
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| Weitz Multisector Bond ETF (WMSB) | |||
| CMAY | 26.00 | N/A | N/A |
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| ASA Gold AND Precious Metals Limited | |||