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CMI vs ROK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs. Rockwell Automation (ROK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CMI and ROK are industrial leaders riding the same secular tailwind: surging demand tied to data centers and automation.
- Cummins is outperforming on the strength of its Power Systems segment, where data-center backup-power demand has driven double-digit revenue growth and a raised full-year outlook.
- Rockwell Automation is compounding earnings faster through margin expansion, with software and controls growing at a high-teens pace.
- Cummins offers a larger, more diversified revenue base and a 17-year dividend-increase streak; Rockwell offers higher software mix and a leaner, more margin-leveraged model.
- Relative performance favors Cummins over the past year, though Rockwell's recent guidance hikes signal strengthening momentum.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two prominent U.S. industrial names that have become indirect beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence buildout. Cummins Inc. (CMI) is a global power leader known for engines, components, and, increasingly, backup-power systems for data centers. Rockwell Automation (ROK) is a leader in industrial automation and digital transformation, supplying the controls and software that run factories, warehouses, and modern infrastructure. Investors weighing cyclical industrial exposure against secular growth drivers, or comparing relative performance and market positioning, may find this side-by-side review useful for understanding how each stock is navigating the current environment.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
Cummins, headquartered in Columbus, Indiana, operates five segments—Engine, Components, Distribution, Power Systems, and Accelera—and generated roughly $33.7 billion in sales in 2025. Its core truck-engine business remains cyclical, but recent weeks have underscored a meaningful shift in its growth narrative. Data-center power-generation demand has become a durable driver, with Power Systems revenue climbing about 19% year over year and margins expanding sharply in recent quarters.
In its most recent quarterly report, Cummins posted record sales and EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to roughly 10% to 13%, and lifted margin guidance. Management also boosted the quarterly dividend by about 10%, marking a 17th consecutive annual increase. Sentiment has been supported by strong backup-power demand, improving North American truck production, and a rebound in China. The main offsets remain a still-loss-making Accelera electrification segment and softer North American medium- and heavy-duty truck demand.
ROK Overview and Recent Performance
Rockwell Automation, based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a global leader in industrial automation and digital transformation, serving more than 100 countries. Its business spans Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services, with a growing emphasis on recurring software and services revenue. In its most recent fiscal quarter, Rockwell delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.49, with revenue up about 8% year over year and organic sales up roughly 10%.
Recent performance has been driven by strong demand in semiconductor, data-center, e-commerce, and warehouse-automation markets, alongside margin expansion that lifted enterprise operating margin above 22%. The Software & Control segment grew close to 19%, aided by double-digit growth in its Logix controller platform. Management raised its full-year sales and adjusted EPS guidance, while annual recurring revenue (ARR) continued to grow in the mid-single digits. Offsetting factors include negative price-cost dynamics, memory-component inflation, and an as-yet incomplete recovery in automotive and food-and-beverage capital spending.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different positions along the industrial value chain. Cummins is a diversified power and engine manufacturer with a larger revenue base and heavy exposure to the commercial-vehicle cycle, balanced by a fast-growing power-generation franchise. Rockwell is a higher-margin automation and software provider with a more concentrated, technology-driven model and meaningful recurring revenue.
Growth drivers diverge in important ways. Cummins benefits directly from backup-power and prime-power demand for data centers, which has produced unusually strong segment-level results. Rockwell benefits from the same buildout indirectly, through power-distribution, cooling-controls, and Logix controllers, but its data-center exposure remains a modest single-digit share of sales, while its software and warehouse-automation lines provide separate momentum.
Risk factors also differ. Cummins carries cyclical exposure to North American truck demand and a loss-generating electrification segment, while Rockwell faces component-cost inflation and slower recovery in large capital projects across automotive and consumer markets. On market sentiment, Cummins shares have roughly doubled over the past year and carry a dividend-increase track record, whereas Rockwell has re-rated more recently on earnings beats and raised guidance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, catalyst momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a modest edge to CMI in the current environment. Cummins combines a strong, data-center-driven earnings trend with broad revenue diversification, improving guidance, and a reliable shareholder-return profile, all factors that tend to support trend-following signals. ROK presents compelling margin momentum and a faster-growing software mix, which could make it attractive to momentum-oriented strategies. The distinction is probabilistic rather than definitive, and the more suitable candidate may vary with an investor's timeframe and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMI is a Hold and ROK is a Hold.
CMI's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMI turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CMI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMI as a result. In 55 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +1.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMI advanced for three days, in 218 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
CMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 63 cases where CMI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The 50-day moving average for CMI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for CMI entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 27 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.549) is normal, around the industry mean (5.342). P/E Ratio (26.474) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.065). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.110) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
ROK sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
ROK saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ROK moved out of overbought territory on October 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 58%.
ROK moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
ROK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ROK entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ROK as a result. In 54 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The 10-day moving average for ROK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +2.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROK advanced for three days, in 197 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.699) is normal, around the industry mean (5.342). P/E Ratio (40.376) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.065). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.901) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.198) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
CMI | ROK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 34 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMI's Valuation (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROK (79) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROK’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ROK (48) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to ROK’s over the last 12 months.
ROK's SMR Rating (30) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as CMI (44) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that ROK’s stock grew similarly to CMI’s over the last 12 months.
ROK's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as CMI (59) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that ROK’s stock grew similarly to CMI’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ROK (37) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to ROK’s over the last 12 months.
| CMI | ROK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 10 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 56% | 6 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while ROK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- ROK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROK’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ROK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -1.11% price change this week, while ROK (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -4.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -7.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
ROK is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-7.61% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with ETN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then ETN could also see price increases.