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CMI or KMT or ROK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs. Kennametal Inc. (KMT) vs. Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CMI (CMI) enters earnings season with raised full-year guidance following strong Q1 results and a recent 10% dividend increase, though shares have pulled back amid broader market caution.
- KMT (KMT) reported robust organic sales growth of 19% in its latest quarter, positioning the industrial tooling firm for potential further momentum ahead of its upcoming earnings.
- ROK (ROK) has delivered standout relative performance with YTD gains exceeding 24%, driven by double-digit sales growth and upwardly revised fiscal guidance in the industrial automation space.
- All three companies operate in cyclical industrial sectors and face similar macroeconomic sensitivities, including demand fluctuations tied to manufacturing and infrastructure spending.
- Upcoming earnings reports for CMI and ROK in early August represent near-term catalysts that could clarify relative momentum across the group.
- Valuation and growth profiles differ notably, with ROK showing stronger recent price appreciation compared to the more modest or mixed moves in CMI and KMT.
Introduction
This comparison examines CMI (CMI), KMT (KMT), and ROK (ROK)—three industrial-sector equities with distinct business models yet shared exposure to manufacturing, infrastructure, and automation trends. The analysis focuses on recent performance, key developments, and relative positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating opportunities within the capital goods and industrial automation segments. It is particularly relevant for those monitoring cyclical industrials amid evolving economic conditions and earnings seasons.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
Cummins Inc. (CMI) designs, manufactures, and distributes engines, power generation systems, and related components primarily for on-highway, industrial, and power generation applications. In recent market activity, shares have experienced some consolidation following earlier gains, with reports noting an approximate 11% decline over the past month amid profit-taking ahead of results. The company delivered solid Q1 2026 revenue of $8.4 billion and raised its full-year outlook, citing strength in data center power and North American on-highway markets. A 10% dividend increase to $2.20 per share was also announced, extending a long streak of increases. Sentiment has been supported by consistent operational execution, though investors appear to be awaiting clarity from the upcoming Q2 earnings report.
KMT Overview and Recent Performance
Kennametal Inc. (KMT) produces tooling, engineered components, and advanced materials used in metalworking, mining, and other industrial applications. Recent performance has reflected strong underlying demand, highlighted by fiscal third-quarter results showing sales of $593 million with 19% organic growth. The stock has posted notable year-to-date and one-year gains, though it has seen intraday volatility typical of smaller industrial names. With the fourth-quarter earnings call scheduled shortly after early August, focus remains on whether the company can sustain the organic momentum observed in prior periods. Broader sector sentiment and macroeconomic indicators continue to influence trading patterns.
ROK Overview and Recent Performance
Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) provides industrial automation, control systems, and digital transformation solutions to manufacturers worldwide. In recent weeks, the stock has outperformed peers with year-to-date returns around 24%, building on double-digit sales growth reported in fiscal Q2. Management raised full-year guidance following that quarter, reflecting sustained demand in smart manufacturing and related end markets. The upcoming third-quarter results are anticipated to provide further visibility into organic trends and margin performance. Overall market positioning has benefited from investor interest in automation themes, contributing to relatively resilient price action compared with broader industrial averages.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge meaningfully: CMI (CMI) centers on power and propulsion systems with heavy exposure to transportation and energy infrastructure, while KMT (KMT) focuses on precision tooling and wear-resistant materials tied to metal fabrication cycles. ROK (ROK) emphasizes software-enabled automation, offering greater sensitivity to digital transformation spending. Recent momentum has favored ROK on relative price performance, whereas CMI benefits from dividend growth and guidance raises, and KMT from organic sales acceleration. Risk factors include cyclical demand sensitivity for all three, with CMI and KMT more directly linked to heavy industry output and ROK to capital expenditure budgets in manufacturing. Valuation sensitivity varies, as higher-growth automation exposure at ROK may command different multiples than the more mature profiles of the other two. Market sentiment reflects these distinctions, with automation themes providing a tailwind for ROK amid broader industrial rotation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to ROK (ROK) among the three, given its stronger year-to-date performance and sustained guidance upgrades. CMI (CMI) remains competitive due to upcoming catalysts and shareholder returns, while KMT (KMT) offers potential on organic growth metrics. Outcomes remain subject to earnings results and broader sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKMT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ROK’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ROK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and ROK’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- KMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ROK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +1.59% price change this week, while KMT (@Tools & Hardware) price change was -2.47% , and ROK (@Industrial Machinery) price fluctuated -8.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +4.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.19%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +4.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
KMT is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
ROK is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+4.22% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+4.69% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| CMI | KMT | ROK | |
| Capitalization | 88.7B | 2.53B | 49B |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 360M | 1.66B |
| Gain YTD | 27.036 | 17.825 | 14.102 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.94 | 7.50 | 41.30 |
| Revenue | 33.9B | 2.14B | 8.8B |
| Total Cash | 3.18B | 107M | 423M |
| Total Debt | 8.24B | 660M | 4.05B |
CMI | KMT | ROK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 14 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 6 Undervalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 93 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 70 | 32 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 51 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 96 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMT's Valuation (6) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CMI (50) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for ROK (77) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that KMT's stock grew somewhat faster than CMI’s and significantly faster than ROK’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROK (44) in the Industrial Machinery industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KMT (93) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI's stock grew somewhat faster than ROK’s and significantly faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
ROK's SMR Rating (32) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as CMI (43) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KMT (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ROK's stock grew similarly to CMI’s and somewhat faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as KMT (51) in the Industrial Machinery industry, and is in the same range as ROK (52) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI's stock grew similarly to KMT’s and similarly to ROK’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROK (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KMT (96) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI's stock grew somewhat faster than ROK’s and significantly faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
| CMI | KMT | ROK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 61% | 7 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 7 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 66% |
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with DOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then DOV could also see price increases.
KMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMT has been closely correlated with HLIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMT jumps, then HLIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMT | 100% | -2.13% | ||
| HLIO - KMT | 70% Closely correlated | +1.30% | ||
| MIDD - KMT | 69% Closely correlated | +0.92% | ||
| TNC - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | -3.91% | ||
| SXI - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.84% | ||
| WTS - KMT | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.01% | ||
More | ||||
ROK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROK has been closely correlated with EMR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ROK jumps, then EMR could also see price increases.