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CMI vs ROK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs. Rockwell Automation (ROK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Cummins Inc. (CMI) is leveraging record demand for data center backup power, while Rockwell Automation (ROK) is riding strong industrial software and automation momentum.
- Both companies recently beat consensus earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates, yet each faces near-term headwinds: tariffs and a soft North American truck market for CMI, and delayed customer capital spending for ROK.
- In relative performance terms, ROK has shown stronger price momentum over recent months, while CMI offers a more diversified revenue base and a higher dividend yield.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, stability, and catalyst visibility, Tickeron's AI currently favors CMI as the ticker of choice in this comparison.
- For deeper coverage, explore CMI Major News and CMI Today's Price Move, as well as ROK Major News and ROK Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI trading systems are positioning across the market, visit the curated Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors comparing industrial bellwethers often weigh exposure to different demand cycles. Cummins Inc. (CMI) is a global engine and power-generation manufacturer, while Rockwell Automation (ROK) is a leader in industrial automation and digital transformation software. Although both operate in the broader industrial economy, their growth drivers diverge sharply: CMI is increasingly tied to electricity demand and data center construction, whereas ROK depends on factory automation and corporate capital expenditure (capex). This stock comparison is relevant for investors seeking to understand how market positioning, momentum, and sector exposure differ between two prominent industrial names.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
Cummins Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes diesel and natural gas engines, power systems, and related components. In its most recent quarterly report, revenue rose modestly year over year to approximately $8.5 billion, while adjusted EPS of $5.81 came in well above analyst consensus. The standout has been the Power Systems segment, where record order intake from data center customers has extended visibility, with management noting orders reaching well into future years.
This strength has helped offset persistent weakness in the North American heavy-duty truck market, where end-user confidence remains subdued. Tariff changes, particularly in India and North America, have also pressured margins across several segments, and restructuring charges tied to the Accelera electrolyzer (hydrogen) business weighed on reported results. In recent weeks, several analysts have lowered their price targets on CMI, reflecting a tug-of-war between robust power-generation demand and softer cyclical end markets. The stock pays a quarterly dividend and has a long record of returning capital to shareholders.
ROK Overview and Recent Performance
Rockwell Automation provides industrial automation equipment, control systems, and software that help manufacturers improve productivity. In its latest fiscal quarter, revenue climbed roughly 12% year over year to about $2.1 billion, and adjusted EPS of $2.75 beat consensus by a double-digit margin. Operating margin expanded meaningfully as the Software & Control and Intelligent Devices segments delivered strong organic growth, led by Logix controllers, motion solutions, and cloud-native platforms.
Despite the solid headline results, sentiment has been tempered by a cautious outlook. Management noted that a broad-based recovery in customer capital spending has yet to materialize, with many clients delaying large projects amid trade-policy uncertainty. The Lifecycle Services segment declined as customers postponed longer-cycle investments. ROK raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance but kept revenue guidance slightly below some analyst estimates. The shares have nonetheless exhibited notable momentum, benefiting from recurring software revenue growth and artificial-intelligence-enabled product adoption.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies serve different niches of the industrial economy. CMI is anchored in powertrain and power-generation hardware, giving it direct exposure to the energy-intensive data center buildout and a diversified global footprint across trucks, mining, and standby power. ROK, by contrast, is a higher-margin, software-leaning business tied to factory automation and discrete manufacturing, where recurring revenue and AI-enabled tools are key growth levers.
In terms of relative performance, ROK has carried stronger recent momentum and margin-expansion momentum, while CMI trades at a lower forward valuation multiple and offers a higher dividend yield. Risk factors also differ: CMI is sensitive to truck-cycle timing and tariff costs, whereas ROK hinges on the pace of corporate capex recovery and carries a richer valuation that leaves less room for disappointment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, stability, and catalyst visibility, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward CMI in this pairing. The reasoning is rooted in observable factors: CMI benefits from multi-year order visibility in data center backup power, a diversified revenue base that cushions single-market cyclicality, and consistent shareholder returns through dividends. While ROK has demonstrated stronger near-term price momentum and margin expansion, its outlook remains more dependent on an uncertain capital-spending recovery. The AI assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and may shift as new data and market conditions emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMI is a Hold and ROK is a Hold.
CMI's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for CMI moved out of oversold territory on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +0.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMI advanced for three days, in 218 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
CMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 182 of 309 cases where CMI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMI as a result. In 54 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CMI turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.364) is normal, around the industry mean (4.171). P/E Ratio (25.476) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.205). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.110) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
ROK in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ROK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ROK as a result. In 53 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ROK just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where ROK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
ROK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROK advanced for three days, in 199 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 150 of 256 cases where ROK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ROK moved out of overbought territory on October 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 72%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 72 cases where ROK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
ROK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.187) is normal, around the industry mean (4.171). P/E Ratio (41.640) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.205). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.901) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.198) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
CMI | ROK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMI's Valuation (70) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ROK (90) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to ROK’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ROK (38) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to ROK’s over the last 12 months.
ROK's SMR Rating (30) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as CMI (44) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that ROK’s stock grew similarly to CMI’s over the last 12 months.
ROK's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as CMI (62) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that ROK’s stock grew similarly to CMI’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ROK (52) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to ROK’s over the last 12 months.
| CMI | ROK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 57% | 20 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ROK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ROK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROK’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ROK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -5.64% price change this week, while ROK (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +1.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.26%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
ROK is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.87% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with ETN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then ETN could also see price increases.