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DD or DOW or LYB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? DuPont de Nemours (DD) vs. Dow (DOW) vs. LyondellBasell (LYB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LYB and DOW have delivered robust year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 75% and 74%, respectively, outpacing DD's 15% rise amid chemicals sector recovery.
- LYB offers the highest dividend yield at 6.4%, followed by DOW at 3.5% and DD at 1.7%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent quarterly results show LYB posting strong EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $615 million and EPS (earnings per share) of $0.49, beating estimates, while DOW reported a narrower-than-expected loss.
- DD benefits from AI collaborations and product innovations in water treatment and sustainability, positioning it for specialty growth.
- All three exhibit low-to-moderate betas (DD 1.06, DOW 0.50, LYB 0.35), indicating relative stability amid sector volatility from energy shocks.
Introduction
In the basic materials sector, DD, DOW, and LYB represent key players in chemicals production, spanning specialty materials and commodity chemicals. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, business drivers, and relative positioning amid supply disruptions from geopolitical tensions and energy market shifts. Traders seeking momentum in industrials and investors eyeing dividends or sector recovery will find value in understanding their contrasts in valuation, yields, and catalysts.
DD Overview and Recent Performance
DuPont de Nemours (DD) focuses on specialty products in electronics, water, and healthcare via materials science innovation. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $46, up over 70% in the past year but lagging peers YTD at 15% gains, with a 52-week range of $26.82 to $52.66. Sentiment has improved from AI collaborations, such as with Uncountable for lab strategies, and launches like an AI-enabled digital advisor for reverse osmosis systems, alongside new 2035 sustainability goals. These developments signal long-term growth in high-margin areas, though broader sector pressures have tempered momentum.
DOW Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. (DOW) is a leading commodity chemicals producer serving packaging, infrastructure, and consumer markets. Shares hover near $40, with impressive YTD gains of 74% and a 52-week range from $20.40 to $42.74, reflecting strong recovery. Recent weeks featured Q1 2026 results showing a $533 million net loss but EPS of -$0.14 beating forecasts, revenue of $9.8 billion, and analyst upgrades amid cost efficiencies and a new CEO transition. Favorable natural gas dynamics and momentum have boosted sentiment, despite ongoing demand challenges.
LYB Overview and Recent Performance
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) specializes in olefins, polyolefins, and refining, with operations optimized for integrated chemical production. Trading around $75, it has surged 75% YTD within a 52-week range of $41.58 to $83.94. Key recent drivers include Q1 2026 EBITDA of $615 million and adjusted EPS of $0.49 surpassing estimates, despite 6% revenue decline from volumes, fueled by Middle East supply shocks. Portfolio transformations and asset sales have enhanced liquidity, supporting positive analyst revisions and share gains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DD leans toward high-value specialty chemicals with innovation-driven growth, contrasting DOW and LYB's commodity focus on volume-based olefins and polymers. Recent momentum favors LYB and DOW with superior YTD returns, tied to energy cost advantages from geopolitical disruptions. Risk profiles differ via betas—LYB (0.35) and DOW (0.50) offer stability over DD (1.06). Forward P/E ratios cluster at 16-20, suggesting similar valuation sensitivity, while LYB's superior yield draws income seekers. Market sentiment tilts positive for all amid sector rebound, but DD trades at a perceived 18% discount to fair value.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor LYB in the current environment, given its earnings beat, elevated dividend yield, consistent YTD momentum, and low beta for stability amid catalysts like supply disruptions. DOW follows closely with operational resilience, while DD offers specialty upside potential. Relative positioning emphasizes probabilistic edges over guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDOW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and LYB’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LYB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DD’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DOW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and LYB’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DD’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- DOW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LYB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DD (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а -2.85% price change this week, while DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was -7.98% , and LYB (@Chemicals: Specialty) price fluctuated -7.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -1.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.76%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -6.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.70%.
Reported Earning Dates
DD is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
DOW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
LYB is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-1.18% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-6.40% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
| DD | DOW | LYB | |
| Capitalization | 18.9B | 21.9B | 18.6B |
| EBITDA | 1.2B | 1.18B | 1.29B |
| Gain YTD | 17.023 | 32.598 | 36.049 |
| P/E Ratio | 126.82 | 75.92 | 98.77 |
| Revenue | 6.92B | 39.3B | 29.7B |
| Total Cash | 710M | 3.85B | 2.64B |
| Total Debt | 3.17B | 19.6B | 14.3B |
DD | DOW | LYB | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 55 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 21 Undervalued | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 96 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 58 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 8 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LYB's Valuation (6) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as DOW (21) in the Chemicals Specialty industry, and is in the same range as DD (35) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that LYB's stock grew similarly to DOW’s and similarly to DD’s over the last 12 months.
DD's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LYB (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that DD's stock grew somewhat faster than LYB’s and somewhat faster than DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DD's SMR Rating (92) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as LYB (94) in the Chemicals Specialty industry, and is in the same range as DOW (96) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that DD's stock grew similarly to LYB’s and similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DD's Price Growth Rating (23) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (58) in the Chemicals Specialty industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LYB (60) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that DD's stock grew somewhat faster than DOW’s and somewhat faster than LYB’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as DOW (8) in the Chemicals Specialty industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DD (100) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that LYB's stock grew similarly to DOW’s and significantly faster than DD’s over the last 12 months.
| DD | DOW | LYB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 65% | 6 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | N/A | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 21 days ago 59% | 22 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 59% |
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Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DD has been closely correlated with LYB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DD jumps, then LYB could also see price increases.