CMDT
Price
$32.17
Change
+$0.34 (+1.07%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
839.72M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GSG
Price
$37.70
Change
+$0.71 (+1.92%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
1.04B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SDCI
Price
$32.05
Change
+$0.42 (+1.33%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
832.2M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CMDT or GSG or SDCI

CMDT vs GSG vs SDCI Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? PIMCO Commodity Strategy Active Exchange-Traded Fund (CMDT) vs. iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) vs. USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund (SDCI)

Key Takeaways

  • CMDT employs an active strategy managed by PIMCO to exceed a diversified commodity benchmark through derivatives and fixed-income collateral, offering potential for alpha but at a 0.65% expense ratio.
  • GSG provides passive exposure to the production-weighted S&P GSCI index via futures contracts, delivering broad energy-heavy commodity tracking with a 0.75% expense ratio and grantor trust structure.
  • SDCI uses a rules-based dynamic approach via the SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index to select futures contracts emphasizing backwardation and momentum, maintaining a lower 0.60% expense ratio.
  • All three ETFs focus on broad commodity exposure without direct physical holdings, differing primarily in management style, index methodology, and cost efficiency.
  • Structural variations in rebalancing and selection criteria influence relative sensitivity to energy prices, contango effects, and macroeconomic drivers across recent market cycles.
  • Investors evaluating these options should weigh active management flexibility against passive cost predictability and dynamic roll strategies for portfolio diversification.

Introduction

These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) represent distinct approaches to broad commodity exposure within the same thematic category. CMDT, GSG, and SDCI compete as vehicles for investors seeking inflation hedging, diversification, and returns tied to global commodity futures markets. While each provides access to energy, metals, and agricultural sectors, they differ in active versus passive management, index construction, and collateral strategies. This comparison highlights structural and exposure differences relevant to current market environments influenced by supply dynamics and economic cycles.

PIMCO Commodity Strategy Active Exchange-Traded Fund (CMDT) Overview

CMDT is an actively managed ETF from PIMCO that seeks total return exceeding a diversified commodity benchmark. It invests primarily in commodity-linked derivatives such as swaps and futures, backed by an actively managed portfolio of fixed-income instruments. The fund maintains a non-diversified structure with exposure across multiple commodity sectors. Its expense ratio stands at 0.65%. Distinguishing features include proprietary quantitative models for allocation decisions incorporating factors like historical trends and storage costs, alongside potential direct commodity investments.

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) Overview

GSG is a passively managed ETF from iShares that tracks the S&P GSCI Total Return Index. The index uses a production-weighted methodology focused on front-month futures contracts across energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. The fund employs a grantor trust structure and synthetic replication through futures. Its expense ratio is 0.75%. Key characteristics include heavy energy sector weighting and a long history since 2006, with collateral typically held in short-term Treasury instruments.

USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund (SDCI) Overview

SDCI is an actively managed ETF from USCF Advisers that seeks to track the SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index Total Return. The index selects futures contracts based on backwardation signals and 12-month price momentum from a broad universe, ensuring representation across commodity groups. It invests in futures and derivatives with Treasury bill collateral. The expense ratio is 0.60%. Notable features include avoidance of Schedule K-1 tax forms and a dynamic roll strategy designed to mitigate contango impacts.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The commodity sector remains influenced by macroeconomic factors including global supply chain adjustments, geopolitical tensions affecting energy and metals, and shifting demand from industrial and agricultural markets. Capital flows into commodity strategies have varied with inflation expectations and interest rate environments in recent market cycles. Regulatory considerations around futures trading and ESG integration continue to shape product development, while major holdings in energy futures respond to production trends and inventory data.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, performance differences among CMDT, GSG, and SDCI have stemmed from variations in index weighting, roll methodologies, and active adjustments. GSG's production-weighted approach often amplifies energy price movements, while SDCI's momentum and backwardation filters may reduce exposure to contango-heavy contracts. CMDT's active overlay allows tactical shifts that could stabilize returns during volatile periods. Relative volatility reflects these structural choices, with drawdowns varying based on sector concentration and collateral management across broader market cycles.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on ETFs like CMDT, GSG, or SDCI may find the platform useful for refining their analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors including lower expense ratio, dynamic index methodology emphasizing favorable roll yields, and balanced diversification across commodity groups, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to SDCI for risk-adjusted positioning in commodity exposure. CMDT offers active flexibility that could appeal in specific regimes, while GSG provides straightforward passive tracking at a higher cost. Selection ultimately depends on investor preferences for management style and sensitivity to underlying commodity drivers.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for CMDT with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

CMDT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

CMDT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 15, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 33 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

CMDT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CMDT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMDT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Aroon Indicator for CMDT entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMDT as a result. In 46 of 57 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Following a +0.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMDT advanced for three days, in 217 of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

CMDT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GSG with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

GSG in -0.65% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 21, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where GSG declined for three days, in 209 of 263 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

GSG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GSG as a result. In 70 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GSG just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where GSG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 53 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +2.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GSG advanced for three days, in 286 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 226 of 249 cases where GSG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SDCI with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SDCI in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026

SDCI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 35 of the 48 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SDCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SDCI as a result. In 74 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SDCI just turned positive on October 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where SDCI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +1.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SDCI advanced for three days, in 318 of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 296 of 323 cases where SDCI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CMDTGSGSDCI
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
63%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
86%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
69%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
CMDT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GSG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SDCI
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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CMDT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that CMDT and PWR have been poorly correlated (+1% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that CMDT and PWR's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CMDT
1D Price
Change %
CMDT100%
+1.08%
PWR - CMDT
1%
Poorly correlated
-1.09%
MDLZ - CMDT
-0%
Poorly correlated
-2.13%
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