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COIN or HOOD or IBKR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coinbase Global (COIN) vs. Robinhood Markets (HOOD) vs. Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IBKR has been the steadiest performer, rising roughly 42–50% year-to-date on record account growth and a 77% pre-tax profit margin.
- HOOD delivered record revenue and profits, powered by a surge in prediction-market ("event contract") activity, though it trades at a rich forward earnings multiple.
- COIN is the most volatile of the three, still well below its 52-week high and posting net losses despite record crypto market share.
- The three stocks differ sharply in business model: COIN is a crypto-native "everything exchange," HOOD a retail financial super-app, and IBKR a global, low-cost electronic broker.
- Relative performance and market positioning favor IBKR on stability, HOOD on growth momentum, and COIN on optionality tied to a crypto-cycle recovery.
Introduction
Coinbase Global, Robinhood Markets, and Interactive Brokers Group are three of the most closely watched names at the intersection of trading technology and financial services, yet they appeal to very different investor profiles. This stock comparison examines how each company is positioned in the current market environment, drawing on recent relative performance, growth drivers, and risk factors. Growth-oriented traders may focus on HOOD and COIN, while investors seeking steadier, more diversified earnings may find IBKR more aligned with their objectives. Understanding their contrasting business models and market positioning is essential before evaluating any single name.
COIN Overview and Recent Performance
COIN, operated by Coinbase Global, is the largest U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange and custodian. Recent weeks have been characterized by a rebound in the shares after a prolonged drawdown; the stock remains roughly 40% below its 52-week high and negative year-to-date despite a double-digit gain over the trailing three months. The company continues to execute its "everything exchange" strategy, expanding beyond spot crypto into derivatives, tokenized equities, prediction markets, and retail access to initial public offerings (IPOs).
Fundamentals remain mixed. Coinbase reported its third consecutive quarterly net loss as crypto trading volumes contracted, even while capturing a record share of global crypto trading. Encouragingly, subscription and services revenue—including stablecoin-related income—now approaches half of net revenue, and the company generated positive adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), its fourteenth straight quarter in positive territory. Sentiment has been supported by institutional analyst upgrades and diversification announcements, but performance remains tightly linked to the crypto cycle.
HOOD Overview and Recent Performance
HOOD, operated by Robinhood Markets, has evolved from a commission-free stock-trading app into a broader retail financial platform spanning equities, options, crypto, retirement, banking, credit cards, and prediction markets. In recent market activity the stock has climbed strongly and now sits modestly below its 52-week high, supported by record quarterly revenue and net income growth.
The standout driver has been event contracts, which produced more than ten times the prior-year revenue and became the company's second-largest transaction line behind options. This growth has helped offset a sharp decline in crypto trading revenue. Robinhood now counts more than a dozen business lines each generating over $100 million in annualized revenue, with funded customers, platform assets, and Gold subscriptions all rising. While momentum is strong, the shares carry a premium forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, and regulatory scrutiny of event contracts in several states represents a key risk to monitor.
IBKR Overview and Recent Performance
IBKR, operated by Interactive Brokers Group, is a global electronic broker serving individual investors, hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and financial advisors across more than 170 market centers in 40 countries. The stock has been a standout performer, up roughly 42–50% year-to-date, extending a multi-year run that has made it the best long-term performer of the three.
The company's automated, technology-driven model continues to generate strong operating leverage, with a pre-tax profit margin near 77% and low compensation costs relative to revenue. Customer accounts, client equity, margin loans, and daily average revenue trades (DARTs) have all grown at strong double-digit rates, while net interest income has offset the impact of lower benchmark interest rates. Recent expansion into South Korea, Brazil, and Romania, alongside broadened crypto and prediction-market offerings, has reinforced the growth narrative. The primary consideration is valuation: the shares trade at a materially higher earnings multiple than their historical average.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The three companies diverge most clearly in business model and earnings quality. COIN remains a leveraged bet on cryptocurrency adoption, with high optionality but negative near-term earnings and pronounced sensitivity to crypto price swings. HOOD offers faster, more diversified retail growth, but its newest revenue streams—event contracts and blockchain activity—carry regulatory uncertainty and a premium valuation. IBKR provides the most stable and profitable model, combining global diversification with exceptional margins, though its elevated multiple and exposure to interest rates temper the growth story.
On momentum, HOOD and IBKR have delivered stronger recent relative performance, while COIN has rallied off a low base but remains below prior highs. Sector exposure also differs: COIN is concentrated in digital assets, HOOD blends equities, options, and event contracts, and IBKR spans multi-asset global markets. Valuation sensitivity is highest for HOOD and COIN, given their richer multiples and thinner near-term earnings, whereas IBKR's profitability provides more cushion.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IBKR at present. Its combination of durable revenue growth, industry-leading margins, and broad geographic diversification suggests a more consistent trend profile than its peers. HOOD presents the strongest near-term growth catalysts but with greater valuation and regulatory sensitivity, while COIN offers the highest upside potential tied to a crypto recovery at the cost of the most volatility. As with any probabilistic assessment, these conclusions reflect current observable conditions and may shift as market dynamics evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
COIN in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026
COIN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 36 cases where COIN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 55 of 66 cases where COIN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
COIN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COIN advanced for three days, in 232 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 143 of 173 cases where COIN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COIN as a result. In 77 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COIN turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COIN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COIN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.868) is normal, around the industry mean (-5.093). COIN's P/E Ratio (60.140) is considerably higher than the industry average of (25.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.293) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). COIN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (7.331) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COIN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
HOOD's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 9 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOOD advanced for three days, in 259 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
HOOD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 234 of 281 cases where HOOD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HOOD as a result. In 54 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HOOD turned negative on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
HOOD moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOOD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HOOD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.050) is normal, around the industry mean (4.320). P/E Ratio (51.531) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.932). HOOD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.033) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (19.455) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
Momentum Indicator for IBKR turns positive, indicating new upward trend
IBKR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 68 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 33 of 45 cases where IBKR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +1.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBKR advanced for three days, in 253 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IBKR turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
IBKR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IBKR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBKR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for IBKR entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBKR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.684) is normal, around the industry mean (4.320). P/E Ratio (34.556) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.932). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.406) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.498) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
IBKR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| COIN | HOOD | IBKR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 85% | 8 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 83% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COIN’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while HOOD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and IBKR’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- COIN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HOOD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IBKR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COIN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HOOD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and IBKR’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COIN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- HOOD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IBKR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COIN (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а +6.87% price change this week, while HOOD (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -2.82% , and IBKR (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price fluctuated -0.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was +2.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.21%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -4.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
COIN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
HOOD is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
IBKR is expected to report earnings on Jan 19, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (+2.41% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-4.97% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
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